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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain low-privileged local code execution
  2. Delivery
    Trigger vulnerable Windows Shell operation repeatedly
  3. Exploit
    Win race window on shared resource (TOCTOU)
  4. Execution
    Corrupt privileged state / hijack execution
  5. Impact
    Elevate to higher privilege on host

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Requires the attacker to already have authenticated low-privileged local access to the Windows host (AV:L, PR:L) and to execute code that triggers the vulnerable Windows Shell code path. Exploitation is limited by high attack complexity (AC:H): success depends on winning a race-condition timing window against a concurrent privileged operation on a shared resource, which is non-deterministic and typically requires many attempts. No user interaction is required (UI:N). No special non-default configuration is indicated - the affected Windows Shell component is present by default on all listed Windows client and server versions. There is no remote or unauthenticated exploitation path.

Impact

This is a locally-exploitable, authenticated elevation-of-privilege flaw whose real-world risk sits below what the 7.8 HIGH score suggests in isolation. The CVSS vector (AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H) shows the severity is driven by scope change (S:C) plus full CIA impact, but two metrics constrain exploitability: it requires local access with existing low privileges (AV:L, PR:L), and high attack complexity (AC:H) reflecting the timing/TOCTOU nature of a race condition that an attacker must reliably win. No EPSS score, no CISA KEV listing, and no public PoC are present in the provided data, so exploitation status is 'no public exploit identified at time of analysis.' Microsoft (the reporter) publishes only an advisory-level MSRC note with no technical detail, no SSVC decision fields, and no exploitability assessment. Net: a genuine EoP primitive in a ubiquitous component, but the local + authenticated + race-window prerequisites make it a patch-in-normal-cycle item rather than an emergency, absent evidence of active exploitation. Note also the input tag 'Information Disclosure' contradicts the description, which explicitly states privilege elevation - treat the impact as EoP, not info-disclosure.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

A low-privileged local user (or malware already running in a standard user context) runs a program that repeatedly triggers the vulnerable Windows Shell operation and races a shared resource against a privileged operation, winning the timing window to manipulate state and execute code or actions at higher privilege. Because attack complexity is high, the attacker likely loops the exploit many times to reliably win the race. No public exploit code is identified in the available data.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
No patch listed yet 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Sep 25, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows Shell (the shell32/explorer component handling shell operations and namespace objects) lets an authenticated low-privileged attacker who can already run code on a Windows host race a shared resource against a concurrent privileged operation and cross a security boundary, gaining elevated rights on the same machine. The flaw is CWE-362 (improper synchronization / race condition) and carries CVSS 7.8 with Scope:Changed, reflecting that the vulnerable component's flaw impacts a component with different privileges, but the assessed vector (AC:H, PR:L, AV:L) means exploitation is non-deterministic, requires many timing attempts, and no remote or unauthenticated path exists. All supported Windows client and server branches are affected - Windows 10 1607 through 22H2, Windows 11 23H2/24H2/25H2, and Windows Server 2016 through 2025 - and no public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis, with no CISA KEV listing, so real-world risk sits below what the raw 7.8 score suggests in isolation.

RemediationAI

Patch availability is per the vendor advisory: Microsoft addresses this through its monthly security update process, and the definitive fixed build for each affected branch is published in the MSRC update guide at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2025-64661, so the primary action is to apply the applicable cumulative update for Windows 10 1607/1809/21H2/22H2, Windows 11 23H2/24H2/25H2, and Windows Server 2016/2019/2022/2022 23H2/2025 via Windows Update, WSUS, or the Microsoft Update Catalog - note that Windows 10 1607 and 1809 are out of mainstream servicing, so their fixes are only reachable through the specific extended-servicing channels listed in the advisory, which is a real operational constraint. Because exploitation requires an attacker to already run code locally under a low-privileged account, the most effective compensating controls target local execution rather than the network: enforce application allowlisting with WDAC or AppLocker so untrusted binaries cannot trigger the vulnerable shell path (trade-off: allowlisting requires ongoing maintenance and can block legitimate software, especially in developer or multi-tenant environments), and run untrusted workloads inside AppContainer or a Windows Sandbox/virtualized session where the racing process cannot share the privileged shell resource (trade-off: reduced functionality and possible breakage of shell-integrated applications). Removing unnecessary local logon and interactive logon rights for service or shared accounts narrows the PR:L foothold but disrupts legitimate operational workflows, and EDR detection should focus on abnormal rapid repetition of shell-related process activity from low-integrity contexts, since the AC:H requirement means successful exploitation typically produces many failed timing attempts before any elevation succeeds - detection is a supplement to patching, not a substitute, and there are no network-level workarounds because no remote attack path exists.

Affects your stack

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Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The root cause class is CWE-362, concurrent execution using a shared resource with improper synchronization: a time-of-check-to-time-of-use style window in which the Windows Shell manipulates or validates an object under one security context while a concurrent privileged operation acts on the same shared resource, allowing a low-privileged process to interpose and have its action executed with higher integrity. The CPE data pins the affected surface to Microsoft Windows operating system builds rather than a separable application: Windows 10 1607/1809 (x86 and x64), Windows 10 21H2 and 22H2, Windows 11 23H2/24H2/25H2, and Windows Server 2016 (with tags extending coverage to Windows Server 2019, 2022, 2022 23H2, and 2025). Because the assessed vector is AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:C, the attacker must already hold authenticated low-privileged local access and execute code that reaches the vulnerable shell code path; the scope change (S:C) is what classifies this as a privilege boundary violation rather than a simple crash or disclosure, and the high attack complexity reflects the need to win a narrow, non-deterministic timing window against a concurrent privileged operation, typically over many attempts. No special non-default configuration is required, as the affected shell component ships by default on every listed version, and the accompanying tag for information disclosure indicates the race can also leak data in addition to enabling elevation. Windows Shell is a heavily reused component (explorer.exe, common file dialogs, shell namespace extensions), so the vulnerable code path is reachable from many ordinary user-driven operations, but that ubiquity does not reduce the AC:H/PR:L prerequisites.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local low-priv attacker (AV:L/PR:L); AC:H because a race window must be won; S:C and full CIA:H reflect escalation across the low-priv-to-privileged authority boundary.

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:P/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Changed
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows Shell allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

CVE-2025-64661 is a high-severity local privilege-escalation flaw in the Microsoft Windows Shell (shell32/explorer) affecting supported Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server 2016 through 2025 systems across the organization. An authenticated attacker who already has a low-privileged foothold on a host could exploit a race condition to cross a security boundary and gain elevated rights, increasing the risk of credential theft, lateral movement, and full endpoint or server compromise. Although no public exploit identified at time of analysis and no CISA KEV listing is present, the broad Windows footprint and no vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis make this a priority for interim risk reduction.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

No vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis; enforce least privilege and remove unnecessary local admin rights, deploy application allowlisting/WDAC or AppLocker, enable Credential Guard and LSA Protection, restrict interactive logon and shell access for non-administrative users, keep EDR/ASR and monitoring tuned for privilege-escalation behavior, and track Microsoft advisories for a vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 85% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Shell ships in every supported Windows client and server edition
Data Quality
2 sources
Confidence: Low

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available No
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision· derived
Scheduled
Exploitation· derived
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable· derived
No
Human Impact
High

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Race conditions occur when multiple concurrent requests exploit the brief time gap between checking a condition and acting upon it (TOCTOU - Time of Check, Time of Use).

Affected Products (CPE)CVE.org

cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_24h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_25h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2016:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2019:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2022:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2022_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2025:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
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