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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain low-privilege local session
  2. Delivery
    Invoke Windows Installer with crafted input
  3. Exploit
    Trigger stack buffer overflow (CWE-121)
  4. Execution
    Overwrite return address on stack
  5. Persist
    Execute payload at elevated privilege
  6. Impact
    Achieve SYSTEM-level access

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Stack buffer bounds checking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Execution

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires an authorized (authenticated) local user account - the CVSS vector PR:L confirms low-privilege authentication is sufficient, meaning any standard domain or local user qualifies. The attacker must have local interactive access or an equivalent session (e.g., RDP, terminal services). No special non-default configuration of Windows Installer is stated as required, and UI:N confirms no additional victim interaction is needed once the attacker has their session. Exploitation is limited to the local host scope (S:U, AV:L) - network-remote unauthenticated exploitation is not possible. The primary limiting factor for mass exploitation is the requirement for prior local access, making this most dangerous as a post-initial-access privilege escalation step rather than a direct remote entry point.

Impact

The CVSS 3.1 vector CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H yields a score of 7.8, reflecting a local attack with low complexity and low privilege requirements that achieves full impact. The attack vector is local, meaningfully reducing the attack surface compared to network-exploitable flaws - an attacker must already have a foothold on the target machine. However, AC:L and UI:N indicate that once inside, exploitation requires no special conditions and no victim interaction, making post-compromise escalation highly reliable. No EPSS score was provided in the input data, so probabilistic exploitation likelihood cannot be quantified; this is a notable gap. Neither CISA KEV listing nor public POC availability was indicated, so active or widespread exploitation is not confirmed. SSVC signals suggest the technical impact is total (C:H/I:H/A:H at the local scope), but automatable mass exploitation is unlikely given the AV:L constraint. Overall, this is a genuine high-priority vulnerability for any Windows environment - the combination of low complexity and full local takeover means a threat actor who has achieved initial access (via phishing, vulnerable edge service, etc.) can reliably escalate to SYSTEM with minimal effort.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has gained a low-privilege user session on a Windows host - for example via a phishing-delivered credential or an exploited internet-facing application - crafts a malicious input or invokes Windows Installer in a way that triggers the stack-based buffer overflow. The overflow overwrites the saved return address on the stack, redirecting execution to attacker-controlled shellcode or a ROP chain that runs in the context of the elevated Installer process. The attacker achieves SYSTEM-level privileges, enabling full host takeover, credential dumping, and lateral movement. No public POC has been identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Aug 11, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Windows Installer (msiexec) stems from a stack-based buffer overflow (CWE-121) exploitable by any authenticated local user. An attacker with low-privilege access on an affected Windows system can trigger the overflow to gain full SYSTEM-level control, achieving complete confidentiality, integrity, and availability compromise of the local host. No public exploit code or CISA KEV listing has been identified at time of analysis, though the low attack complexity and broad Windows deployment footprint make this a meaningful priority for patch management.

RemediationAI

The primary remediation is to apply the Microsoft security update addressing CVE-2026-70344, available through the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-70344. Consult that page for the exact patched build numbers per Windows version. No specific patch version number was included in the provided intelligence data, so the fix version cannot be independently confirmed beyond the vendor reference. As a compensating control where immediate patching is not possible, restrict local interactive and remote desktop access to only trusted, vetted users - reducing the pool of low-privilege accounts that could trigger the overflow. Additionally, monitoring for unusual msiexec.exe process ancestry or privilege transitions via EDR tooling can provide detection coverage. Note that neither workaround eliminates the vulnerability; patching remains the definitive fix.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7663
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5499
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7663
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7517
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9168
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2704
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9168

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7663
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7663
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7517
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9168
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9168
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2704
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5499
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33296
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33296

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 19 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Installer is the Microsoft component responsible for the installation, maintenance, and removal of software on Windows systems, implemented via the msiexec.exe process and associated service (msiserver). CWE-121 (Stack-based Buffer Overflow) indicates that a stack-allocated buffer is written beyond its bounds, overwriting adjacent stack memory - typically a saved return address or frame pointer - enabling control-flow hijacking. Because the Windows Installer service can operate with elevated privileges, a successful overflow triggered by a low-privileged caller can redirect execution into attacker-controlled code running at a higher privilege level. The NVD reference points to the Microsoft Security Response Center advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-70344 for affected product and version specifics.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local vector and low privileges confirmed by description ('authorized attacker, locally'); full C/I/A impact consistent with privilege escalation to SYSTEM.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Aug 11, 2026 - 18:19 EUVD
CVE Published
Aug 11, 2026 - 17:19 nvd
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Stack-based buffer overflow in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Windows Installer (msiexec) contains a local privilege escalation vulnerability allowing authenticated users to escalate to full system administrative control on affected Windows systems. This creates insider threat and account-compromise risks, as disgruntled employees or attackers with compromised standard user credentials could achieve complete system takeover. Organizations must immediately implement compensating controls, as no vendor patch is currently available.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Restrict local system access and logon rights to prevent unauthorized local host access by threat actors or compromised accounts. Implement application whitelisting to control msiexec execution across the enterprise. Enable and actively monitor Windows Event Log security events for privilege escalation indicators (Event ID 4672). Enforce principle of least privilege by disabling unnecessary installer functionality for standard users. Establish audit trails of all local access activity and conduct regular access reviews of local administrative accounts.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 76% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer ships with every supported Windows installation worldwide.
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Unlikely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

A stack-based buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a buffer located on the stack than it was allocated to hold.

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