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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Craft malicious network packet
  2. Exploit
    Trigger Shell protection bypass
  3. Impact
    Execute arbitrary code with user privileges

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Protection mechanism completeness
Exploitation Conditions

Windows Shell with default security protections enabled. Requires user interaction (UI:R) to click malicious content or accept network-delivered payload. Remote unauthenticated exploitation against vulnerable Windows systems on network-accessible hosts.

Impact

CVSS 8.8 (High). KEV-listed — actively exploited. EPSS 3.8%. No authentication required. Remote exploitation over network. Bypasses fundamental Windows security features (MOTW, SmartScreen). High value for phishing and drive-by attacks.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker delivers a crafted file (via email attachment, download link, or network share) that exploits the Shell bypass to avoid triggering Windows security features. The file appears safe to both Windows and the user — no SmartScreen warning, no Protected View, no MOTW prompt. When opened, the malicious payload executes with the user's full privileges, enabling malware installation, credential theft, or further exploitation.

Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Why: In CISA KEV with patch available.
Exploited in the wild (CISA KEV) Patch available 3.8% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Mar 12, 2026

Windows Shell contains a protection mechanism failure (CVE-2026-21510, CVSS 8.8) that allows unauthenticated remote attackers to bypass security features over a network. KEV-listed, this vulnerability in the core Windows Shell component enables remote code execution by circumventing security boundaries designed to prevent execution of untrusted content received from the network.

Earlier versions of this analysis (1)
v1 Mar 12, 2026 - 22:02 CVSS 8.8

Windows Shell contains a protection mechanism failure (CWE-693) that allows remote attackers to bypass security features designed to prevent execution of malicious content received over the network.

RemediationAI

Apply Microsoft security update immediately. Enable ASR rules for additional Office and Shell protections. Monitor for files bypassing MOTW indicators. Implement email gateway filtering for suspicious attachments.

Affected Packages

microsoft windows_10_version_1607_10_0_14393_8868 fix: Windows 10 Version 1607 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.14393.8868, Windows 10 Version 1607 for x64-based Systems 10.0.14393.8868
microsoft windows_10_version_1809_10_0_17763_8389 fix: Windows 10 Version 1809 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.17763.8389, Windows 10 Version 1809 for x64-based Systems 10.0.17763.8389
microsoft windows_10_version_21h2_10_0_19044_6937 fix: Windows 10 Version 21H2 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.19044.6937, Windows 10 Version 21H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.19044.6937, Windows 10 Version 21H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19044.6937
microsoft windows_10_version_22h2_10_0_19045_6937 fix: Windows 10 Version 22H2 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.19045.6937, Windows 10 Version 22H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.19045.6937, Windows 10 Version 22H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19045.6937
microsoft windows_11_version_23h2_10_0_22631_6649 fix: Windows 11 Version 23H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.22631.6649, Windows 11 Version 23H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.22631.6649
microsoft windows_11_version_24h2_10_0_26100_7840 fix: Windows 11 Version 24H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26100.7840, Windows 11 Version 24H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26100.7840
microsoft windows_11_version_25h2_10_0_26200_7840 fix: Windows 11 Version 25H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26200.7840, Windows 11 Version 25H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26200.7840
microsoft windows_11_version_26h1_10_0_28000_1575 fix: Windows 11 Version 26H1 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.28000.1575, Windows 11 version 26H1 for x64-based Systems 10.0.28000.1575
microsoft windows_server_2012_6_2_9200_25923 fix: Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.25923, Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.25923
microsoft windows_server_2012_r2_6_3_9600_23022 fix: Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.23022, Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.23022
microsoft windows_server_2016_10_0_14393_8868 fix: Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.8868, Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.8868
microsoft windows_server_2019_10_0_17763_8389 fix: Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.8389, Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.8389
microsoft windows_server_2022_10_0_20348_4773 fix: Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.4773, Windows Server 2022 (Server Core installation) 10.0.20348.4773
microsoft windows_server_2022_23h2_edition_10_0_25398_2149 fix: Windows Server 2022, 23H2 Edition (Server Core installation) 10.0.25398.2149
microsoft windows_server_2025_10_0_26100_32370 fix: Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.32370, Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.32370

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 15 packages in microsoft

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Shell handles file associations, shortcut resolution, and rendering of downloaded content. Security mechanisms like Mark of the Web (MOTW), SmartScreen, and Protected View rely on Shell correctly identifying untrusted content. This vulnerability allows attackers to craft content that bypasses these protections, enabling execution of malicious payloads without the security warnings that users expect.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

NVD PRIMARY 8.8 HIGH
AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

Primary rating from NVD · only source for this CVE.

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Network
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
None
User Interaction
Required
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

3
Added to CISA KEV
Feb 11, 2026 - 16:13 cisa
CISA KEV
PoC Detected
Feb 11, 2026 - 16:13 vuln.today
Public exploit code
CVE Published
Feb 10, 2026 - 18:16 nvd
HIGH 8.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Protection mechanism failure in Windows Shell allows an unauthorized attacker to bypass a security feature over a network.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

CVE-2026-21510 is a critical Windows Shell vulnerability actively exploited in the wild that allows attackers to bypass security controls and gain unauthorized network access to affected systems. This poses an immediate threat to any organization running vulnerable Windows environments, potentially enabling attackers to compromise systems without a patch currently available.

Business Impact: Severe
Compensating Controls

Implement network segmentation to restrict shell protocol access; deploy Web Application Firewall (WAF) rules to block malicious Shell requests; disable Windows Shell features and services where business operations permit; enforce strict network access controls and firewall policies limiting Shell-based communications; deploy behavioral analysis and anomaly detection through EDR/XDR solutions; implement application whitelisting to prevent unauthorized Shell execution; increase monitoring and logging of Shell-related activities; enforce multi-factor authentication on critical systems; isolate high-value assets from general network access.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
3.8%
Top 12% exploitable
Exploit
POC
Public exploit code exists
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV Yes
Public POC Yes
EPSS 3.8%
Patch available Yes
Active threat Yes
Deciding rule
In CISA KEV with patch available
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision· derived
Immediate
Exploitation· derived
Active
System Exposure· derived
Open
Automatable· derived
No
Human Impact
Very High

Priority Score

118
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: +50
EPSS: +4
CVSS: +44
PoC: +20
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Affected Products (CPE)CVE.org

cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:arm64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:arm64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:arm64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_24h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:arm64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_24h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_25h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:arm64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_25h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:r2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2016:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2019:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
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