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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local session
  2. Delivery
    Trigger Performance Monitor code path
  3. Exploit
    Win race on shared resource
  4. Execution
    Execute code as SYSTEM
  5. Impact
    Full local privilege escalation

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Requires an attacker who already holds a valid low-privileged local account on the Windows host (PR:L) and the ability to repeatedly invoke the Windows Performance Monitor component to exploit improper synchronization of a shared resource (CWE-362). No user interaction is needed (UI:N). Exploitation is LIMITED by high attack complexity (AC:H): success depends on winning a non-deterministic timing window, so attempts are probabilistic and may fail repeatedly, and the vector is local-only (AV:L) - there is no remote or unauthenticated path. These factors, plus CISA Automatable=no, make reliable weaponization difficult despite the total technical impact.

Impact

This is a genuine but moderate-priority local privilege escalation. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.0) requires local access, already-held low privileges, and winning a timing-sensitive race (AC:H), while delivering total impact (C:H/I:H/A:H) consistent with SYSTEM-level compromise. The corroborating signals are consistent and point AWAY from urgent mass exploitation: EPSS is only 0.25% (15th percentile), CISA SSVC lists Exploitation=none and Automatable=no (race conditions are inherently hard to automate reliably), and there is no KEV listing and no public exploit. SSVC Technical Impact=total aligns with the C/I/A=High impact. The one tension worth noting is between the high technical impact and the low likelihood/automatability - this is a high-severity-if-exploited flaw but not a wormable, broadly-automated threat. No data is strongly conflicting; the main caveat is that only an MSRC reference is provided, so affected-build details come from EUVD rather than a parsed vendor advisory.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has a low-privileged local account (e.g., via phishing or a standard user session) runs a tool that repeatedly triggers the vulnerable Windows Performance Monitor code path, racing a shared resource to corrupt state at the right moment. On a successful race they gain SYSTEM privileges for full host takeover. No public exploit code is identified at time of analysis, and the high attack complexity (timing-dependent race) means exploitation may require many attempts.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv2 – Oct 16, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows Performance Monitor lets an attacker who already holds a valid low-privileged local account repeatedly invoke the component, win a non-deterministic race condition on a shared resource, and escalate to higher privileges with high confidentiality, integrity and availability impact. Affected platforms per the CPE and EUVD data span Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 (23H2 through 26H2) and Windows Server 2012, 2012 R2, 2016, 2019, 2022 and 2025, including Server Core installations. Exploitation is constrained by local-only access and high attack complexity (CISA SSVC rates it non-automatable and no public exploit was identified at time of analysis); EPSS is low at 0.25% (15th percentile) and the flaw is not in CISA KEV, making this a genuine but moderate-priority local privilege escalation with a vendor patch available.

Earlier versions of this analysis (1)
v1 Oct 14, 2026 - 03:48 CVSS 6.7

Privilege elevation in Windows Performance Monitor lets a locally authenticated low-privileged attacker on an affected Windows host gain higher-integrity execution by winning a timing-dependent race condition (CWE-362) in the component's handling of a shared resource. The assessed vector (CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, score 6.7) confirms the attacker must already hold valid local low-privileged credentials and must also induce user interaction, while the high attack-complexity metric reflects that the race is narrow and not reliably winnable on any single attempt. No public exploit code has been identified and CISA's SSVC assessment records exploitation as "none"; vendor patches are available, so this is a genuine but moderate-priority issue that should be handled through normal monthly patch cycles rather than emergency response.

RemediationAI

Vendor-released patch is available: apply the current Microsoft cumulative security update for this CVE as mapped in the MSRC update guide (https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-85333), which brings affected builds to the fixed thresholds published in the EUVD/NVD data - 10.0.14393.9612 for Windows 10 1607 and Server 2016, 10.0.17763.9376 for Windows 10 1809 and Server 2019, 10.0.19044.7807 for Windows 10 21H2 and 22H2, 10.0.20348.5761 for Server 2022, 10.0.26100.33650 for Server 2025, 10.0.26100.9711 for Windows 11 24H2, 10.0.22631.7652 for Windows 11 23H2, 10.0.26200.9711 for Windows 11 25H2, 10.0.28000.3231 for Windows 11 26H1, 10.0.26300.9711 for Windows 11 26H2, 6.2.9200.26434 for Server 2012 and 6.3.9600.23470 for Server 2012 R2, and prioritize systems where untrusted or non-administrative users have interactive local logon. No documented configuration workaround removes the flawed shared-resource synchronization, so until patching completes the actionable compensating controls are to constrain local interactive access: deny interactive logon to untrusted local accounts and remove unnecessary users from the 'Performance Log Users' and 'Performance Monitor Users' groups so ordinary accounts cannot drive the counter/logging subsystem, accepting the trade-off that legitimate monitoring agents and third-party APM tooling that rely on those groups will fail until membership is restored. Reducing the number of low-privileged accounts able to run perfmon is effective but operationally invasive on shared or jump hosts, and EDR detection of repeated performance-counter access is possible but noisy, since Windows monitoring agents legitimately produce similar telemetry.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The root cause is CWE-362, concurrent execution using a shared resource with improper synchronization, inside the Windows Performance Monitor subsystem (the perfmon MMC snap-in and the underlying performance counter / performance data helper infrastructure that brokers access to shared counter and logging objects). A low-privileged local process that can repeatedly drive the same code path can interleave its operations with a higher-privileged consumer of the shared object and win the timing window, yielding execution in a more privileged context. The CVSS:3.1 vector AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H is internally consistent with that model: it is strictly local, requires an existing low-privileged account, needs no user interaction, leaves scope unchanged, and inflicts total technical impact across confidentiality, integrity and availability per CISA SSVC (Technical Impact: total). The high attack complexity reflects a probabilistic, non-deterministic window that may fail repeatedly, and CISA's Automatable=no determination indicates the race cannot be triggered reliably at scale without bespoke work. Note the mild tagging inconsistency in the source data, which labels the CVE with an 'Information Disclosure' tag while the assessed vector and SSVC rating describe full privilege elevation with integrity and availability impact. CPE entries explicitly enumerate Windows 10 1607, 1809, 21H2 and 22H2 in x86, x64 and arm64 (21H2/22H2), and the accompanying tags extend coverage to Windows 11 23H2/24H2/25H2/26H1/26H2 and Windows Server 2012 through 2025.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

NVD PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local race condition exploitable only by an existing low-privileged user who must win a timing window, so AV:L/AC:H/PR:L; successful escalation yields SYSTEM, giving full C/I/A impact.

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from NVD.

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

4
Severity Changed
Oct 16, 2026 - 18:25 NVD
MEDIUM HIGH
CVSS changed
Oct 16, 2026 - 18:25 NVD
6.7 (MEDIUM) 7.0 (HIGH)
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:20 cve.org
MEDIUM 6.7

DescriptionNVD

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows Performance Monitor allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A local privilege escalation flaw in Microsoft Windows Performance Monitor affects Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, including Server Core deployments across the organization's workstation and server estate. Because exploitation requires an attacker to already hold a valid low-privileged local account and to repeatedly win a timing-dependent race condition, the realistic risk is a malicious insider, a compromised service account, or an attacker who has already achieved an initial foothold attempting to expand access to administrative privileges. Leadership should treat this as a moderate-priority hardening item rather than an emergency, but it remains relevant to any organization whose threat model includes lateral movement and privilege escalation after an initial breach.

Business Impact: Medium
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 85% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
core Windows OS component across Windows 10/11 and Server editions
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
Medium
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

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