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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local code execution
  2. Delivery
    Issue crafted Win32K GRFX graphics calls
  3. Exploit
    Trigger heap-based buffer overflow
  4. Execution
    Groom pool and corrupt kernel structures
  5. Impact
    Escalate to SYSTEM privileges

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Heap buffer bounds checking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Execution

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Requires the attacker to already have local, authenticated access with the ability to execute code as a standard/low-privileged user on the affected Windows host (PR:L, AV:L); it cannot be triggered remotely or without a prior foothold. No user interaction is needed (UI:N) and no special non-default configuration is indicated - the vulnerable Win32K GRFX kernel component is a core part of affected Windows client (Windows 10 1607/1809/21H2/22H2, Windows 11 23H2) and server (Server 2008 R2 SP1 through 2012 R2, and per tags Server 2016/2019/2022) editions. The limiting factor is the local-access prerequisite, which confines this to post-compromise privilege escalation rather than initial access.

Impact

CVSS 3.1 base score 7.8 (HIGH) with vector AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H describes a locally-exploitable, low-complexity elevation-of-privilege requiring the attacker to already hold low-level (authenticated/PR:L) access to the target, yielding full confidentiality, integrity and availability impact (typically SYSTEM). EPSS is 0.66% (49th percentile), which is unremarkable and does not indicate imminent mass exploitation. There is no CISA KEV listing and no public exploit code identified at time of analysis, so exploitation status is: no public exploit identified at time of analysis. Signals are internally consistent: this is a classic Win32K kernel EOP - high impact but gated behind local access, so it is a second-stage/post-compromise primitive rather than an internet-facing critical. Practical priority is elevated because Win32K heap-overflow EOPs are a historically favored target for exploit developers and malware toolkits, and the huge Windows install base means broad patch urgency even absent current in-the-wild activity. No conflicting signals were found; the only limitation is the terse MSRC-style description with no technical detail on the specific GRFX code path.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has the ability to run code as a standard (non-admin) user - for example via phishing, a compromised low-privilege service, or an initial malware foothold - executes a program that issues crafted graphics/GDI calls to trigger the heap-based buffer overflow in the Win32K GRFX component. By grooming the kernel pool and corrupting adjacent structures, they escalate to SYSTEM, gaining full control of the host. No public proof-of-concept has been identified at time of analysis; the local, low-complexity vector (AV:L/AC:L) makes reliable weaponization plausible once details or exploits emerge.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
No patch listed yet 0.7% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Sep 30, 2026

Heap-based buffer overflow in the Windows Win32K GRFX kernel component allows a locally authenticated, low-privileged attacker to elevate privileges to SYSTEM on affected hosts. Impacted platforms include Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 23H2, and Windows Server 2008 R2 SP1 through 2012 R2 as well as Server 2016/2019/2022 per vendor tagging. Exploitation requires an existing local foothold as a standard user (AV:L, PR:L, UI:N) and yields full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact at CVSS 3.1 base 7.8 (HIGH); EPSS is 0.66% (49th percentile) and no public exploit or CISA KEV entry has been identified at time of analysis.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update referenced in the MSRC advisory for CVE-2025-62458 (https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2025-62458); patch availability is indicated by vendor advisory, but no exact KB-level fix version is supplied in the data provided, so confirm the specific build mapping on the MSRC update guide before deployment. Because Win32K GRFX is a core graphics component, it cannot be disabled or firewalled off without breaking the Windows GUI, so direct feature-removal mitigations are not viable. Prioritize the following compensating controls for hosts that cannot be patched immediately: enforce strict least-privilege so that interactive users are not local administrators (limits the value of a standard-user-to-SYSTEM escalation but does not eliminate it since SYSTEM access is still obtained); deploy application allowlisting (AppLocker/WDAC) to prevent untrusted binaries from running locally as an evasion/exploitation vector, accepting added administrative overhead and potential blocking of legitimate unsigned software; and tune EDR to alert on anomalous Win32K/GRFX-related kernel memory activity and unexpected token elevation to SYSTEM, with the trade-off of increased alert volume requiring triage. Remote-access prerequisites should also be tightened - VPN/RDP exposure is not required for this bug, but limiting who can log on locally reduces the population of potential attackers.

Affects your stack

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Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Win32K is the Windows kernel-mode subsystem that implements the Win32/GDI graphics stack, and GRFX (graphics) is the portion that handles drawing and surface objects on behalf of user-mode callers. CVE-2025-62458 is a heap-based buffer overflow (CWE-122) in that kernel component: the driver writes beyond the bounds of a heap-allocated buffer while processing attacker-influenced graphics data. Because the flaw resides in a kernel-mode component that brokers calls from low-privileged user processes, successful corruption of kernel heap memory enables privilege escalation from a standard user context to SYSTEM. The CVSS vector AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H confirms the attack surface is local (not remote), low complexity, and requires the attacker to already hold authenticated low-privilege code execution on the target; no user interaction or non-default configuration is needed, since Win32K GRFX is present by default on all affected Windows client and server editions enumerated in the CPE data.

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local privilege escalation requiring existing low-priv code execution (AV:L, PR:L), no user interaction, low complexity, kernel compromise yields full SYSTEM control (C/I/A:H).

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Heap-based buffer overflow in Windows Win32K - GRFX allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A high-severity elevation-of-privilege flaw in the Win32K GRFX kernel component affects a broad swath of the Windows estate, including Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 23H2, and Windows Server 2008 R2 SP1 through 2022. An attacker who already holds a standard user account on a machine can leverage it to gain full SYSTEM-level control of that host, meaning any compromised endpoint, VDI session, or jump server becomes a launch point for lateral movement and credential theft. Because no vendor patch is currently available, leadership should treat this as a containment and privileged-access governance issue rather than a straightforward patch-management task.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

No vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis. Interim mitigations: enforce least privilege by removing unnecessary local administrator and Remote Desktop Users rights, restrict interactive local logon on sensitive hosts, apply WDAC/AppLocker to block untrusted executables, enable Credential Guard and LSA protection, require privileged work from hardened PAWs or jump servers, deploy EDR/ASR coverage tuned to local privilege-escalation and kernel exploit behavior, accelerate isolation or retirement of end-of-support platforms (Server 2008 R2 SP1, 2012, 2012 R2), and monitor for anomalous SYSTEM-level process creation and token manipulation. Apply vendor patch as soon as one is released.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.7%
Top 51% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Microsoft Windows client and server OS, present in nearly all environments
Data Quality
3 sources
Confidence: Low

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.7%
Patch available No
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision· derived
Scheduled
Exploitation· derived
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable· derived
No
Human Impact
High

Priority Score

40
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: +1
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

A heap overflow occurs when a program writes data beyond the bounds of a buffer allocated in the heap memory region.

Affected Products (CPE)CVE.org

cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2008:r2:sp1:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:-:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2012:r2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2016:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2019:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2022:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
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