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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local access
  2. Delivery
    Invoke vulnerable Windows Installer operation
  3. Exploit
    Overflow stack buffer (CWE-121)
  4. Execution
    Execute payload as SYSTEM
  5. Impact
    Full host compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Stack buffer bounds checking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Execution

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Requires the attacker to already possess local, authenticated low-privilege access to the Windows host (CVSS PR:L, AV:L) - there is no remote or unauthenticated path, which is the primary factor limiting real-world risk. Exploitation targets the Windows Installer (msiexec/MSI) component and needs no user interaction (UI:N) and no special non-default configuration, as Windows Installer is enabled by default on all affected Windows client and server versions. Limiting factors: the attacker must first gain an initial foothold on the machine, and unpatched builds below the fixed versions listed in EUVD (e.g., Windows 11 24H2 <10.0.26100.9711, Windows Server 2025 <10.0.26100.33650) must be present.

Impact

This is a credible, actionable priority despite modest exploitation signals. The CVSS 3.1 base score of 7.8 (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) describes a local privilege-escalation flaw: an attacker needs local access and low-level (authenticated) privileges, but exploitation is low-complexity, requires no user interaction, and yields full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact - i.e., SYSTEM-level compromise via the Windows Installer service. The CVSS vector (AV:L) and the description ('elevate privileges locally') are mutually consistent, so there is no network/local conflict to resolve. No EPSS score, CISA KEV listing, or public POC is present in the provided data; by the precision rules this means no public exploit is identified at time of analysis and there is no evidence of active exploitation. The absence of EPSS/KEV should NOT be read as 'safe' - local EoP bugs in Windows Installer are classic second-stage tools used after initial access and are frequently reverse-engineered from patches shortly after Patch Tuesday. Net: high-severity, broadly deployed, local-only - a strong patch priority for endpoint and server fleets, though not an internet-facing emergency since it cannot be triggered remotely or without an existing foothold.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has a low-privileged foothold on a Windows host (e.g., via phishing, a stolen standard-user credential, or a compromised service account) invokes the vulnerable Windows Installer code path with a crafted input that overflows a stack buffer (CWE-121), overwriting control data to execute code as SYSTEM. No user interaction is required and attack complexity is low. No public exploit code was identified in the provided data, so weaponization would require the attacker to develop or obtain a working exploit.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 13, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows Installer allows an authenticated attacker holding low-privilege access on a Windows host (CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N) to trigger a stack-based buffer overflow and run code in a higher-integrity context, with full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact and no user interaction required. The vulnerability is not remotely reachable and cannot be triggered without an existing foothold on the machine, making it a post-compromise escalation primitive rather than an initial access vector - the primary factor limiting real-world risk. No public exploit code was identified at time of analysis, the issue is not confirmed as actively exploited, and vendor-released patches are available for all affected Windows client and server builds.

RemediationAI

Apply the vendor-released fixes now - Microsoft has published patches for every affected platform and no attacker-side prerequisites beyond local low-privilege access are needed, so unpatched hosts carry an immediate escalation path. Per the EUVD fixed-build data, upgrade to Windows 11 24H2 10.0.26100.9711, Windows 11 25H2 10.0.26200.9711, Windows 11 23H2 10.0.22631.7652, Windows 11 26H1 10.0.28000.3231, or Windows 11 26H2 10.0.26300.9711; Windows 10 21H2/22H2 10.0.19044.7807; Windows 10 1809 10.0.17763.9376; Windows 10 1607 10.0.14393.9612; Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.33650; Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.5761; Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.9376; Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.9612; Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.23470; and Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.26434. Full deployment instructions and detection guidance are in the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-87711. Where patching must be staged, treat this as a privilege-escalation containment problem: reduce the number of accounts with interactive or RDP logon rights on sensitive hosts, and use WDAC or AppLocker to block execution of untrusted .msi/.msp packages and untrusted binaries invoking msiexec, accepting that this will break legitimate ad-hoc software installation workflows. Disabling the Windows Installer service via the DisableMSI policy removes the attack surface entirely but prevents all MSI-based install, repair, and uninstall operations, including many third-party updaters, so it is practical only on hardened, purpose-built servers where package installation is performed through configuration management. Because exploitation requires an existing foothold, monitoring for suspicious msiexec parent/child process relationships is a useful interim detection while patch rollout completes.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The flaw is a stack-based buffer overflow (CWE-121) in the Windows Installer component (msiexec.exe / the Windows Installer service), the subsystem responsible for processing .msi and .msp package files and performing install, repair, and uninstall operations. The root cause class is classic memory-unsafe handling of attacker-influenced input copied onto the stack without adequate bounds checking, which corrupts adjacent stack data such as saved return addresses and can be steered into arbitrary code execution. Because the Installer runs under a privileged service account while accepting work invoked by ordinary interactive users, a successful overflow lets a low-privileged local user cross a privilege boundary - the reason this is scored as elevation of privilege (AV:L, PR:L, UI:N) rather than as a remote code execution issue. Windows Installer is present and enabled by default on all affected Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server releases, so no non-default configuration is required to reach the vulnerable code path; the only prerequisite is prior local access at low privilege. The CVSS 3.1 base score of 7.8 is driven by the impact triad (C:H/I:H/A:H) rather than by ease of access, and our independent assessment confirms the same vector with no deviation.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local privilege escalation requires an existing low-privileged foothold (AV:L, PR:L), is low-complexity with no user interaction, and yields SYSTEM-level full C/I/A impact.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:21 cve.org
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Stack-based buffer overflow in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A high-severity local privilege-escalation flaw in Microsoft Windows Installer (CVE-2026-87711) lets an attacker who already holds low-privilege access on a Windows host escalate to a higher-integrity context with full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact and no user interaction required. Because Windows Installer is present on virtually every supported Windows client and server build, the exposure footprint spans the entire estate, yet exploitation requires an existing foothold and is not remotely reachable, making this a post-compromise escalation primitive rather than a new route into the environment. There is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and no confirmed active exploitation, giving Windows endpoint and server owners a narrow window to patch before reliable tooling emerges.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 85% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer ships in every supported Windows client and server release
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

A stack-based buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a buffer located on the stack than it was allocated to hold.

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