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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain low-privileged local logon
  2. Delivery
    Trigger App Installer package operation
  3. Exploit
    Race shared resource check-to-use window
  4. Execution
    Substitute attacker-controlled resource
  5. Persist
    Installer acts with elevated privilege
  6. Impact
    Execute code / elevate to SYSTEM

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

The attacker must have valid low-privileged local access to the machine (PR:L, AV:L - no remote or network exploitation, no user interaction). Exploitation requires triggering an App Installer / MSIX package-handling operation and winning a timing race against the installer's non-atomic check-then-use of a shared resource, which is why the CVSS marks high attack complexity (AC:H): success is non-deterministic and may require many attempts. Limiting factors that reduce realistic risk are the local-access prerequisite, the need for existing authenticated foothold, and the difficulty of reliably winning the race; the flaw is most exploitable on multi-user systems (terminal servers, shared workstations) where a low-privileged attacker already has interactive access.

Impact

The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.0 High) tells a nuanced story: the attacker must already have local access with low privileges (PR:L), and exploitation is genuinely hard (AC:H) because it depends on winning a non-deterministic timing race - but if won, impact is full confidentiality, integrity, and availability compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H) via privilege elevation. No EPSS score, KEV entry, or POC was provided, so real-world exploitation pressure is currently low: this is not confirmed actively exploited and no public exploit is identified. The high AC combined with local-only vector makes reliable weaponization difficult, so this ranks as a moderate-priority patch - meaningful for multi-user, terminal-server, and shared-workstation environments, but not an emergency for single-user endpoints. Note a data conflict: the Tags label this 'Information Disclosure', while the Description explicitly says privilege elevation and the CVSS shows full I:H/A:H impact, so the elevation-of-privilege framing (consistent with CWE-362 and the vector) should be treated as authoritative - verify the exact impact via the MSRC advisory.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

A low-privileged user on a shared Windows 11 or Windows Server 2025 host runs a small tool that repeatedly triggers an App Installer operation while concurrently swapping a shared file or object during the narrow check-to-use window. After many attempts it wins the race, causing the privileged installer path to act on attacker-controlled content and execute code at elevated privilege. No public POC is identified, and the high attack complexity means the attacker likely needs many iterations to succeed.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jul 14, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Windows App Installer (App Installer / MSIX handler) on Windows 11 (23H2 through 26H1) and Windows Server 2025 lets an already-authenticated local attacker win a timing race to elevate to higher privileges. The flaw stems from improper synchronization of a shared resource during concurrent execution, and Microsoft has released a patch. No public exploit identified at time of analysis, and it is not listed in CISA KEV.

RemediationAI

Patch available per vendor advisory - apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-48572 referenced at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-48572, which updates the App Installer component across affected Windows 11 and Windows Server 2025 builds; because App Installer can update out-of-band through the Microsoft Store, ensure the Store/App Installer package itself is current in addition to applying monthly OS updates. The provided data does not specify an exact fixed version, so confirm the target build from the MSRC page before deploying. As a compensating control on high-risk multi-user systems, restrict local interactive logon so untrusted low-privileged users cannot run code locally (this is required to even attempt the race), and consider restricting or disabling the ms-appinstaller protocol handler and non-admin app sideloading via policy where operationally acceptable - the trade-off is that legitimate self-service MSIX installs for standard users will be blocked. Prioritize patching terminal servers, shared workstations, and Server 2025 hosts where multiple users share the machine.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7376
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8875
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2269

Affected Packages

microsoft windows_11_version_23h2_10_0_22631_7376 fix: Windows 11 Version 23H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.22631.7376, Windows 11 Version 23H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.22631.7376
microsoft windows_11_version_24h2_10_0_26100_8875 fix: Windows 11 Version 24H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8875, Windows 11 Version 24H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8875
microsoft windows_11_version_25h2_10_0_26200_8875 fix: Windows 11 Version 25H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8875, Windows 11 Version 25H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8875
microsoft windows_11_version_26h1_10_0_28000_2269 fix: Windows 11 Version 26H1 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2269, Windows 11 version 26H1 for x64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2269
microsoft windows_server_2025_10_0_26100_33158 fix: Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.33158, Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7376
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2269
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 11 packages in microsoft, euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows App Installer is the built-in Microsoft component (App Installer / AppInstaller.exe, associated with MSIX/.appx package installation and the ms-appinstaller protocol) shipped with modern Windows client and server editions. The root cause is CWE-362, a race condition arising from concurrent execution using a shared resource with improper synchronization (a TOCTOU-style window). During package handling, an attacker who can run code locally races the installer's operation on a shared object or file so that a check and the subsequent privileged use of that resource are not atomic, allowing the attacker to substitute or manipulate the resource in the timing gap and have privileged code act on attacker-controlled data. The CPE set confirms the affected code ships across Windows 11 versions 23H2, 24H2, 25H2, 26H1, and Windows Server 2025 including Server Core.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
CIRCL (temporal) 6.1 MEDIUM
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local authenticated foothold required (AV:L/PR:L), race condition makes reliable exploitation hard (AC:H), and successful elevation yields full system compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H).

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:P/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows App Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Windows App Installer on Windows 11 and Windows Server 2025 contains a local privilege escalation vulnerability that allows authenticated users to gain administrative access. No public exploit identified at time of analysis. This creates a direct path for insider threats and compromised accounts to escalate to full system control, requiring immediate patching to eliminate this risk.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 94% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
built-in Windows component across Windows 11 and Server 2025
Vendor Action
See Below
Required. The vulnerability documented by this CVE requires customer action to resolve.
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Information disclosure occurs when an application unintentionally exposes sensitive data that aids attackers in reconnaissance or directly compromises security.

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