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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Reach exposed RDP service on 3389
  2. Delivery
    Send crafted RDP message
  3. Exploit
    Trigger integer overflow in size handling
  4. Execution
    Corrupt memory / buffer overflow
  5. Persist
    Execute arbitrary code on host
  6. Impact
    Full system compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Integer overflow checks
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Execution

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires network reachability to the Windows RDP service (typically TCP/UDP 3389) on an unpatched host; per CVSS AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N no authentication, privileges, or user interaction are needed against a listening RDP endpoint. The practical limiting factors are that the RDP service (Remote Desktop) must be enabled and reachable - many hosts do not expose RDP externally, and firewalling, VPN/RD Gateway fronting, or Network Level Authentication constrain who can reach the vulnerable pre-auth code path. CISA SSVC further marks the flaw as Automatable: no, suggesting exploitation may need a specific condition or code path not spelled out in the terse description; the exact triggering RDP feature is not detailed in the available data and should be confirmed via the Microsoft advisory.

Impact

The signals are mixed and worth weighing carefully. CVSS 3.1 rates this 9.8 Critical with AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N - network reachable, low complexity, no privileges, no user interaction, and total confidentiality/integrity/availability impact - which on paper is a wormable-class RCE. However, CISA's SSVC framework records Exploitation: none and Automatable: no (with Technical Impact: total), and EPSS is only 0.78% at the 52nd percentile, indicating no observed exploitation and no evidence of easy mass-automation yet. These lower-tempo signals contrast with the maximal CVSS and should be read as 'high latent severity, low current activity': the vulnerability is a top patching priority given RDP's exposure, but there is no confirmation of in-the-wild use. Note the SSVC 'Automatable: no' somewhat tempers the wormable interpretation an AC:L network RCE would otherwise imply - this may reflect a non-trivial exploitation prerequisite (e.g. reaching a specific RDP code path) not captured in the terse description; verify exploitation details with Microsoft's advisory.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who can reach an exposed RDP endpoint (e.g. an internet-facing or lateral-network host on port 3389) sends a crafted RDP message that triggers an integer overflow during size/length handling, corrupting memory and gaining code execution with no credentials and no user interaction. Because CVSS is AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N with total impact, a single reachable host could be fully compromised; however, no public proof-of-concept has been identified and SSVC marks exploitation as not currently automatable.

Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Why: CRITICAL severity.
Patch available 0.8% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv2 – Jul 16, 2026

Remote code execution in Microsoft Windows Remote Desktop Protocol allows an unauthorized, unauthenticated network attacker to run arbitrary code by triggering an integer overflow (CWE-190) in RDP processing. The flaw carries a CVSS 9.8 and affects a broad range of Windows client and server builds from Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1 and Server 2025. There is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and it is not listed in CISA KEV; EPSS is a modest 0.78% (52nd percentile), so risk is currently theoretical but severe if weaponized.

Earlier versions of this analysis (1)
v1 Jul 14, 2026 - 18:47 CVSS 8.8

Remote code execution in the Microsoft Windows Remote Desktop (RDP) component allows an unauthenticated attacker to run arbitrary code by triggering an integer overflow, but only when a victim is convinced to interact (per CVSS UI:R) - most consistent with a malicious RDP server coercing a connecting client. The flaw affects a broad range of supported Windows client and server releases from Windows Server 2012/Windows 10 1607 through Windows 11 26H1 and Windows Server 2025. There is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and it is not listed in CISA KEV; EPSS data was not provided.

RemediationAI

Patch available per vendor advisory - apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-58594 referenced at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-58594, upgrading to at least the fixed build for your edition (for example 10.0.19045.7548 for Windows 10 22H2, 10.0.20348.5386 for Server 2022, 10.0.26100.8875 for Windows 11 24H2/25H2, 6.3.9600.23291 for Server 2012 R2, and 10.0.14393.9339 for Server 2016/1607). Until patches are deployed, reduce exposure of the RDP service: restrict TCP/UDP 3389 to trusted management networks or require access through a VPN or RD Gateway, and block 3389 at the perimeter firewall (trade-off: breaks direct external remote-desktop access and any tooling that relies on it). Enabling Network Level Authentication forces authentication before the pre-auth RDP session negotiation, which can raise the bar for reaching the vulnerable code path, though it does not fully substitute for patching and requires clients that support NLA. Where RDP is not needed, disable Remote Desktop entirely.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2525
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7548
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5386
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7548
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7548
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7548
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2525
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5386
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 18 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The Remote Desktop Protocol is Microsoft's proprietary protocol (typically TCP/UDP 3389) that provides graphical remote-session access and is implemented across all supported Windows editions. The root cause is CWE-190, an integer overflow or wraparound: a length, size, or index calculation in the RDP code path wraps past its maximum value, producing an undersized allocation or miscomputed bounds that leads to an out-of-bounds/buffer overflow - the tags explicitly pair 'Integer Overflow' with 'Buffer Overflow'. The CPE data confirms the affected surface is the Microsoft Windows RDP stack across Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 (24H2, 25H2, 26H1), and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, including Server Core installations, indicating the vulnerable code lives in a shared, long-lived RDP component rather than an edition-specific feature.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY HIGH
NVD 9.8 CRITICAL
AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
CIRCL (temporal) 7.7 HIGH
vuln.today AI 9.8 CRITICAL

Network-reachable pre-auth RDP RCE with no user interaction yields AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N and total C/I/A; unchanged scope as code runs in the RDP service context.

3.1 AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:N/AC:L/AT:N/PR:N/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Network
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
None
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

3
Severity Changed
Jul 16, 2026 - 20:37 NVD
HIGH CRITICAL
CVSS changed
Jul 16, 2026 - 20:37 NVD
8.8 (HIGH) 9.8 (CRITICAL)
CVE Published
Jul 14, 2026 - 17:10 nvd
HIGH 8.8

DescriptionNVD

Integer overflow or wraparound in Windows RDP allows an unauthorized attacker to execute code over a network.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

CVE-2026-58594 is a critical remote code execution vulnerability in Windows Remote Desktop Protocol affecting Windows Server 2012-2025 and Windows 11 through version 26H1, permitting unauthenticated network attackers to gain complete system compromise via integer overflow. With a CVSS of 9.8, this vulnerability poses an immediate threat to any organization with RDP-exposed Windows infrastructure and no public exploit currently identified, leaving a narrow window for patching before active weaponization becomes likely.

Business Impact: Severe
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.8%
Top 48% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
RDP ships in all supported Windows client and server editions
Vendor Action
See Below
Required. The vulnerability documented by this CVE requires customer action to resolve.
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity CRITICAL
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.8%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
CRITICAL severity
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Open
Automatable
No
Human Impact
Very High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

50
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: +1
CVSS: +49
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

Integer overflow occurs when an arithmetic operation produces a result that exceeds the maximum value a given integer type can store.

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