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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local foothold
  2. Delivery
    Interact with Windows Installer service
  3. Exploit
    Trigger use-after-free race window
  4. Execution
    Reclaim freed memory with controlled data
  5. Persist
    Hijack execution flow
  6. Impact
    Elevate to SYSTEM privileges

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Memory lifecycle management
MITRE ATT&CK

2 techniques across 2 tactics: Execution, Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already have local, authenticated access to the host as a low-privileged user (PR:L) who can interact with the Windows Installer service; no user interaction by a victim is needed (UI:N). The primary limiting factor is high attack complexity (AC:H): the use-after-free is a memory-corruption race condition that demands precise timing to free and reclaim the object, so exploitation is not guaranteed on a single attempt and may fail under hardened or heavily loaded conditions. It is not remotely reachable (AV:L) and cannot be triggered by an unauthenticated attacker; it affects default configurations of the listed Windows client and server versions prior to the patched builds, so no special non-default feature needs to be enabled.

Impact

This is a moderate-priority local privilege escalation (CVSS 7.0) affecting the Windows Installer component across virtually the entire supported Windows ecosystem. The signals are internally consistent and point away from an urgent, mass-exploitation scenario: the CVSS vector is AV:L/AC:H/PR:L (local access, high attack complexity, requires an already-authenticated low-privileged user), and CISA's SSVC framework corroborates this with Exploitation='none' and Automatable='no'. The one signal pulling upward is SSVC Technical Impact='total', matching the CVSS C:H/I:H/A:H (full SYSTEM-level compromise if successful). No EPSS score was supplied in the input, and there is no KEV listing and no evidence of public exploit code, so exploitation probability cannot be quantified but the qualitative signals (AC:H, UAF requiring a race/timing window, no automatability) suggest low near-term likelihood. Net: a real but not top-tier priority - a reliable local EoP primitive valuable as a second-stage escalation after initial foothold, rather than an internet-facing emergency. Prioritize patching for high-value/multi-user hosts; the broad Windows footprint raises aggregate exposure even though per-host exploitability is gated by AC:H and local authenticated access.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already gained low-privileged authenticated code execution on a Windows host (e.g., via phishing or a prior foothold) triggers a use-after-free condition in the Windows Installer service, winning a timing/race window to manipulate freed memory and execute attacker-controlled code at SYSTEM. Because AC:H reflects a non-trivial race, the attacker may need multiple attempts, but success yields full local compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H). No public proof-of-concept exploit was identified in the provided data.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 13, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows Installer (msiexec/msiserver) component lets an already-authenticated, low-privileged local user corrupt memory and escalate to SYSTEM on affected Windows client and server builds. The defect is a use-after-free race condition, so exploitation demands precise timing and may fail under hardened or heavily loaded conditions, but a successful run yields full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact on the host. It affects default configurations of Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server 2012 through 2025 prior to the vendor's patched builds; per CISA's SSVC assessment exploitation is 'none' and no public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis, while a vendor patch is available per the Microsoft advisory.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft vendor patch for the applicable build, which is shipped as the cumulative update that raises each affected platform to its fixed revision: Windows 11 26H2 to 10.0.26300.9711, Windows 11 26H1 to 10.0.28000.3231, Windows 11 25H2 to 10.0.26200.9711, Windows 11 24H2 to 10.0.26100.9711, Windows 11 23H2 to 10.0.22631.7652, Windows 10 22H2 and 21H2 to 10.0.19044.7807, Windows 10 1809 to 10.0.17763.9376, Windows 10 1607 to 10.0.14393.9612, Windows Server 2025 to 10.0.26100.33650, Windows Server 2022 to 10.0.20348.5761, Windows Server 2019 to 10.0.17763.9376, Windows Server 2016 to 10.0.14393.9612, Windows Server 2012 R2 to 6.3.9600.23470, and Windows Server 2012 to 6.2.9200.26434 - with the definitive per-build list at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-96307. Because exploitation is local, authenticated, and dependent on a high-complexity memory race, the practical interim controls are attack-surface reduction rather than network fencing: remove local interactive and batch logon rights from non-administrative users on multi-user hosts such as RDP session hosts and terminal servers (this blocks the PR:L prerequisite outright, at the cost of restricting shared-host workflows); keep the Windows Installer service enabled only where software deployment actually requires it, since stopping the msiserver service breaks MSI/MSIX installation, patching, and many enterprise deployment tools; and enable exploit mitigations that make SYSTEM-level code execution harder to complete, including HVCI/memory integrity, Credential Guard, and LSA protection, accepting that HVCI carries a modest performance and legacy-driver-compatibility cost. Monitoring-side, alert on msiexec.exe spawning unexpected child processes or making anomalous privileged registry and file-system changes, and on unusual service restarts of the Windows Installer service, which are plausible side effects of a failed UAF grooming attempt.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The vulnerability is a use-after-free (CWE-416), a memory-safety class in which a heap object is released but a stale pointer to it is subsequently dereferenced. Windows Installer is the MSI/MSIX deployment subsystem: the msiexec.exe client communicates with the Windows Installer service (msiserver), which runs as SYSTEM and brokers privileged per-machine installation operations such as file copy, registry writes, service registration, and custom-action execution. A use-after-free reachable through that service boundary gives a low-privileged caller the ability to have freed heap memory reclaimed with attacker-influenced content, turning the dangling reference into a controlled pointer dereference and ultimately arbitrary code or write execution in the SYSTEM security context of the installer service. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) confirms local reachability (not remotely triggerable), high attack complexity consistent with a heap grooming/race window, low privileges required, no victim interaction, and unchanged scope with high impact across all three security objectives; the associated tags for denial of service and memory corruption reflect that an uncontrolled UAF read or write can also simply crash the service, making reliability the main practical constraint on an attacker.

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local authenticated low-priv user (AV:L/PR:L), high complexity from the UAF race window (AC:H), no user interaction, yielding full SYSTEM impact (C:H/I:H/A:H).

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:21 cve.org
HIGH 7.0

DescriptionCVE.org

Use after free in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A memory-corruption flaw in the Windows Installer service affects default installations of Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, allowing a user who already has local access to a machine to gain full SYSTEM-level control of that host. Because every unpatched Windows endpoint, server, and VDI image in the estate is potentially exposed, the risk is broad rather than isolated, though exploitation requires local access, precise timing, and may fail on hardened or busy systems. The practical exposure is a compromised workstation or server being turned into a fully controlled platform, which threatens credential theft, lateral movement, and ransomware staging, while no public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis and a vendor patch is available.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch. Where deployment is delayed, restrict interactive and remote local logon rights to the minimum necessary, remove unnecessary local administrative privileges, enforce application allow-listing, and monitor for unexpected SYSTEM-level process creation and msiexec activity on affected Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server 2012-2025 hosts.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 90% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
core Windows OS component present on nearly all Windows installations
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Use-after-free vulnerabilities occur when a program continues to access memory through a pointer after that memory has been deallocated.

Memory corruption occurs when a program writes data beyond the boundaries of allocated memory regions or accesses memory in unintended ways, violating the integrity of the process's address space.

Denial of Service attacks render applications or systems unavailable by overwhelming resources or triggering failure conditions.

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