Attack ChainAIDerived
Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain
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AccessObtain low-privileged local session
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DeliveryLaunch multi-threaded Win32K trigger
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ExploitWin race condition window
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ExecutionCorrupt kernel object state
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PersistHijack token to SYSTEM
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ImpactExecute code with full privileges
Vulnerability Assessment
| Weakness |
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK
1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up. |
| Exploitation Conditions | Exploitation requires the attacker to already possess valid low-privileged local credentials or code execution on the target (CVSS PR:L, AV:L) - this is a second-stage local escalation, not a remote entry point, and cannot be triggered over the network. The key limiting factor is the race condition itself (CWE-362, reflected in AC:H): the attacker must repeatedly trigger concurrent Win32K operations and win a narrow, non-deterministic timing window, so success is probabilistic rather than guaranteed, which is why CISA rates it Automatable 'no.' No user interaction is required (UI:N). The affected feature is the Win32K GUI/kernel subsystem present by default on all listed Windows client and server editions, so no special non-default configuration is needed beyond the OS being unpatched and the attacker having an interactive or programmatic local session. |
| Impact | The signals collectively point to a real but not urgent local escalation issue. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) shows local access with existing low privileges required and, critically, high attack complexity - meaning the attacker must reliably win a race, which is non-deterministic. This aligns with CISA's SSVC assessment: Exploitation 'none' (no observed or public exploitation), Automatable 'no' (the race cannot be reliably scripted at scale), yet Technical Impact 'total' (successful exploitation yields full SYSTEM compromise). EPSS is low at 0.19% (9th percentile), and the CVE is not in CISA KEV. There are no conflicting signals here - every source agrees this is a high-impact-but-hard-to-exploit local EoP that is not currently being exploited. Prioritize it as a standard Patch Tuesday-class kernel fix rather than an emergency, though its total technical impact makes it a valuable second-stage primitive for adversaries who already have code execution. |
| Exploit ScenarioDerived | An attacker who already has a foothold as a standard (non-admin) user - for example via phishing, a compromised service account, or an unprivileged shell on a shared terminal server - runs a program that rapidly and repeatedly triggers the vulnerable Win32K operation from multiple threads to win the timing window. On a successful race, kernel memory is corrupted to hijack a token or execute code at kernel level, granting SYSTEM privileges. No public exploit is identified at time of analysis, and the high attack complexity means the exploit may require many attempts to succeed. |
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Alert meAnalysisAIv2 – Jul 15, 2026
Local privilege escalation in the Windows Win32K kernel-mode subsystem allows an authenticated low-privileged user to win a race condition and elevate to SYSTEM across Windows 10, Windows 11 (through 26H1), and Windows Server 2012 through 2025. Reported by Microsoft with a patch available, it carries CVSS 7.0 but a high attack complexity (AC:H) reflecting the timing-sensitive nature of the flaw. There is no public exploit identified at time of analysis, and EPSS is low (0.19%, 9th percentile), consistent with CISA SSVC rating exploitation as 'none.'
Earlier versions of this analysis (1)
Local privilege escalation in the Windows Win32K kernel-mode subsystem (CWE-362 race condition) lets an already-authenticated low-privileged user win a timing window on an improperly synchronized shared resource to elevate to SYSTEM. It affects a broad span of Windows 10, Windows 11 (through 26H1), and Windows Server releases (2012 through 2025). Microsoft has released a patch; there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and it is not listed in CISA KEV.
RemediationAI
Apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-54107 via the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-54107 (Patch available per vendor advisory); install the fixed cumulative build for your specific OS, for example 10.0.26100.8875 for Windows 11 24H2, 10.0.19045.7548 for Windows 10 22H2, 10.0.20348.5386 for Windows Server 2022, 10.0.17763.9020 for Windows 10 1809/Server 2019, 10.0.14393.9339 for 1607/Server 2016, 6.3.9600.23291 for Server 2012 R2, and 6.2.9200.26226 for Server 2012. Because this is a kernel driver flaw with no configuration toggle, there is no feature-level workaround; until patching, reduce risk by restricting interactive and low-privileged local logon rights on sensitive hosts (limiting who can run code to trigger the race), enforcing least privilege and application allowlisting to prevent untrusted binaries from executing, and monitoring EDR for anomalous SYSTEM-token acquisition - with the trade-off that these controls limit but do not eliminate the local attack surface. Prioritize legacy Server 2012/2012 R2 and any multi-user or terminal-server hosts where untrusted users hold local accounts.
Affected VersionsENISA
Affected Packages
Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)
Affects your stack
Affects 31 packages in microsoft, euvd
Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.
Technical ContextAI · show details
Win32K is the Windows kernel-mode driver (win32k.sys and related graphics/window-management components) that handles the GUI subsystem, window messaging, and GDI operations; it has historically been a rich source of local privilege-escalation bugs because it runs at kernel privilege and is reachable from user-mode via syscalls. The root cause here is CWE-362 (Concurrent Execution using Shared Resource with Improper Synchronization, a 'race condition'): two or more threads access a shared kernel object without proper locking, creating a time-of-check-to-time-of-use window an attacker can exploit to corrupt kernel state. The affected CPE set spans Microsoft Windows client and server editions from Windows 10 1607 and Windows Server 2012 up through Windows 11 26H1 and Windows Server 2025, indicating the vulnerable code path is long-standing in the shared Win32K codebase.
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- Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources
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Severity by source
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
Local low-privileged attacker (AV:L/PR:L) must win a non-deterministic race (AC:H) with no user interaction, yielding full SYSTEM compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H) within the unchanged scope.
Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).
CVSS VectorNVD
Lifecycle Timeline
3DescriptionNVD
Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows Win32K allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.
Executive ViewAI
A privilege escalation vulnerability in Windows affects millions of desktop and server systems across Windows 10, 11 (through 26H1), and Windows Server 2012-2025. Compromise of any low-privileged user account - whether through phishing, credential stuffing, or supply chain attack - would be immediately elevated to full system administrator access, turning individual breaches into infrastructure takeovers. While no public exploit has been identified, the vulnerability's widespread reach and available patch necessitate urgent remediation to prevent opportunistic exploitation.
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Threat Intelligence Overview
How this decision was reached
The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.
What every action level means
SSVC AssessmentENISA
Priority Score
Attack Technique
Information disclosure occurs when an application unintentionally exposes sensitive data that aids attackers in reconnaissance or directly compromises security.
Race conditions occur when multiple concurrent requests exploit the brief time gap between checking a condition and acting upon it (TOCTOU - Time of Check, Time of Use).
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