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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local foothold
  2. Delivery
    Invoke crafted Windows Installer operation
  3. Exploit
    Trigger use-after-free (CWE-416)
  4. Execution
    Reclaim freed object with controlled data
  5. Persist
    Execute code as SYSTEM
  6. Impact
    Full host compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Memory lifecycle management
MITRE ATT&CK

2 techniques across 2 tactics: Execution, Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already possess local, authenticated/authorized access to the target Windows system (PR:L) and the ability to execute code or invoke Windows Installer operations as a low-privileged user; it cannot be triggered remotely or by an unauthenticated party. No user interaction is needed (UI:N), and the affected component - the Windows Installer (msiexec/MSI service) - is present and enabled by default across all supported Windows 10/11 and Windows Server 2012 through 2025 builds listed in the EUVD data, so no special non-default configuration is required. The primary limiting factor is the need for a prior local foothold, which confines this to post-compromise privilege escalation rather than initial access.

Impact

This is a credible local privilege-escalation issue but not a top-tier emergency. The CVSS 3.1 vector (CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.8 HIGH) shows local attack vector with low complexity, requiring low privileges (an authenticated/authorized local user) and no user interaction, yielding full high confidentiality, integrity and availability impact - consistent with a CWE-416 use-after-free in Windows Installer that an attacker leverages to escalate to SYSTEM. No EPSS score, KEV listing, or public POC was provided in the input, so exploitation probability signals are absent rather than low - do NOT read the missing EPSS as evidence of low risk. SSVC-style reasoning: exploitation status is 'none' (no public exploit identified), automatable is effectively No (local vector requiring prior foothold), technical impact is Total. The practical priority is driven by the fact that Windows Installer runs with high privilege and this is a classic local EoP primitive favored in post-compromise chains, but it requires the attacker to already have code execution as a low-privileged user, which bounds real-world urgency below that of a remote unauthenticated flaw. No conflicting signals between the vector and description were found - both point to local, authorized, privilege-escalation.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has low-privileged authenticated access to a Windows host (e.g., via phishing, a compromised service account, or a web-exploit foothold) runs a crafted process that drives Windows Installer into a use-after-free, corrupting memory in a SYSTEM-level context. By controlling the freed-then-reused object, they execute code as SYSTEM and take full control of the machine. No public exploit was identified at time of analysis and no user interaction is required (UI:N).

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 13, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows Installer (msiexec) allows an authenticated low-privileged attacker who already has code execution on a target Windows host to trigger a use-after-free memory corruption and gain elevated (SYSTEM/administrator) rights, with no user interaction required. The flaw affects supported Windows 10/11 and Windows Server 2012 through 2025 builds where the installer is enabled by default, so it is a post-compromise escalation vector rather than an initial-access path. Vendor patches are available and no public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis.

RemediationAI

Apply the vendor-released Microsoft update for CVE-2026-88080; the EUVD data identifies fixed builds such as Windows 11 25H2 10.0.26200.9711, Windows 11 24H2 10.0.26100.9711, Windows 11 23H2 10.0.22631.7652, Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.33650, Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.5761, Windows Server 2019 / Windows 10 1809 10.0.17763.9376, Windows Server 2016 / Windows 10 1607 10.0.14393.9612, Windows 10 21H2/22H2 10.0.19044.7807, Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.26434 and Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.23470 - consult https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-88080 for the exact KB per SKU. Because exploitation requires an existing local low-privileged foothold, prioritize patching on multi-user systems, RDP/VDI hosts and servers where untrusted users can run code. If patching must be deferred, compensating controls include restricting which accounts may invoke msiexec or install MSI packages via application allowlisting, Software Restriction Policies or WDAC - at the trade-off of potentially breaking legitimate MSI-based software deployment and updates for restricted users - plus monitoring for unusual msiexec.exe child processes or abrupt privilege changes and enforcing least privilege to limit the foothold this escalation depends on.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The issue is a use-after-free (CWE-416) in the Windows Installer, the component responsible for installing, repairing and removing MSI packages and normally exposed through msiexec.exe and the associated Windows Installer service. In a use-after-free, an object or memory region is freed while a reference to it is still retained; a local attacker able to invoke installer operations as a low-privileged user can cause the dangling reference to be reused, corrupting memory and potentially redirecting execution in the context of the higher-privileged installer service. The assigned tags (Use After Free, Memory Corruption, Denial Of Service, Microsoft) align with this root cause, and the CVSS vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) describes a locally exploitable, low-complexity, authenticated escalation requiring no victim interaction. Since Windows Installer ships and runs by default across the desktop and server SKUs listed in the EUVD data - including Server Core installations - no non-default configuration is needed to reach the vulnerable code; the practical barrier is the pre-existing local foothold.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local use-after-free triggerable by an authenticated low-privileged user (AV:L, PR:L) with no interaction, escalating to SYSTEM for full C/I/A impact within the same scope.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:21 cve.org
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Use after free in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Microsoft Windows Installer (msiexec) contains a local privilege escalation vulnerability affecting supported Windows 10/11 and Windows Server 2012 through 2025 builds. A low-privileged attacker who already has code execution on a host could exploit this flaw to gain SYSTEM/administrator rights without user interaction, turning an existing foothold into full system compromise. Leadership should prioritize patching because affected endpoints and servers can become high-value lateral movement or persistence platforms if an attacker is already present.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 85% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer ships in every supported Windows client and server edition
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Use-after-free vulnerabilities occur when a program continues to access memory through a pointer after that memory has been deallocated.

Memory corruption occurs when a program writes data beyond the boundaries of allocated memory regions or accesses memory in unintended ways, violating the integrity of the process's address space.

Denial of Service attacks render applications or systems unavailable by overwhelming resources or triggering failure conditions.

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