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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Authenticate as low-privileged local user
  2. Delivery
    Invoke AppX/MSIX deployment operation
  3. Exploit
    Race shared resource in AppXSvc
  4. Execution
    Win timing window during privileged action
  5. Impact
    Elevate to higher privileges on host

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already be an authenticated, low-privileged local user on the target host (CVSS PR:L, AV:L) and to interact with the Windows AppX Deployment Service (AppXSvc) - the component that installs/updates packaged MSIX/AppX applications - so the concrete prerequisite is the ability to invoke or influence a package-deployment operation. The key limiting factor is the race condition itself: CVSS AC:H reflects that the attacker must win a narrow, timing-dependent synchronization window on a shared resource, which is unreliable and generally demands many repeated attempts. No user interaction is needed (UI:N) and no privileges beyond a standard local account are required, but there is no remote or network exploitation path.

Impact

The CVSS 3.1 base score is 7.0 (High) with vector AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, meaning local access and existing low privileges are required, exploitation is of high attack complexity, and no user interaction is needed while impact is total (C:H/I:H/A:H). The high attack complexity reflects the inherent unreliability of winning a race-condition timing window, which typically requires repeated attempts and precise timing, so this is a meaningful but not trivially weaponizable escalation path. No EPSS score, KEV listing, or POC was provided, so current real-world exploitation pressure appears low; the primary risk is as a post-compromise privilege-escalation link (e.g., after an initial foothold via phishing or a low-privilege service). One caveat: the tags include 'Information Disclosure' while the CVSS models full C/I/A impact and a race-condition EoP - the description text and vector point to privilege elevation, so the info-disclosure tag should be verified against the MSRC advisory. This is a legitimate patch priority for multi-user, terminal-server, and endpoint fleets but ranks below network-reachable or actively-exploited flaws given the local vector and high complexity.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already holds a low-privileged foothold on a Windows host (for example a compromised standard user account or a low-privilege service) runs a small program that repeatedly triggers an AppX/MSIX deployment operation while manipulating a shared resource. By winning the timing window in the AppX Deployment Service, the attacker causes a privileged action to operate on attacker-controlled state and elevates to higher privileges. No public exploit is identified at time of analysis, and the high attack complexity means the race must typically be attempted many times to succeed.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jul 14, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows AppX Deployment Service (AppXSvc) lets an already-authenticated, low-privileged user win a race condition to elevate to higher privileges across a broad range of Windows client and server builds (Windows 10 1607 through Windows 11 26H1, and Windows Server 2012 through 2025). The flaw stems from improper synchronization of a shared resource, and successful exploitation yields full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact on the host. It is reported by Microsoft with a vendor patch available; there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and it is not listed in CISA KEV.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-49803, delivered through the monthly cumulative update for each affected build (Patch available per vendor advisory); the specific KB and fixed build number should be taken directly from the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-49803, since an exact fix version is not included in the provided data. Because the CVSS vector requires local low-privileged access, effective compensating controls until patching include restricting interactive and low-privileged logon on sensitive/multi-user hosts, limiting which accounts can trigger AppX/MSIX package deployments, and monitoring AppXSvc activity and privilege-escalation telemetry; note that restricting packaged-app deployment can break legitimate MSIX install/update workflows, and hardening interactive logon may disrupt shared terminal-server usage. There is no network-facing exposure to block, so firewall changes do not apply.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7548
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8875
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7548
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2269
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5386

Affected Packages

microsoft windows_10_version_1607_10_0_14393_9339 fix: Windows 10 Version 1607 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.14393.9339, Windows 10 Version 1607 for x64-based Systems 10.0.14393.9339
microsoft windows_10_version_1809_10_0_17763_9020 fix: Windows 10 Version 1809 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.17763.9020, Windows 10 Version 1809 for x64-based Systems 10.0.17763.9020
microsoft windows_10_version_21h2_10_0_19044_7548 fix: Windows 10 Version 21H2 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.19044.7548, Windows 10 Version 21H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.19044.7548, Windows 10 Version 21H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19044.7548
microsoft windows_10_version_22h2_10_0_19045_7548 fix: Windows 10 Version 22H2 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.19045.7548, Windows 10 Version 22H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.19045.7548, Windows 10 Version 22H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19045.7548
microsoft windows_11_version_24h2_10_0_26100_8875 fix: Windows 11 Version 24H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8875, Windows 11 Version 24H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8875
microsoft windows_11_version_25h2_10_0_26200_8875 fix: Windows 11 Version 25H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8875, Windows 11 Version 25H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8875
microsoft windows_11_version_26h1_10_0_28000_2269 fix: Windows 11 version 26H1 for x64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2269
microsoft windows_11_version_26h1_10_0_28000_2525 fix: Windows 11 Version 26H1 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2525
microsoft windows_server_2012_6_2_9200_26226 fix: Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.26226, Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.26226
microsoft windows_server_2012_r2_6_3_9600_23291 fix: Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.23291, Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.23291
microsoft windows_server_2016_10_0_14393_9339 fix: Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.9339, Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.9339
microsoft windows_server_2019_10_0_17763_9020 fix: Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.9020, Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.9020
microsoft windows_server_2022_10_0_20348_5386 fix: Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.5386
microsoft windows_server_2025_10_0_26100_33158 fix: Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.33158, Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7548
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7548
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2269
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5386
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 32 packages in microsoft, euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The AppX Deployment Service (AppXSvc) is the Windows component responsible for installing, updating, and removing packaged (MSIX/AppX) applications, and it runs with elevated system privileges to perform those deployment operations. The root cause is CWE-362 (concurrent execution using a shared resource with improper synchronization, i.e. a race condition): two or more execution flows access a shared object without adequate locking, creating a narrow timing window in which a low-privileged attacker can interfere with a privileged operation. The affected CPE set spans the Windows 10/11 servicing branches and Windows Server 2012 through 2025 (including Server Core installations), indicating the vulnerable code path is part of the long-lived, shared AppX deployment stack rather than a single-edition feature.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
CIRCL (temporal) 6.1 MEDIUM
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local access with an existing low-privileged account is required (AV:L/PR:L); the race-condition timing window makes exploitation unreliable (AC:H); successful EoP yields full local compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H).

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:P/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows AppX Deployment Service allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Windows AppX Deployment Service contains a privilege escalation vulnerability (CVE-2026-49803) affecting Windows 10 through 11 and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, allowing any already-authenticated user to escalate to full system administrative access and compromise confidentiality, integrity, and availability. Compromise of a single employee account translates directly to complete system access on affected devices, expanding the blast radius of credential theft across enterprise Windows infrastructure. Microsoft has released a patch; rapid deployment is necessary to mitigate insider threat and account-compromise escalation risks.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 95% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Core Windows client/server component present in nearly all environments
Vendor Action
See Below
Required. The vulnerability documented by this CVE requires customer action to resolve.
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Information disclosure occurs when an application unintentionally exposes sensitive data that aids attackers in reconnaissance or directly compromises security.

Race conditions occur when multiple concurrent requests exploit the brief time gap between checking a condition and acting upon it (TOCTOU - Time of Check, Time of Use).

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