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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain local low-privileged foothold
  2. Delivery
    Invoke/race Windows Installer operation
  3. Exploit
    Trigger use-after-free on freed object
  4. Execution
    Reclaim memory and execute code
  5. Impact
    Elevate to SYSTEM privileges

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Memory lifecycle management
MITRE ATT&CK

2 techniques across 2 tactics: Execution, Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already have local, authenticated access to the target host with at least low-level user privileges (PR:L) - this is not remotely reachable (AV:L) and needs no victim interaction (UI:N). The use-after-free must be triggered through a Windows Installer (MSI) operation, and the High attack complexity (AC:H) indicates a non-trivial limiting condition such as winning a race window or achieving a specific heap state before the freed object is reused, which reduces reliability and may require repeated attempts. Affected scope spans Windows 10 (1607/1809/21H2/22H2), Windows 11 (23H2/24H2/25H2/26H1/26H2), and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, so exploitation is limited to builds below the patched versions listed in EUVD-2026-100079; patched builds are not vulnerable.

Impact

This is a moderate-priority, NOT an emergency-patch item. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.0) describes a use-after-free (CWE-416) in Windows Installer that requires LOCAL access, LOW but existing privileges (PR:L, so the attacker must already be an authenticated user on the box), and HIGH attack complexity (AC:H) - meaning the attacker must win a race or satisfy specific heap/timing conditions to reliably trigger the free-then-reuse. Against that, the impact is full compromise once achieved (C:H/I:H/A:H), consistent with an elevation-of-privilege-to-SYSTEM outcome typical of Windows Installer flaws. On the threat side the signals are quiet and consistent: no CISA KEV listing, no public POC identified, and no EPSS score was supplied, so there is no evidence of active or imminent mass exploitation. No signals conflict here - a local, high-complexity, privilege-required EoP with a vendor patch available but no exploitation evidence is a routine 'patch in normal cycle' item rather than a drop-everything priority. The main caveat is missing data: EPSS and any SSVC/automatable determination were not provided, so exploitation probability is inferred from the absence of KEV/POC rather than measured.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

A local, already-authenticated low-privileged user (or malware running in a standard user context) invokes or races a Windows Installer operation to trigger the use-after-free, reusing freed memory to corrupt an object and redirect execution into attacker-controlled data, gaining SYSTEM-level privileges. Because attack complexity is High, the attacker likely needs to win a timing/race window and may require multiple attempts. No public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 13, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Windows Installer (MSI) lets an attacker who already holds low-level authenticated access to a host trigger a use-after-free and execute code with full impact to confidentiality, integrity, and availability, escaping the confines of their original user context. Exploitation is strictly local, requires no victim interaction, and is gated by high attack complexity - a narrow heap-reuse or race window must be won, which lowers reliability and typically demands repeated attempts. No public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis and the flaw has not been confirmed actively exploited (no CISA KEV listing), and because Microsoft has shipped fixed builds for every affected Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server release, this is a moderate-priority update rather than an emergency-patch item.

RemediationAI

Vendor-released patch: install the Microsoft security update that brings each host to or above its fixed build - Windows 10 1607 / Server 2016 to 10.0.14393.9612, Windows 10 1809 / Server 2019 to 10.0.17763.9376, Windows 10 21H2 and 22H2 to 10.0.19044.7807, Windows 11 23H2 to 10.0.22631.7652, Windows 11 24H2 to 10.0.26100.9711, Windows 11 25H2 to 10.0.26200.9711, Windows 11 26H1 to 10.0.28000.3231, Windows 11 26H2 to 10.0.26300.9711, Server 2022 to 10.0.20348.5761, Server 2025 (including Server Core) to 10.0.26100.33650, Server 2012 to 6.2.9200.26434, and Server 2012 R2 to 6.3.9600.23470, per the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-87715; prioritize multi-user workstations, jump hosts, VDI pools, and any Server 2012/2012 R2 systems still in service, since those legacy platforms no longer receive ordinary servicing and require the specific Extended Security Update package. Because exploitation requires an already-authenticated local user, the effective compensating controls are around reducing the attacker's ability to reach the vulnerable MSI code path at all: tighten who holds interactive or RDP logon rights on high-value hosts (removing unnecessary local accounts and local admin rights removes the PR:L foothold entirely, at the cost of administrative convenience), and consider the machine-wide policy that disables the Windows Installer service for standard users (the DisableMSI registry value under HKLM\Software\Policies\Microsoft\Windows\Installer), which blocks untrusted MSI-driven install and repair operations but will also break legitimate software deployment, patching, and repair workflows and must be paired with an application-deployment exception process. Layer application control such as WDAC or AppLocker to prevent untrusted binaries from being staged for the race window and monitor for anomalous msiexec.exe child processes, since the high attack complexity means exploitation attempts are likely to generate repeated crashes or corrupted-installer events; these detections are indicators, not blockers, and should not be treated as a substitute for patching. Note that the update also closes the denial-of-service and general memory-corruption behavior associated with the same use-after-free, so partial mitigations that only suppress the crash do not remove the elevation-of-privilege risk.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The root cause is CWE-416, Use After Free, inside the Windows Installer subsystem (the msiexec service and its MSI package processing paths). A memory object is released while a reference to it remains live; when that dangling pointer is later dereferenced - typically after the heap has been groomed or a concurrent operation wins a timing window - the freed chunk can be reclaimed with attacker-influenced contents, giving the attacker a write/execute primitive inside a broker process that normally runs with elevated privileges. Because the Windows Installer service operates in a higher-integrity context than the invoking user, a successful UAF is directly convertible into local privilege elevation, and the same memory-corruption primitive can also manifest as the denial-of-service and general memory-corruption behavior reflected in the source tags. The flaws sit in the LocalSecurityAuthority-independent, package-handling layer rather than in a network-facing service, which is why the assessed vector is AV:L with PR:L and AC:H: the attacker must already be able to log on locally and must satisfy a non-trivial precondition (heap state or race outcome) before the freed object is reused. Affected CPE/product coverage spans the Windows 10 1607, 1809, 21H2 and 22H2 servicing branches, Windows 11 23H2, 24H2, 25H2, 26H1 and 26H2, and Windows Server 2012, 2012 R2, 2016, 2019, 2022 and 2025 (including Server Core installations); only builds below the patched version boundaries published in EUVD-2026-100079 are exploitable, and hosts already at or above those boundaries are not vulnerable.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local-only use-after-free requiring an existing low-privileged session (AV:L/PR:L) and a race/heap condition (AC:H), yielding full SYSTEM compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H) within an unchanged scope.

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:21 cve.org
HIGH 7.0

DescriptionCVE.org

Use after free in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

CVE-2026-87715 is a high-severity local privilege escalation vulnerability in Microsoft Windows Installer (MSI) affecting Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server. An attacker with existing low-level access to a host could exploit this flaw to gain full control of the system, potentially compromising sensitive data and critical business operations. No public exploit identified at time of analysis, but the ubiquity of Windows in enterprise environments makes timely patching a priority for reducing insider and lateral-movement risk.

Business Impact: Medium
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 90% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer ships in every supported Windows client and server edition
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
Medium
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Use-after-free vulnerabilities occur when a program continues to access memory through a pointer after that memory has been deallocated.

Memory corruption occurs when a program writes data beyond the boundaries of allocated memory regions or accesses memory in unintended ways, violating the integrity of the process's address space.

Denial of Service attacks render applications or systems unavailable by overwhelming resources or triggering failure conditions.

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