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IBM AIX EUVDEUVD-2026-63387

| CVE-2026-16927 HIGH
Time-of-check Time-of-use (TOCTOU) Race Condition (CWE-367)
2026-08-20 ibm GHSA-4h65-qr29-cvw4
7.0
CVSS 3.1 · NVD
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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain local low-privilege shell on AIX/VIOS
  2. Delivery
    Identify SUID binary or privileged file operation
  3. Exploit
    Race symlink swap during check-use window
  4. Execution
    Redirect operation to sensitive system resource
  5. Impact
    Execute commands or write as root

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture TOCTOU prevention
Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires an existing local authenticated session on the target IBM AIX or PowerVM VIOS host with at least low-privilege OS access (PR:L per CVSS). The attacker must be able to run persistent or looping processes to win the timing window inherent to a TOCTOU race, which the CVSS AC:H metric reflects - reliable exploitation is not guaranteed and typically requires multiple attempts or favorable scheduling conditions. The flaw does not affect remote or unauthenticated attackers: network-level exposure does not apply (AV:L). Exploitation is further constrained by the SSVC finding that it is not automatable at scale. Environments where untrusted or semi-trusted users hold local accounts on AIX/VIOS nodes face the highest realistic risk. Hardened environments with no interactive non-administrative local accounts face negligible residual risk without patching.

Impact

The CVSS 7.0 vector (AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) accurately captures a constrained but high-impact scenario: the attacker must already be authenticated locally with at least low-level OS privileges, and must successfully time a race window, which AC:H reflects. Full CIA impact (H/H/H) is consistent with root acquisition. EPSS at 0.12% places this in the bottom 2% of exploitation likelihood across all CVEs, signalling that automated or opportunistic exploitation is highly unlikely. SSVC corroborates this: 'Automatable: no' confirms that the race condition cannot be reliably scripted at scale, while 'Technical Impact: total' confirms the worst-case outcome if exploitation succeeds. No CISA KEV listing and no known POC further reduce urgency. Contrast with a hypothetical network-accessible TOCTOU: this flaw demands local foothold first, substantially limiting the attacker population. Overall this is a medium-priority patch - serious for environments with untrusted local users on AIX or VIOS nodes, but not an emergency for externally hardened systems.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker with a low-privileged local shell account on an IBM AIX 7.3 system identifies a SUID binary or privileged system call that evaluates a file or symlink in a non-atomic check-then-use sequence. They run a race loop that rapidly swaps a controlled symlink target in the gap between the privilege check and the file operation, redirecting the action to a sensitive system file such as /etc/passwd or a root-owned executable. On a successful race win, the attacker achieves root-level code execution or credential manipulation. No public POC is known, meaning exploitation requires custom tooling and local access.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.1% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv2 – Aug 24, 2026

Local privilege escalation in IBM AIX 7.2, 7.3 and PowerVM VIOS 4.1 enables a low-privileged local attacker to gain root access by winning a time-of-check to time-of-use (TOCTOU) race condition. The attack requires local access and precise timing, reflected in the AC:H CVSS metric, which meaningfully constrains practical exploitability. No public exploit or active exploitation is identified; EPSS sits at 0.12% (2nd percentile), consistent with the SSVC 'Exploitation: none' classification, though SSVC also rates technical impact as total given that successful exploitation yields full root control.

Earlier versions of this analysis (1)
v1 Aug 20, 2026 - 15:38 CVSS 7.3

Local privilege escalation in IBM AIX 7.2, 7.3 and PowerVM VIOS 4.1 allows an authenticated local user with low privileges to gain root access by exploiting a time-of-check to time-of-use (TOCTOU) race condition (CWE-367). The vulnerability arises when a privileged process checks a resource, and an attacker races to substitute a malicious resource before that check result is acted upon, achieving full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact on the affected system. No public exploit or active exploitation confirmed in CISA KEV has been identified at time of analysis; a vendor patch is available via IBM Support.

RemediationAI

Apply the vendor-released fix documented in IBM Security Bulletin at https://www.ibm.com/support/pages/node/7283858; the patch is confirmed available per IBM's advisory, though an exact fix version number was not independently specified in the available intelligence data - consult the bulletin for the precise AIX and VIOS interim fix or Technology Level. Where patching cannot be applied immediately, the primary compensating control is strict enforcement of least privilege: audit and minimize the number of local accounts on AIX and VIOS nodes, remove unnecessary SUID/SGID binaries, and restrict interactive logins to essential administrative accounts only. Monitor for unexpected privilege changes using AIX audit subsystem (auditstream/auditselect). Note that these compensating controls reduce the attacker population but do not eliminate the vulnerability; patching remains the definitive remediation.

Affected VersionsENISA

AIX 7.3
PowerVM VIOS 4.1
AIX 7.2

Affected Packages

euvd aix no fix
euvd powervm_vios no fix

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 2 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

CWE-367 (Time-of-check Time-of-use Race Condition) describes a class of vulnerability where a privileged operation validates a resource - typically a file, symlink, or process attribute - and then acts on it in a separate, non-atomic step. Between check and use, a local attacker can substitute or modify that resource to redirect the privileged operation. In IBM AIX and PowerVM VIOS, the affected component has not been publicly specified beyond the CVE description, but TOCTOU flaws on AIX commonly manifest in SUID binaries, administrative utilities, or kernel interfaces that operate on file-system objects. The CPE strings (cpe:2.3:a:ibm:aix:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:* and cpe:2.3:a:ibm:powervm_vios:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*) cover all subversions of AIX 7.2, AIX 7.3, and PowerVM VIOS 4.1 on IBM Power hardware.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (ibm) PRIMARY HIGH
NVD 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local-only vector, low existing privilege required, high complexity reflects race-window timing; root acquisition yields full CIA impact.

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:P/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (ibm).

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

3
Analysis Updated
Aug 24, 2026 - 20:58 vuln.today
v2 - CVSS changed
CVSS changed
Aug 24, 2026 - 20:52 NVD
7.3 (HIGH) 7.0 (HIGH)
CVE Published
Aug 20, 2026 - 14:38 nvd
HIGH 7.3

DescriptionNVD

IBM AIX 7.2, and 7.3 and IBM PowerVM VIOS 4.1 could allow a local attacker to gain root privileges due to a time-of-check to time-of-use (TOCTOU) race condition.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

IBM AIX 7.2, 7.3, and PowerVM VIOS 4.1 contain a local privilege escalation vulnerability (CVE-2026-16927, CVSS 7.0) that enables system users to gain root access. Although no public exploit identified at time of analysis, successful exploitation would result in complete system compromise for organizations running these infrastructure platforms. Patching is essential for securing these systems.

Business Impact: Medium
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.1%
Top 98% exploitable
Prevalence
Medium
enterprise OS on IBM Power Systems, large-org and government deployments
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.1%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
Medium
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Information disclosure occurs when an application unintentionally exposes sensitive data that aids attackers in reconnaissance or directly compromises security.

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