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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain adjacent network position
  2. Delivery
    Send crafted malformed packet
  3. Exploit
    Trigger null pointer dereference in tcpip.sys
  4. Execution
    Kernel bugcheck (BSOD)
  5. Impact
    Host denial of service

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A10:2025 - Mishandling of Exceptional Conditions
ASVS 5.0
V16 - Security Logging and Error Handling Null pointer safety, defensive checks
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Impact

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to hold an adjacent-network position (CVSS AV:A) - the same logical link, subnet, or broadcast domain as the target - meaning it is not exploitable across the open internet without such proximity; there is no authentication requirement (PR:N) and no user interaction (UI:N). Beyond network adjacency and the ability to send crafted packets to the Windows TCP/IP stack, no special product feature toggle or non-default configuration is documented as required, since TCP/IP is enabled by default on all affected Windows editions. The principal limiting factors are the adjacency prerequisite and the impact ceiling: the outcome is confined to denial of service (A:H, C:N/I:N) with no code execution or data exposure.

Impact

The signals converge on a genuine but bounded risk. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:A/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:C/C:N/I:N/A:H, 7.4 High) shows the attack requires only adjacent-network position, no privileges and no user interaction, with a scope change and high availability impact but zero confidentiality or integrity impact - consistent with a pure DoS. This aligns with CISA SSVC: Technical Impact 'partial' (availability only), Automatable 'no', Exploitation 'none'. EPSS is low at 0.14% (34th percentile), and there is no KEV listing and no known POC, so this is not an active-exploitation priority. The limiting factor is the AV:A adjacency requirement: the attacker must be on the same logical link/subnet (e.g., same LAN or broadcast domain), which sharply reduces remote internet exposure compared to an AV:N flaw. Net: patch on the normal Patch Tuesday cadence, prioritizing multi-tenant or hostile-adjacent network segments; this is not an emergency-out-of-band scenario.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker on the same LAN or subnet as a Windows host (for example, a rogue device on a shared corporate or guest network) sends a crafted sequence of malformed packets to the target's TCP/IP stack. The packet drives a null pointer dereference in kernel-mode networking code, causing an immediate bugcheck (BSOD) and taking the machine offline. No credentials or user interaction are needed, but no code execution or data theft occurs, and no public POC is currently known.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.1% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jul 23, 2026

Denial of service in the Microsoft Windows TCP/IP networking stack allows an unauthenticated, adjacent-network attacker to crash the host by triggering a null pointer dereference (CWE-476) during packet processing, with no user interaction required. The flaw affects essentially the entire supported Windows client and server lineup, from Windows 10 1607 and Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1 and Server 2025. There is no public exploit identified at time of analysis, and the low EPSS score (0.14%) plus CISA SSVC 'Exploitation: none' indicate no observed exploitation despite the broad footprint.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update for your specific Windows build; Vendor-released patch: install the cumulative update that brings each SKU to at least its fixed build (e.g., Windows 11 24H2 to 10.0.26100.8457, Windows 10 22H2 to 10.0.19045.7291, Server 2022 to 10.0.20348.5139, Server 2025 to 10.0.26100.32860) per the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-40414. Because the vector is adjacent-network (AV:A), effective compensating controls until patching include restricting layer-2/subnet adjacency to trusted hosts, segmenting untrusted or guest devices onto isolated VLANs, and enforcing host firewall and network ACLs to limit exposure of the affected system to unknown adjacent peers - with the trade-off that overly aggressive filtering of the relevant protocol traffic can disrupt legitimate connectivity. There is no confidentiality/integrity exposure, so the compensating goal is availability protection of the host until the update is deployed.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23181
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9140
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7291
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23181
Windows Server 2022, 23H2 Edition (Server Core installation) 10.0.25398.0 <10.0.25398.2330
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7291
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9140
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7079
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8755
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26079
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.32860
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26079
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2113
Windows 11 version 22H3 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7079
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8457
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9140
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8755
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5139
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8755
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8457
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.32860

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9140
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.8755
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7291
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7291
euvd windows_11_version_22h3 fix: 10.0.22631.7079
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7079
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8457
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8457
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2113
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26079
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23181
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23181
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26079
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9140
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9140
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.8755
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.8755
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5139
euvd windows_server_2022_23h2_edition_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.25398.2330
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.32860
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.32860

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 21 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The vulnerability resides in the Windows TCP/IP stack (tcpip.sys), the kernel-mode driver responsible for parsing and handling IPv4/IPv6, TCP, UDP and related protocol traffic. The root cause is a CWE-476 null pointer dereference, meaning a specially crafted packet drives a code path that dereferences a pointer without validating it is non-null, faulting the kernel and forcing a bugcheck (BSOD). Because the code executes in kernel context, a crash takes down the entire operating system rather than a single process. The CPE set spans Microsoft Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 (22H3, 23H2, 24H2, 25H2, 26H1) and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, confirming the defect lives in shared core networking code common to all these releases.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

NVD PRIMARY 7.4 HIGH
AV:A/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:C/C:N/I:N/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.4 HIGH

Adjacent unauthenticated packet triggers a kernel crash with no interaction, so AV:A/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N and A:H only; scope changes as the kernel bugcheck downs the whole host.

3.1 AV:A/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:C/C:N/I:N/A:H
4.0 AV:A/AC:L/AT:N/PR:N/UI:N/VC:N/VI:N/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from NVD.

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Adjacent
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
None
User Interaction
None
Scope
Changed
Confidentiality
None
Integrity
None
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Null pointer dereference in Windows TCP/IP allows an unauthorized attacker to deny service over an adjacent network.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A high-severity Windows TCP/IP vulnerability (CVE-2026-40414, CVSS 7.4) affecting Windows 10 through Windows 11 and Server editions 2012-2025 allows unauthenticated adjacent-network attackers to crash systems, impacting the entire Windows infrastructure across most organizations. While no public exploit identified at time of analysis and exploitation risk remains minimal, the broad organizational footprint makes this a near-term remediation priority.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.1%
Top 66% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows TCP/IP stack present in nearly all Windows client and server deployments
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Unlikely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.1%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Controlled
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Partial

Priority Score

37
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +37
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A null pointer dereference occurs when a program attempts to access memory through a pointer that has been set to NULL (address 0x0).

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