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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain local user account on target
  2. Delivery
    Invoke Windows Installer with crafted input
  3. Exploit
    Trigger stack-based buffer overflow
  4. Execution
    Overwrite stack return address
  5. Persist
    Redirect execution to attacker payload
  6. Impact
    Execute arbitrary code as SYSTEM

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Stack buffer bounds checking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Execution

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires a valid local user account on the target system - the CVSS PR:L metric confirms that at least low-privileged authenticated local access is a prerequisite; unauthenticated exploitation is not possible. The attack vector is strictly local (AV:L), meaning the attacker must already be present on the system via interactive login, RDP session, SSH, or an existing malware foothold. No user interaction from a second party is required (UI:N), and no elevated privileges are needed to initiate the attack. The available data does not identify a specific non-default configuration toggle or feature flag that must be enabled; however, the exact Installer API call or installation workflow that triggers the overflow is not confirmed and should be verified via the MSRC advisory. Exploitation is limited to the local attack surface - network-remote unauthenticated exploitation is not applicable to this vulnerability.

Impact

The CVSS 7.8 rating (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) accurately captures a well-understood threat model: a low-privileged local account is sufficient, no special configuration is required, and the impact is full CIA compromise at SYSTEM level. Attack complexity is genuinely low - no race conditions, heap grooming, or information leaks are implied by the available data - making this more reliably exploitable than many LPE flaws that carry a similar score. No EPSS score was provided in the source intelligence, so statistical exploitation probability cannot be quantified, but Windows Installer LPE vulnerabilities are a historically favored post-exploitation primitive used to escape constrained service accounts or malware sandboxes; even a small IT operation running shared Windows infrastructure should treat this as an urgent patching priority rather than deferring it to the next maintenance cycle. There is no KEV listing and no public exploit code at time of analysis, which moderates immediate urgency but does not reduce patch priority given the product's ubiquitous footprint and the low barrier to exploitation once a local foothold exists.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has obtained a standard local or domain user account - whether through credential theft, phishing, or an initial-access exploit - invokes the Windows Installer component with specially crafted input that overflows a stack buffer, overwriting the return address to redirect execution. Because Windows Installer operates in an elevated context, successful exploitation yields SYSTEM-level code execution from a previously unprivileged position. No public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis, but the low attack complexity (AC:L) suggests the vulnerability is mechanically straightforward to exploit once the triggering input is identified.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Aug 11, 2026

Stack-based buffer overflow in the Windows Installer component (msiexec) enables local privilege escalation to SYSTEM on affected Windows systems. An attacker holding any standard local user account can trigger the overflow with low complexity and no user interaction required, achieving full compromise of confidentiality, integrity, and availability. No public exploit has been identified at time of analysis, and this vulnerability does not appear in the CISA KEV catalog based on available data.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-70346 as soon as it is released; the definitive patch version and affected product list are available at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-70346. No exact fix version was confirmed in the provided source data, so the MSRC advisory must be consulted directly. As compensating controls prior to patching: restrict local interactive and RDP logon rights to only necessary accounts using Group Policy (User Rights Assignment), reducing the population of accounts that could trigger the vulnerability. Enforce application control policies via AppLocker or Windows Defender Application Control to limit which user contexts can invoke msiexec.exe directly. Monitor Windows Installer activity through Event IDs 1033, 1034, and 11707 for anomalous or unexpected installation attempts originating from non-administrative accounts. These controls reduce exposure but do not eliminate risk for accounts that legitimately require Installer access.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7517
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7663
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2704
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5499
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7663
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9168
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9168

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7663
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7663
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7517
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9168
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9168
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2704
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5499
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33296
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33296

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 19 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Installer (msiexec.exe and its associated service) is the built-in Microsoft Windows subsystem responsible for software installation, repair, and removal; it runs in an elevated context as part of the OS core. CWE-121 (Stack-based Buffer Overflow) identifies the root cause: a stack-allocated buffer is written beyond its bounds, overwriting adjacent stack memory - including saved return addresses or frame pointers - enabling an attacker to redirect control flow. The CVSS vector AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N is fully consistent with this class: a low-privileged local caller supplies malformed input to the Installer component, which processes it in an elevated context, allowing privilege escalation without any race condition or timing dependency (AC:L). The scope remains unchanged (S:U), meaning the exploit's impact is contained to the Windows Installer process and the OS security boundary it runs within - though SYSTEM-level code execution effectively represents full host compromise.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local vector and low privileges match an authorized local user abusing the elevated Installer service; SYSTEM-level escalation justifies full C/I/A:H with no scope change.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Aug 11, 2026 - 18:19 EUVD
CVE Published
Aug 11, 2026 - 17:19 nvd
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Stack-based buffer overflow in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Windows Installer (msiexec) vulnerability CVE-2026-70346 enables standard local users to escalate privileges to SYSTEM level with no public exploit identified at time of analysis, yet no vendor patch currently available. This exposes every Windows endpoint to insider-initiated system compromise and post-breach lateral movement. Immediate deployment of compensating controls is essential while awaiting patches from Microsoft.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

No vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis. Interim mitigations include restricting local account creation, implementing application whitelisting for msiexec execution, real-time monitoring of privilege escalation and Windows Installer activity, limiting administrative account access, and enforcing endpoint access controls to reduce local attack surface.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 76% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
core installer subsystem in all modern Windows OS versions
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

A stack-based buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a buffer located on the stack than it was allocated to hold.

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