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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain unprivileged local access
  2. Exploit
    Invoke vulnerable TCP/IP code path
  3. Execution
    Trigger null pointer dereference in kernel
  4. Impact
    Bugcheck crashes host (DoS)

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A10:2025 - Mishandling of Exceptional Conditions
ASVS 5.0
V16 - Security Logging and Error Handling Null pointer safety, defensive checks
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Impact

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Requires local access to the affected Windows host: the attacker must be able to execute code on the machine (interactive session, local shell, or an existing low-privileged foothold), as reflected by AV:L. No authentication or privileges are needed beyond that access (PR:N) and no user interaction is required (UI:N), so any unprivileged local user can trigger it against a default, unpatched Windows install. What limits exploitation is the absence of any remote/network vector - it cannot be triggered across the network - and the impact is confined to denial of service (system crash) with no path to code execution or data disclosure.

Impact

Signals are consistent and point to a moderate, low-urgency issue. The CVSS 3.1 base of 7.1 is driven entirely by the availability impact (A:H) plus scope change (S:C); confidentiality and integrity are untouched (C:N/I:N). The attack vector is local (AV:L) with low complexity and no privileges or user interaction (AC:L/PR:N/UI:N), meaning an already-present unprivileged local actor can trigger it reliably, but it is not remotely reachable. EPSS is very low at 0.05% (16th percentile), and CISA SSVC records Exploitation: none with Technical Impact: partial - no active exploitation and only partial impact. SSVC does flag Automatable: yes, meaning the trigger could be scripted, but combined with the local-only vector this favors nuisance/insider or post-compromise stability abuse rather than mass exploitation. This is a patch-in-normal-cycle item, not an emergency: real but not a priority-zero threat.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has unprivileged local access to a Windows host - for example a standard domain user on a shared terminal server or an attacker who has gained an initial low-privileged foothold - runs code that exercises the vulnerable TCP/IP code path, dereferencing a null pointer in the kernel. The resulting bugcheck crashes the machine, denying service to all users on that host; no public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.1% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jul 23, 2026

Local denial of service in Microsoft Windows TCP/IP networking stack allows an unauthorized local attacker to trigger a null pointer dereference (CWE-476), crashing the system or causing broad service disruption. All supported Windows client and server releases from Windows Server 2012 through Windows 11 25H2/26H1 and Server 2025 are affected. Reported by Microsoft, this is a crash/availability issue only - no code execution or data exposure - with no public exploit identified at time of analysis and a very low (0.05%) EPSS exploitation probability.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-40401, which is available from the vendor; install the fixed cumulative build for your branch as listed in the MSRC advisory (https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-40401) - for example Windows 11 24H2 at or above 10.0.26100.8457, Windows Server 2025 at or above 10.0.26100.32860, Windows 10 22H2 at or above 10.0.19045.7291, and Windows Server 2019 at or above 10.0.17763.8755. Patch status: Patch available per vendor advisory. Because exploitation requires local access, the strongest compensating control until patching is to restrict interactive and unprivileged local logon on affected hosts (limit who can run code locally, harden RDP/terminal access), which trades some operational convenience for reduced exposure; there is no configuration toggle to disable the core TCP/IP stack, so patching is the definitive fix. Prioritize multi-user and shared/terminal servers where untrusted local users are most likely to trigger the crash.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.32860
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7079
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9140
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8755
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23181
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8755
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2113
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8457
Windows 11 version 22H3 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7079
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23181
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26079
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9140
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.32860
Windows Server 2022, 23H2 Edition (Server Core installation) 10.0.25398.0 <10.0.25398.2330
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5139
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7291
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7291
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8457
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9140
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8755
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26079

Affected Packages

microsoft windows_10_version_1607_10_0_14393_9140 fix: Windows 10 Version 1607 for x64-based Systems 10.0.14393.9140
microsoft windows_10_version_1809_10_0_17763_8755 fix: Windows 10 Version 1809 for x64-based Systems 10.0.17763.8755
microsoft windows_10_version_21h2_10_0_19044_7291 fix: Windows 10 Version 21H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19044.7291
microsoft windows_10_version_22h2_10_0_19045_7291 fix: Windows 10 Version 22H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19045.7291
microsoft windows_11_version_23h2_10_0_22631_7079 fix: Windows 11 Version 23H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.22631.7079, Windows 11 Version 23H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.22631.7079
microsoft windows_11_version_24h2_10_0_26100_8457 fix: Windows 11 Version 24H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8457, Windows 11 Version 24H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8457
microsoft windows_11_version_25h2_10_0_26200_8457 fix: Windows 11 Version 25H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8457, Windows 11 Version 25H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8457
microsoft windows_11_version_26h1_10_0_28000_2113 fix: Windows 11 Version 26H1 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2113, Windows 11 version 26H1 for x64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2113
microsoft windows_server_2012_6_2_9200_26079 fix: Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.26079, Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.26079
microsoft windows_server_2012_r2_6_3_9600_23181 fix: Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.23181, Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.23181
microsoft windows_server_2016_10_0_14393_9140 fix: Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.9140, Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.9140
microsoft windows_server_2019_10_0_17763_8755 fix: Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.8755, Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.8755
microsoft windows_server_2022_10_0_20348_5139 fix: Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.5139, Windows Server 2022 (Server Core installation) 10.0.20348.5139
microsoft windows_server_2022_23h2_edition_10_0_25398_2330 fix: Windows Server 2022, 23H2 Edition (Server Core installation) 10.0.25398.2330
microsoft windows_server_2025_10_0_26100_32860 fix: Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.32860, Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.32860
euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9140
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.8755
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7291
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7291
euvd windows_11_version_22h3 fix: 10.0.22631.7079
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7079
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8457
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8457
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2113
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26079
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23181
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23181
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26079
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9140
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9140
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.8755
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.8755
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5139
euvd windows_server_2022_23h2_edition_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.25398.2330
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.32860
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.32860

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 36 packages in microsoft, euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The flaw resides in the Windows TCP/IP driver (tcpip.sys), the kernel-mode component implementing the IPv4/IPv6 protocol stack. CWE-476 (NULL Pointer Dereference) indicates that some code path processes network or socket state while an expected pointer is null, causing an unhandled access that faults the kernel. Because the fault occurs in kernel context within the shared networking stack, the impact propagates beyond the triggering process - reflected in the CVSS scope-changed (S:C) rating - typically manifesting as a bugcheck (bluescreen) or loss of network processing. The affected CPE set spans the full Windows 10/11 client family and Server 2012 through 2025, confirming the defect lives in long-lived shared TCP/IP code rather than an edition-specific feature.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

NVD PRIMARY 7.1 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:C/C:N/I:N/A:H
CIRCL (temporal) 6.2 MEDIUM
vuln.today AI 7.1 HIGH

Local trigger with no privileges or interaction (AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N); kernel crash affects the whole system (S:C, A:H) with no confidentiality or integrity impact.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:C/C:N/I:N/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:N/UI:N/VC:N/VI:N/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from NVD.

CVSS VectorNVD

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
None
User Interaction
None
Scope
Changed
Confidentiality
None
Integrity
None
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Null pointer dereference in Windows TCP/IP allows an unauthorized attacker to deny service locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Microsoft Windows TCP/IP stack (versions 2012-2025) is vulnerable to a local denial-of-service flaw that can crash systems and disrupt services across Windows client and server infrastructure. While this requires local access and carries low exploitation probability (0.1% EPSS), widespread deployment of affected Windows versions means organizations could face significant availability impact if not promptly patched.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.1%
Top 84% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows TCP/IP stack present in nearly all Windows client and server deployments
Vendor Action
See Below
Required. The vulnerability documented by this CVE requires customer action to resolve.
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Unlikely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.1%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
Yes
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Partial

Priority Score

36
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +36
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A null pointer dereference occurs when a program attempts to access memory through a pointer that has been set to NULL (address 0x0).

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