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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain low-privileged local code execution
  2. Delivery
    Send crafted request to ProjFS filter driver
  3. Exploit
    Trigger buffer over-read in kernel driver
  4. Execution
    Leak/corrupt kernel memory
  5. Impact
    Elevate to SYSTEM privileges

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Buffer over-read prevention
Exploitation Conditions

Requires the attacker to already possess local, authenticated low-privileged code execution on the target Windows system (AV:L, PR:L) - this is a post-compromise elevation, not a remote entry point. The vulnerable component is the Windows Projected File System (ProjFS / prjflt.sys) filter driver; exploitation reaches it through local interaction with the driver and requires no user interaction (UI:N) and no special complexity (AC:L). Limiting factors: no remote vector, a valid local foothold is mandatory, and reaching the ProjFS code path may depend on the Projected File System / VFS-for-Git optional feature being present or invoked, though the driver ships with all supported Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server builds. No public exploit exists, raising the practical bar to custom exploit development.

Impact

Signals converge on a moderate, patch-on-cycle priority rather than an emergency. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.8) describes a classic local privilege-escalation: the attacker must already have code execution as a low-privileged user on the box (AV:L, PR:L), but once there, exploitation is low-complexity, needs no user interaction, and yields full confidentiality, integrity and availability impact - consistent with corrupting or reading kernel memory via the ProjFS filter driver (prjflt.sys). EPSS is low at 0.40% (32nd percentile), the CVE is NOT on CISA KEV, and no public exploit was identified, so all exploitation-likelihood signals agree this is not currently under mass exploitation. There is no signal conflict: the low EPSS is consistent with a local-only EOP that lacks public PoC. The main caveat is that the MSRC advisory is the sole source and provides no root-cause or triggering detail, so the exact affected code path and whether the over-read enables reliable control-flow hijack (vs. info leak only) cannot be verified from available data. Net: a genuine but not urgent EOP - a useful post-compromise link in a chain, deploy in normal Patch Tuesday cadence.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already gained low-privileged code execution on a Windows host (e.g., via phishing or a compromised standard-user account) invokes the Projected File System filter driver through crafted input that triggers an out-of-bounds read in kernel memory. By leveraging the buffer over-read, the attacker leaks sensitive kernel data or corrupts state to elevate to SYSTEM. No public exploit code was identified at time of analysis, so a working exploit would need to be developed.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
No patch listed yet 0.4% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Sep 30, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows stems from a buffer over-read (CWE-126) in the Projected File System filter driver (prjflt.sys), a kernel-mode component that ships in-box with Windows 10 1809, Windows 10 21H2/22H2, Windows 11 23H2/24H2/25H2, and Windows Server 2019, 2022, 2022 23H2 and 2025. An authenticated attacker who already holds low-privileged local code execution on the host can trigger the over-read and, because the flaw is reachable in kernel context, gain SYSTEM-level elevation - CVSS 3.1 scores this 7.8 (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H), meaning no user interaction and no unusual complexity, but a mandatory local foothold. There is no confirmed active exploitation (not in CISA KEV) and no public exploit identified at time of analysis; EPSS is low at 0.40% (32nd percentile), so this is a patch-on-cycle item rather than an emergency, with priority driven by the number of unpatched Windows endpoints exposed to post-compromise escalation. Microsoft published the fix through its standard monthly update channel (MSRC advisory CVE-2025-62461).

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update that addresses CVE-2025-62461 as distributed through the MSRC update guide (https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2025-62461); the fix ships as part of the monthly cumulative updates for each affected build, so Windows 10 1809/21H2/22H2, Windows 11 23H2/24H2/25H2 and Windows Server 2019/2022/2022 23H2/2025 hosts should be brought to the latest patch level via Windows Update, WSUS, or Microsoft Update Catalog, with rapid deployment prioritized on multi-user and privileged-workstation systems where a low-privileged foothold is most likely. No exact fix build number is provided in the available data, so verify the applied KB against the MSRC advisory rather than assuming a version. If patching must be deferred, the primary compensating control is reducing the availability of the mandatory local foothold: enforce least privilege (no local admin for standard users), apply WDAC/AppLocker or similar application-control policy to limit which binaries a low-privileged user can execute, and monitor prjflt.sys-related activity and unexpected SYSTEM-token creation with EDR; keep in mind that this only raises the cost of the prerequisite step and does not remove the underlying driver flaw. Disabling the Projected File System optional feature (Enable-WindowsOptionalFeature -FeatureName ProjectedFS -Online -Disable) will break any ProjFS-based provider such as VFS for Git / Scalar and does not remove prjflt.sys from disk, so it should be treated as a narrow, temporary exposure-reduction measure, not a substitute for the patch. Because exploitation requires local authenticated code execution and no public exploit exists, a coordinated patch-on-cycle timeline is reasonable, but do not leave the update permanently unapplied.

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Technical ContextAI · show details

The Windows Projected File System (ProjFS) is a user-mode-to-kernel file system virtualization layer introduced in Windows 10 1809. A user-mode 'provider' process registers a virtualization root and is called back by the kernel filter driver prjflt.sys (the Projected File System Filter Driver) to materialize file and directory metadata on demand, which is how technologies such as VFS for Git / Scalar present huge repositories as a local working tree. Because prjflt.sys processes file-system and provider-supplied metadata in kernel mode, its parsing routines are a classic local elevation surface: any memory-safety defect that a low-privileged user can reach through file operations translates directly into kernel context execution with elevated integrity. This specific defect is classified CWE-126 (Buffer Over-read), a memory-safety class in which a routine reads past the bounds of an allocated buffer, typically while parsing an input structure whose length field is trusted or mis-validated. Over-reads are often information-disclosure primitives, but Microsoft's CVSS assignment of High confidentiality, integrity and availability impact indicates the reachable code path can corrupt or leak kernel memory in a way that is usable for control-flow or data manipulation from a local foothold. No attacker-facing protocol or port is involved (AV:L), and the CVE record does not expose any pre-authentication remote path; CPE data confirms the flaw is present across the entire supported Windows 10, Windows 11 and Windows Server family rather than in a single SKU, consistent with an in-box driver that is rebuilt each month.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local EOP needing an existing low-priv foothold (AV:L, PR:L) with no interaction; kernel-driver over-read yields SYSTEM-level compromise, so C/I/A all High.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Buffer over-read in Windows Projected File System Filter Driver allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A high-severity local privilege escalation vulnerability in Microsoft Windows affects Windows 10 1809 through Windows 11 25H2 and Windows Server 2019 through 2025, allowing an authenticated attacker with an existing low-privileged foothold to gain SYSTEM-level control. This post-compromise escalation could enable full device takeover and lateral movement, making it a significant risk for organizations with many unpatched endpoints. With no vendor patch currently available and no public exploit identified at time of analysis, leadership should prioritize mitigation based on endpoint exposure and existing security controls.

Business Impact: Medium
Compensating Controls

No vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis. Interim mitigations: enforce least privilege and application control to limit low-privileged local code execution; monitor for suspicious activity related to prjflt.sys and local privilege escalation; consider disabling the Projected File System filter driver on systems where it is not required, after testing for operational impact; and maintain robust EDR coverage to detect post-compromise escalation attempts.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.4%
Top 68% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
ProjFS driver ships with every supported Windows 10/11 and Server release
Data Quality
3 sources
Confidence: Low

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.4%
Patch available No
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision· derived
Defer
Exploitation· derived
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable· derived
No
Human Impact
Medium

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

Affected Products (CPE)CVE.org

cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_24h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_25h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2019:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2022:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2022_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2025:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
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