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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Deploy rogue base station near target
  2. Delivery
    Induce UE to attach to rogue cell
  3. Exploit
    Send malformed over-the-air message
  4. Execution
    Trigger out-of-bounds write in modem
  5. Impact
    Escalate privilege within baseband

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Bounds checking, write limits
MITRE ATT&CK

2 techniques across 2 tactics: Execution, Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the victim UE to be attached to a rogue/malicious base station under attacker control (per the description), meaning the attacker must deploy a false cellular station and induce the device to connect over the air - this is the AV:A (Adjacent, radio proximity) and AC:H (high complexity) precondition. Once attached, no authentication (PR:N) and no user interaction (UI:N) are required; the malformed message triggers the out-of-bounds write directly in the modem. Limiting factors for defenders: the attack is not internet-remote and not automatable (SSVC Automatable=no), depends on physical radio proximity and successful device attachment to the rogue cell, and affects only devices running the listed MediaTek chipsets on unpatched modem firmware.

Impact

This is a genuine but conditional priority rather than a drop-everything emergency. The MediaTek-supplied CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:A/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.5 High) tells a consistent story: an adjacent (radio-proximity) attacker with no credentials and no user interaction can achieve total compromise of the modem, but only through a high-complexity precondition. All exploitation signals point AWAY from imminent mass exploitation: there is no CISA KEV listing, no public exploit identified at time of analysis, and the CISA SSVC decision framework explicitly scores Exploitation=none and Automatable=no. The one signal pulling the other way is SSVC Technical Impact=total, which agrees with the C:H/I:H/A:H impact and the CWE-787 out-of-bounds write leading to remote privilege escalation inside the modem. So the signals are internally consistent and NOT conflicting: high technical impact but low real-world exploitation likelihood because the attack is not automatable and requires physical radio proximity plus a rogue base station. One point to verify: the description phrases this as 'remote escalation of privilege,' yet the CVSS vector correctly uses AV:A (Adjacent), not AV:N - the 'remote' wording reflects over-the-air radio exploitation, not internet-routable access; defenders should treat this as a proximity attack, not a remotely scannable one.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker stands up a rogue cellular base station (IMSI-catcher / false gNB-eNB) near target devices and induces a MediaTek-modem handset to attach to it. The rogue station sends a malformed over-the-air message that overflows a buffer lacking a bounds check in the modem firmware, writing out of bounds to escalate privileges within the baseband with no user interaction. No public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis, and the high attack complexity reflects the effort to deploy the rogue station and win the device attachment.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
No patch listed yet 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 05, 2026

An out-of-bounds write in MediaTek modem firmware (CWE-787) allows a nearby attacker operating a rogue base station to escalate privileges on affected devices once the user equipment attaches to the attacker-controlled cell. The flaw has a CVSS 3.1 base score of 7.5 (AV:A/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) and affects dozens of MediaTek chipsets, including MT6833, MT6877, MT6983, MT6985, and MT6989, when they run unpatched modem firmware. No public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis, CISA's SSVC assessment records no observed exploitation and marks the issue as not automatable, and MediaTek has published a fix under Patch ID MOLY01778993 in its October 2026 product security bulletin.

RemediationAI

Apply the MediaTek fix identified by Patch ID MOLY01778993, distributed through the October 2026 MediaTek Product Security Bulletin at https://www.mediatek.com/product-security-bulletin/October-2026. Because the vulnerable component is modem firmware, end users cannot patch directly and must wait for their device OEM to integrate the baseband update and deliver it via OTA or a full firmware image; device owners should apply OEM updates as soon as they become available and consult OEM advisories for their specific model. Where an update is not yet available, compensating controls are limited and should be applied with awareness of their trade-offs: disabling legacy radio access technologies such as 2G and 3G fallback reduces the attack surface for rogue base station attachment but can degrade coverage and roaming in areas that rely on those networks, while enabling cellular network hardening features and avoiding automatic connection to unknown or unencrypted networks provides only marginal benefit. Note that exploitation requires the device to attach to an attacker-controlled base station, so users with high assurance needs in physically exposed locations can consider baseband-isolated devices or cellular/Wi-Fi-only configurations as temporary risk reduction; these controls do not fix the underlying memory-corruption flaw.

Affected VersionsENISA

MediaTek chipset MT8791
MediaTek chipset MT6833
MediaTek chipset MT6985
MediaTek chipset MT8678
MediaTek chipset MT6989
MediaTek chipset MT6815
MediaTek chipset MT8696
MediaTek chipset MT8796
MediaTek chipset MT6858
MediaTek chipset MT8668
MediaTek chipset MT8883
MediaTek chipset MT8893
MediaTek chipset MT8793
MediaTek chipset MT6983
MediaTek chipset MT2735
MediaTek chipset MT8797
MediaTek chipset MT6986
MediaTek chipset MT8771
MediaTek chipset MT6877
MediaTek chipset MT6899
MediaTek chipset MT6878
MediaTek chipset MT6891
MediaTek chipset MT6883
MediaTek chipset MT6893
MediaTek chipset MT8873
MediaTek chipset MT6879
MediaTek chipset MT2716
MediaTek chipset MT6980
MediaTek chipset MT6982
MediaTek chipset MT6990
MediaTek chipset MT6885
MediaTek chipset MT6881
MediaTek chipset MT6880
MediaTek chipset MT6890
MediaTek chipset MT6897
MediaTek chipset MT6896
MediaTek chipset MT6993
MediaTek chipset MT8792
MediaTek chipset MT8676
MediaTek chipset MT2737
MediaTek chipset MT6886
MediaTek chipset MT6835
MediaTek chipset MT6855
MediaTek chipset MT8695
MediaTek chipset MT8863
MediaTek chipset MT6853
MediaTek chipset MT6889
MediaTek chipset MT8791T
MediaTek chipset MT6875
MediaTek chipset MT6895
MediaTek chipset MT8775
MediaTek chipset MT6991
MediaTek chipset MT6813
MediaTek chipset MT8755
MediaTek chipset MT6873
MediaTek chipset MT8798
MediaTek chipset MT6988

Affects your stack

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Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The vulnerability is a classic out-of-bounds write (CWE-787) in MediaTek modem (baseband) firmware, caused by a missing bounds check when processing data received over the cellular radio interface. The attack model is a rogue base station, also known as a false cell or IMSI-catcher-style setup: an attacker within radio range deploys a station that the target UE attaches to and then sends a crafted message that the modem parses without validating length or index, corrupting adjacent memory. Because the parsing happens in the baseband before any OS-level authentication or user interaction, the CVSS vector is AV:A/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N with high confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact, and the assessed precondition is successful attachment to the malicious cell, reflecting adjacent radio proximity and high complexity. The affected component spans a broad family of MediaTek chipsets used in smartphones, tablets, and cellular modules; SSVC records the technical impact as total but exploitation as none and automatable as no, consistent with the requirement for physical radio proximity and a successful attach. EUVD tracks the issue as EUVD-2026-92210, and MediaTek addresses it under Patch ID MOLY01778993 / issue MSV-8898.

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Severity by source

Vendor (mediatek) PRIMARY 7.5 HIGH
AV:A/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.5 HIGH

AV:A because exploitation is over-the-air via a rogue base station, AC:H due to the rogue-station deployment and device-attachment precondition, PR:N/UI:N as no credentials or interaction are needed, and C/I/A:H for total modem compromise.

3.1 AV:A/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:A/AC:L/AT:P/PR:N/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (mediatek).

CVSS VectorVendor: mediatek

Attack Vector
Adjacent
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
None
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

3
CVSS changed
Oct 05, 2026 - 11:22 NVD
7.5 (None) 7.5 (HIGH)
CVE Published
Oct 05, 2026 - 02:16 cve.org
HIGH 7.5
CVE Published
Oct 05, 2026 - 02:16 cve.org
UNKNOWN (no severity yet)

DescriptionCVE.org

In Modem, there is a possible out of bounds write due to a missing bounds check. This could lead to remote escalation of privilege, if a UE has connected to a rogue base station controlled by the attacker, with no additional execution privileges needed. User interaction is not needed for exploitation. Patch ID: MOLY01778993; Issue ID: MSV-8898.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A high-severity out-of-bounds write in MediaTek modem firmware affects chipsets MT6833, MT6877, MT6983, MT6985, and MT6989, allowing a nearby attacker with a rogue base station to escalate privileges on unpatched devices once they connect. This exposes any organization with mobile endpoints using these chipsets to potential data compromise or device takeover. No public exploit identified at time of analysis, but the broad deployment of these chipsets makes prompt inventory and patching critical.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 88% exploitable
Prevalence
High
MediaTek modem chipsets power a large share of Android smartphones worldwide
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available No
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Controlled
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

38
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +38
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Privilege escalation occurs when an attacker leverages flaws in access control mechanisms to gain permissions beyond what they were originally granted.

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

Memory corruption occurs when a program writes data beyond the boundaries of allocated memory regions or accesses memory in unintended ways, violating the integrity of the process's address space.

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