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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local access
  2. Delivery
    Invoke Windows Installer operation
  3. Exploit
    Trigger use-after-free in installer service
  4. Execution
    Reclaim freed memory with controlled data
  5. Impact
    Execute code as SYSTEM

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Memory lifecycle management
MITRE ATT&CK

2 techniques across 2 tactics: Execution, Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires local access to the host and existing low-privileged authenticated execution (CVSS PR:L) - the attacker must already be able to run code or invoke the Windows Installer (msiexec) service on the target. No user interaction is needed (UI:N) and attack complexity is low (AC:L), but the flaw cannot be triggered remotely or by an unauthenticated attacker; it is a post-foothold escalation. Limiting factors: the target must be an unpatched Windows build below the fixed versions listed in EUVD (e.g., Windows 11 24H2 below 10.0.26100.9711, Server 2025 below 10.0.26100.33650), and the attacker needs the ability to execute code locally, which typically presupposes an earlier compromise or a valid interactive/service account.

Impact

The provided CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.8 High) describes a local privilege-escalation flaw: the attacker must already have local access and low-level (PR:L) authenticated privileges, there is no user interaction, attack complexity is low, and successful exploitation yields full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact (SYSTEM-level compromise typical of Windows Installer EoP). No EPSS score, SSVC decision, KEV listing, or POC indicator was supplied in the intelligence, so exploitation probability cannot be quantified and there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis. This is a genuinely useful second-stage vulnerability - a local foothold (malware, phishing-dropped code, or a low-privileged user) can be elevated to SYSTEM with low complexity - but it is not a remote, internet-facing threat and requires prior access, so it should be patched on the normal monthly Windows cadence rather than treated as an emergency unless local footholds are already a concern. Note a signal conflict: the input Tags include 'Denial Of Service', yet the description and CVSS (I:H, privilege elevation) point to code execution / EoP rather than DoS - the EoP framing should be treated as primary; the DoS tag likely reflects a secondary memory-corruption outcome and should be verified against the Microsoft advisory.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

A low-privileged user or malware already running on a Windows host triggers a use-after-free in the Windows Installer service, reusing freed memory to corrupt a privileged object and gain code execution as SYSTEM. Because attack complexity is low and no user interaction is needed, this is a reliable local privilege-escalation primitive often chained after an initial foothold. No public proof-of-concept was identified in the provided intelligence.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 13, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Windows Installer (msiexec) allows an authenticated local attacker with existing low-privileged code execution to elevate to SYSTEM by triggering a use-after-free memory corruption flaw. The vulnerability affects unpatched Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server builds below the fixed build levels listed in Microsoft's update guidance, including Windows 11 24H2 below 10.0.26100.9711 and Windows Server 2025 below 10.0.26100.33650. No public exploit code or confirmed active exploitation was identified at time of analysis; the CVSS 3.1 base score is 7.8 High (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H).

RemediationAI

Vendor-released patch: apply the Microsoft update referenced in the MSRC advisory (https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-96308) to move each affected build to at least the fixed versions listed in the EUVD data, such as Windows 11 24H2 10.0.26100.9711, Windows 11 23H2 10.0.22631.7652, Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.33650, Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.5761, and Windows Server 2019/Windows 10 1809 10.0.17763.9376. Because exploitation requires local low-privileged code execution, compensating controls include enforcing least privilege, removing unnecessary local accounts, restricting interactive logon and untrusted application execution via application control, and monitoring Windows Installer/msiexec activity; these reduce post-foothold escalation risk but do not fix the memory corruption. Disabling the Windows Installer service may block exploitation but can break software installation, patching, and repair operations, so it should be considered only as a temporary measure with that trade-off understood.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Installer is the component responsible for installing, repairing, and removing MSI packages, and its service typically runs with high privileges, making it a common target for local privilege escalation. CWE-416 use-after-free means a memory object is referenced after being freed, which can allow heap manipulation, memory corruption, and potentially control-flow hijack leading to SYSTEM-level code execution in the installer's context. The CVSS vector confirms local access with low privileges, no user interaction, low complexity, and high confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact; the flaw is not remotely triggerable or unauthenticated and typically follows an initial compromise or misuse of a low-privileged service account.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local-only use-after-free EoP requiring prior low-privileged execution (AV:L, PR:L), low complexity with no interaction, yielding SYSTEM-level full C/I/A impact without scope change.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:21 cve.org
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Use after free in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Microsoft Windows Installer (msiexec) on Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server contains a local privilege-escalation flaw (CVE-2026-96308) that allows an attacker who already holds a low-privileged foothold on a machine to seize full SYSTEM control of that host. SYSTEM-level access on an endpoint or server enables credential theft, disabling of security tooling, and lateral movement, so any intrusion or malicious insider already present in the environment can convert this into broad domain impact. No public exploit code or confirmed active exploitation was identified at time of analysis, making this a governed patch-management priority rather than an active-incident response.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 77% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
core Windows OS component present in virtually all Windows desktop and server deployments
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Use-after-free vulnerabilities occur when a program continues to access memory through a pointer after that memory has been deallocated.

Memory corruption occurs when a program writes data beyond the boundaries of allocated memory regions or accesses memory in unintended ways, violating the integrity of the process's address space.

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