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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain low-privileged local foothold
  2. Delivery
    Plant symbolic link or junction
  3. Exploit
    Trigger privileged RRAS file operation
  4. Execution
    Service follows link to protected path
  5. Persist
    Redirect write to attacker-controlled target
  6. Impact
    Execute code as SYSTEM

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A01:2025 - Broken Access Control
ASVS 5.0
V5 - File Handling Symlink resolution safety
Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires local, authenticated access to a host where the Routing and Remote Access Service is present and reachable by the attacker's context - the CVSS vector AV:L/PR:L confirms the attacker must already hold a low-privilege account or code-execution foothold on the machine, so this is not remotely exploitable on its own. The attacker must be able to create filesystem links (symlinks/junctions/hard links) in a location the RRAS privileged operation will resolve, and must be able to trigger that operation. Limiting factors that reduce real-world risk: no network vector, no path from an unauthenticated attacker, dependence on the RRAS service being installed/running (common on VPN/routing servers, not on all endpoints), and the current absence of public exploit code (EPSS 0.28%, SSVC exploitation none, not automatable, not in KEV). It is most relevant on multi-user, terminal-server, and Server Core deployments where untrusted low-privilege users share the machine.

Impact

The signals are internally consistent and point to a moderate, patch-on-schedule priority rather than an emergency. The CVSS 3.1 vector CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H yields 7.8 (High): exploitation is local (AV:L) and requires an existing low-privilege foothold (PR:L), but no user interaction, with total confidentiality/integrity/availability impact - matching SSVC's 'Technical Impact: total'. Countering the high severity, EPSS is only 0.28% (20th percentile), SSVC lists 'Exploitation: none' and 'Automatable: no', KEV does not list it, and no public POC is identified - so real-world weaponization risk is currently low. The main caveat is that link-following EoPs in Windows are a well-trodden research area and frequently become reliable local exploits after patch diffing; the low EPSS reflects current absence of public code, not inherent difficulty. Net: prioritize for standard monthly patching, escalating for multi-user, terminal-server, and shared-workstation hosts where local low-privilege attackers are realistic.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

A standard (non-admin) user or a low-privileged process that has already landed on a Windows host that runs RRAS plants a symbolic link or NTFS junction in a location the service will access, then triggers the privileged RRAS file operation so it follows the link into a protected path. By redirecting that write, the attacker overwrites or creates a file executed with SYSTEM privileges, escalating from limited user to full control of the machine. No public POC is identified at time of analysis, and the local-only vector with total technical impact makes this a classic post-compromise privilege-escalation step.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv2 – Jul 20, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows Routing and Remote Access Service (RRAS) lets an already-authenticated low-privileged user (PR:L) abuse a symbolic-link/junction resolution flaw (CWE-59) to redirect a privileged file operation and gain SYSTEM-level control on affected Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server 2012-2025 hosts. Microsoft has released patches; there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and the flaw is not in CISA KEV, with a low EPSS of 0.28% (20th percentile). SSVC rates technical impact as total but marks exploitation as none and not automatable, consistent with a hands-on local escalation rather than a mass-exploitable remote bug.

Earlier versions of this analysis (1)
v1 Jul 14, 2026 - 18:32 CVSS 7.1

Local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows Routing and Remote Access Service (RRAS) allows an already-authenticated low-privileged user to abuse a link-following (symlink/junction) flaw to gain higher privileges on the host. The bug affects a broad range of client and server SKUs from Windows Server 2012 through Windows Server 2025 and Windows 10 1607 through Windows 11 26H1, and Microsoft has shipped a fix. There is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and it is not listed in CISA KEV.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-49791 via the standard monthly cumulative update, referenced at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-49791 - Vendor-released patch: install at least the fixed build for your OS (for example 10.0.19045.7548 for Windows 10 22H2, 10.0.26100.8875 for Windows 11 24H2, 10.0.20348.5386 for Windows Server 2022, or 10.0.26100.33158 for Windows Server 2025). Because exploitation requires the RRAS service, hosts that do not need routing/VPN/dial-up should disable and stop the Routing and Remote Access service (services.msc / Stop-Service RemoteAccess), which removes the attack surface entirely with the trade-off of losing any RRAS-provided VPN, NAT, or routing on that machine. Where the service must run and patching is delayed, reduce the population of local low-privilege users on the affected host (e.g., on servers restrict interactive/console logon rights) since exploitation depends on an existing local foothold; this does not fix the flaw and only shrinks the attacker pool. Prioritize multi-user and Server Core systems and confirm the build number after patching.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7548
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5386
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2269
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7548
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8875
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7548
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7548
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2269
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5386
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 18 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

RRAS is the Windows service that provides routing, dial-up/VPN remote access, and NAT functionality, running with high privilege as part of the OS networking stack. The root cause is CWE-59, improper link resolution before file access ('link following'): the service accesses a file by path without safely validating that the path has not been redirected through a symbolic link, junction, or hard link controlled by a lower-privileged user. When a privileged process follows such an attacker-planted link, it can be tricked into writing to, creating, or overwriting a file the attacker could not otherwise touch, converting the service's privileges into arbitrary file operations. The CPE data confirms the affected components are Microsoft OS builds spanning Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 (24H2, 25H2, 26H1), and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, including Server Core installations.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY HIGH
NVD 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local attacker with an existing low-privilege account (AV:L/PR:L) abuses link following without user interaction to reach SYSTEM, yielding full C/I/A impact within an unchanged scope.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
CVSS changed
Jul 20, 2026 - 10:37 NVD
7.1 (HIGH) 7.8 (HIGH)
CVE Published
Jul 14, 2026 - 17:05 nvd
HIGH 7.1

DescriptionNVD

Improper link resolution before file access ('link following') in Windows Routing and Remote Access Service (RRAS) allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

CVE-2026-49791 affects Windows RRAS (Routing and Remote Access Service) across Windows 10, 11, and Server versions, enabling local privilege escalation to SYSTEM-level control for any user with an existing account on affected systems. Microsoft has released patches; exploitation risk is low given the local-access requirement and absence of public exploit code, making this a manageable risk for typical enterprise environments.

Business Impact: Medium
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 80% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
core Windows OS component across all supported client and server editions
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
Medium
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

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