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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local access
  2. Delivery
    Call affected Win32 kernel subsystem path
  3. Exploit
    Trigger untrusted pointer dereference
  4. Execution
    Corrupt kernel memory for code execution
  5. Impact
    Elevate to SYSTEM/kernel privileges

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Untrusted pointer prevention
Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already possess authenticated, low-privileged local access to the Windows host (CVSS PR:L, AV:L) - this is a local privilege-escalation primitive, not a remotely reachable flaw. The attacker must reach the vulnerable code path in the Win32 Kernel Subsystem and supply an untrusted/attacker-controlled pointer that the kernel dereferences (CWE-822). No user interaction is needed (UI:N) and attack complexity is low (AC:L), so once local execution is held, exploitation is straightforward. Limiting factors: the requirement for a pre-existing local foothold, applicability only to unpatched Windows builds below the fixed versions enumerated in EUVD (e.g., Windows 11 24H2 below 10.0.26100.9711, Server 2022 below 10.0.20348.5761), and SSVC Automatable=no, meaning it cannot be exploited at scale via automated scanning.

Impact

This is a credible but not emergency-level priority. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.8) describes a local privilege-escalation flaw requiring an already-authenticated low-privileged foothold, with low attack complexity and no user interaction, yielding total loss of confidentiality, integrity, and availability on the local system. CISA's SSVC framework reinforces a moderated posture: Exploitation=none (no observed or public exploitation), Automatable=no (consistent with a local EoP that cannot be mass-scanned/wormed), but Technical Impact=total (matching the C:H/I:H/A:H kernel-level compromise). There is no CISA KEV listing and no EPSS score provided in the input, so there is no quantitative exploitation-probability signal. Signals are internally consistent - this is a real but second-stage vulnerability (an attacker must first gain code execution as a normal user, then use this to reach SYSTEM/kernel), so it is a meaningful patch-soon item for multi-user and endpoint fleets rather than an internet-facing drop-everything issue. Note one metadata conflict: the input Tags include 'Information Disclosure,' which contradicts both the description ('elevate privileges locally') and CWE-822 (Untrusted Pointer Dereference) - treat the EoP classification as authoritative and verify the tag.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has low-privileged code execution on a Windows host (e.g., via phishing, a malicious installer, or a compromised standard user account) invokes a crafted request to the Win32 kernel subsystem that causes it to dereference an attacker-controlled (untrusted) pointer, corrupting kernel memory to run code at SYSTEM. No public exploit code or active exploitation is identified at time of analysis, and no user interaction is required once local access is held.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.4% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 14, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows Win32 Kernel Subsystem lets an attacker who already holds low-privileged, authenticated code execution on a Windows host raise their privileges to kernel level. The flaw is an untrusted pointer dereference (CWE-822) in the kernel that can be triggered with low attack complexity and no user interaction, giving high impact to confidentiality, integrity, and availability (CVSS 3.1 7.8, AV:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H). No public exploit code has been identified and CISA's SSVC assessment records exploitation as none and automatable as no, so this is a credible but not emergency-level priority; the main constraint on attackers is the need for a pre-existing local foothold on an unpatched build.

RemediationAI

Vendor-released patch: Microsoft has published fixes for this issue (Patch: available from vendor; reported by secure@microsoft.com), with the minimum fixed builds being 10.0.17763.9376 for Windows 10 1809 and Server 2019, 10.0.19044.7807 for Windows 10 21H2/22H2, 10.0.22631.7652 for Windows 11 23H2, 10.0.26100.9711 for Windows 11 24H2, 10.0.26100.33650 for Windows Server 2025, 10.0.26200.9711 for Windows 11 25H2, 10.0.28000.3231 for Windows 11 26H1, 10.0.26300.9711 for Windows 11 26H2, and 10.0.20348.5761 for Windows Server 2022 - apply the corresponding monthly cumulative update through Windows Update, WSUS, or the Microsoft Update Catalog, following the guidance at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-70104. Because this is a local kernel privilege-escalation primitive, there is no network-side workaround that removes the risk; compensating controls are limited to reducing the attacker's ability to reach the vulnerable code path and to detect escalation attempts. Practical measures are to enforce least privilege so that standard users have no interactive logon rights on sensitive hosts, to apply WDAC or AppLocker in enforced mode to block untrusted binaries that could serve as the local foothold required by AV:L/PR:L (trade-off: allow-list maintenance and possible breakage of unsigned line-of-business tools), and to monitor for anomalous token/SYSTEM-level process creation and kernel memory corruption crashes (trade-off: high false-positive volume if not tuned to a baseline). Disabling Win32 kernel features is not a viable mitigation on general-purpose Windows systems because the subsystem is required for normal desktop and server operation, so prioritization should follow patch-now hygiene rather than feature removal.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 13 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The Win32 Kernel Subsystem (principally win32k.sys and its window-manager/GDI components) implements the kernel-mode side of the Win32 API: window management, graphics device interface objects, and the user/GDI object tables that user-mode applications reach through system calls. The root cause class here is CWE-822, untrusted pointer dereference - the kernel accepts a pointer value supplied from a lower-privileged context and dereferences it without validating that it lies in an expected address range or refers to a legitimate kernel/user object, so a crafted pointer can be used to read or write kernel memory and pivot to SYSTEM. Because this code path is reachable from local user-mode syscalls with only low privileges (CVSS PR:L), it is a classic local privilege-escalation primitive rather than a remote or network-facing issue; CWE-822 in a kernel component is generally a straightforward-to-exploit memory-safety defect once the attacker can execute code, which is reflected in AC:L both in the NVD vector and in our independent assessment. The affected surface spans essentially the entire supported Windows client and server family (Windows 10 1809 through 22H2, Windows 11 23H2 through 26H2, Windows Server 2019, 2022, and 2025, including Server Core installations), confirming a shared kernel binary rather than a component-specific bug.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local EoP from an authenticated low-privileged user (AV:L, PR:L), no user interaction and low complexity, kernel compromise giving total C/I/A impact with no scope change.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:19 cve.org
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Untrusted pointer dereference in Windows Win32 Kernel Subsystem allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A privilege-escalation flaw in the Windows Win32 kernel subsystem (CVE-2026-70104) would allow someone who already has a low-privileged foothold on a Windows endpoint or server to seize full kernel-level control of that machine, exposing all data and processes on it. The risk is not remote or self-spreading: exploitation depends on an attacker first getting onto the host, and no public exploit code or active exploitation has been observed, so this is a patch-cycle priority rather than a crisis. Leadership should care because a single compromised workstation or server becomes a launch point for lateral movement, credential theft, and ransomware staging across the estate.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.4%
Top 70% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows OS kernel component present across virtually all enterprise and consumer endpoints
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation More Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.4%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

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