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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local access
  2. Delivery
    Invoke vulnerable NTFS parsing path
  3. Exploit
    Overflow kernel stack buffer
  4. Execution
    Hijack kernel control flow
  5. Impact
    Execute code as SYSTEM

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Stack buffer bounds checking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Execution

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already be authenticated and able to execute code locally on the target Windows system (CVSS PR:L, AV:L), then trigger the vulnerable NTFS metadata-handling path - for example by presenting a crafted volume/filesystem structure or invoking the affected driver operation. No user interaction is required (UI:N) and no special non-default configuration is called out: the defect is in the core NTFS driver present in default Windows installations across the listed builds. The limiting factors are that this is not remotely reachable (local vector only), needs a pre-existing low-privileged account or code-execution foothold, and CISA SSVC rates it not automatable, so it cannot be trivially wormed or mass-exploited.

Impact

The signals are internally consistent and point to a genuine but non-urgent risk. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N, C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.8) describes a local attacker with some existing privilege achieving total compromise, and CISA SSVC agrees: Technical Impact 'total', but Exploitation 'none' and Automatable 'no' - meaning no observed exploitation and no reliable mass-automation path, which fits a local EoP that requires code execution on the host first. EPSS of 0.34% (26th percentile) and the absence of a KEV listing reinforce low near-term exploitation likelihood. There is no conflicting data here: everything (local vector, low EPSS, SSVC 'none', not KEV) aligns to 'important but not actively exploited.' The main caveat is that NTFS EoP bugs are historically attractive as the second stage of a chain after initial access (e.g., paired with a phishing/RCE foothold), so the low EPSS reflects standalone exploitation odds, not the value to an attacker who is already on the box.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has a low-privileged foothold on a Windows host - for example a standard user account gained via phishing or a compromised service - invokes the vulnerable NTFS code path with crafted filesystem metadata to overflow a kernel stack buffer and elevate to SYSTEM. Given AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N, no user interaction and only low existing privileges are needed, though the attacker must first be able to run code locally; no public exploit identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv2 – Jul 20, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Microsoft Windows NTFS driver lets an already-authenticated attacker overflow a stack buffer (CWE-121) to run code with full system-level privileges. It affects a broad swath of supported Windows client and server builds, from Windows 10 1607 and Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1 and Server 2025. No public exploit identified at time of analysis, and CISA's SSVC framework currently rates exploitation as none; EPSS is low at 0.34% (26th percentile), so this is a patch-on-schedule elevation-of-privilege bug rather than an emergency.

Earlier versions of this analysis (1)
v1 Jul 14, 2026 - 18:34 CVSS 7.3

Local privilege escalation in the Microsoft Windows NTFS driver allows an already-authenticated, low-privileged user to gain elevated (likely SYSTEM) privileges by triggering a stack-based buffer overflow, contingent on user interaction. The flaw spans a broad range of supported Windows client and server releases, from Windows 10 1607 and Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1 and Server 2025. Microsoft has issued a patch and reported the issue itself; there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and the CVE is not listed in CISA KEV.

RemediationAI

Vendor-released patch: apply the Microsoft security update that raises each affected OS to at least its fixed build listed above (e.g., Windows 11 24H2/Server 2025 to 10.0.26100.8875/33158, Server 2022 to 10.0.20348.5386, Server 2012 R2 to 6.3.9600.23291) via Windows Update, WSUS, or your patch-management tooling; details are in the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-49789. No filesystem-level workaround is published for an in-kernel NTFS parsing flaw, so patching is the only reliable fix. Until updates are deployed, reduce exposure by limiting who can run code or mount arbitrary volumes on affected hosts - restrict local/interactive logon rights, tighten application allow-listing to prevent attacker-supplied binaries from executing (the required foothold for this local EoP), and monitor for unexpected privilege escalations; note these controls only shrink the population of attackers who can reach the vulnerable code and do not remediate the defect.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2269
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7548
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7548
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8875
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5386
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7548
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7548
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2269
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5386
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 18 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

NTFS is the default on-disk filesystem for Windows, implemented largely in the kernel-mode driver ntfs.sys, which parses filesystem metadata (MFT records, attributes, reparse points, mount points) from disk or mounted volumes. CWE-121, a stack-based buffer overflow, indicates that a fixed-size stack buffer in this parsing/handling path is written past its bounds using attacker-influenced length or content. Because the code runs in kernel context, corrupting the kernel stack can overwrite return addresses or adjacent locals to hijack control flow. The CPE and EUVD data confirm the affected component is the Microsoft Windows operating system itself across many editions (windows_10_version_1607/1809/21H2/22H2, windows_11_version_24H2/25H2/26H1, and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, including Server Core installations), consistent with a shared kernel filesystem defect rather than an application-layer bug.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY HIGH
NVD 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local authenticated low-privileged attacker (AV:L/PR:L) triggers an in-kernel NTFS overflow with no user interaction, yielding SYSTEM-level total compromise (C/I/A:H).

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

3
Analysis Updated
Jul 20, 2026 - 12:28 vuln.today
v2 - CVSS changed
CVSS changed
Jul 20, 2026 - 12:22 NVD
7.3 (HIGH) 7.8 (HIGH)
CVE Published
Jul 14, 2026 - 17:05 cve.org
HIGH 7.3

DescriptionNVD

Stack-based buffer overflow in Windows NTFS allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows NTFS driver (CVE-2026-49789) allows any authenticated user on affected Windows systems to escalate to system-level privileges. No public exploit has been identified at this time; however, the vulnerability affects a broad install base (Windows 10, 11, Server 2012-2025) and carries significant risk if exploited post-compromise. A vendor patch is available and should be deployed through standard change management to mitigate lateral movement and data breach risks.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 74% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
NTFS ships in every supported Windows client and server edition
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

A stack-based buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a buffer located on the stack than it was allocated to hold.

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