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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local/domain credentials
  2. Delivery
    Trigger Windows Installer operation (install/repair)
  3. Exploit
    Race shared resource access window
  4. Execution
    Substitute attacker-controlled object
  5. Persist
    Installer reads/executes with SYSTEM rights
  6. Impact
    Achieve full SYSTEM-level privilege escalation

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires an authorized attacker with a valid local or domain user account (low-privilege shell or interactive logon) on the target Windows system - PR:L confirms authentication is required. The race condition must be triggered in the context of a Windows Installer operation, implying the installer service must be active and accessible to the user (the default configuration on all affected Windows editions). AC:H indicates reliable exploitation requires careful timing and likely repeated attempts; a single deterministic trigger is insufficient. No special non-default configuration is required beyond having a valid user account. Exploitation is bounded to the local system (AV:L) - remote unauthenticated exploitation is not possible. Windows Server Core installations are equally affected as full GUI installations, as Windows Installer is a core OS component.

Impact

CVSS 7.0 with vector AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H correctly characterizes this as a meaningful but non-trivial local escalation. The High Complexity (AC:H) metric is critical to real-world risk: race conditions require precise timing, repeated attempts, and often favorable scheduling conditions to win the race, making reliable, weaponizable exploitation significantly harder than simpler LPE classes. The Low Privileges (PR:L) requirement means any standard domain or local user account is a potential attacker - no guest or anonymous exposure. Full C:H/I:H/A:H reflects that winning the race yields SYSTEM rights and complete system compromise. No EPSS data was provided; no CISA KEV listing and no public POC have been identified, suggesting this has not yet entered commodity exploitation toolkits. The breadth of affected platforms (19 distinct Windows versions spanning Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1 and Server 2025) elevates organizational exposure, as unpatched endpoints in heterogeneous estates are likely. In a real environment, this is a medium-priority patch for most organizations - high priority for environments where threat actors already have low-privilege footholds.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

A low-privileged domain user on a Windows workstation repeatedly triggers an msiexec installation or repair operation and races a second thread to manipulate a shared file handle or object in the window between the installer's privilege check and its privileged write operation. If the race is won - which may require hundreds or thousands of attempts under typical scheduling - the attacker's thread substitutes a malicious payload at the shared resource location. The installer's SYSTEM-level process then operates on the attacker-controlled resource, resulting in arbitrary code execution as SYSTEM. No public POC has been identified at time of analysis, but the technique is well-understood within the Windows LPE research community.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Sep 09, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Windows Installer (msiexec) allows a low-privileged authenticated user to gain full SYSTEM-level control by exploiting a race condition on a shared resource during installer operations. The vulnerability is present across a broad swath of Windows desktop and server releases, from Windows Server 2012 through Windows Server 2025 and Windows 11 26H1. No public exploit code or active exploitation (CISA KEV) has been identified at time of analysis, though the CVSS High score (7.0) and full C:H/I:H/A:H impact reflect the severity of a successful escalation.

RemediationAI

Apply the vendor-released security update available through Windows Update or WSUS - the fix is confirmed available from Microsoft (reported via secure@microsoft.com). The specific patched build thresholds are listed per platform in the affected products section; administrators should verify that managed endpoints have reached the corrected build numbers (e.g., Windows 10 22H2 must reach 10.0.19045.7725 or later, Windows 11 24H2 must reach 10.0.26100.9445 or later, and Windows Server 2025 must reach 10.0.26100.33438). The Microsoft advisory is at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-69441. As a compensating control prior to patching, restrict interactive and remote desktop access to only necessary user accounts - this limits the pool of potential attackers who can trigger the local race. Disabling Windows Installer for standard users via Group Policy ('Disable Windows Installer' = 'Always') prevents execution of msiexec by non-administrators, though this blocks legitimate software deployment via MSI packages and may require alternative deployment tooling.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26349
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2954
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5622
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7582
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23397
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7725
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23397
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33438
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33438
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7725
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9445
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26349
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9445
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7725
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7725
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7582
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9445
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9445
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2954
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26349
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23397
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23397
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26349
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5622
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33438
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33438

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 19 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Installer (CWE-362) is the built-in software installation and configuration subsystem in Microsoft Windows, responsible for managing .msi package installations via the msiexec.exe process. The root cause is a classic time-of-check/time-of-use (TOCTOU) or concurrent-access race condition: two execution threads (or a thread and a separate process) access a shared resource - likely a privileged file handle, registry key, or memory-mapped object - without adequate synchronization primitives (mutex, lock). An attacker that wins the race can substitute or manipulate the shared resource in the window between the installer's privilege check and its privileged operation. Because the installer runs with elevated (SYSTEM) rights during certain operations, a successful race allows the caller to inherit or redirect those rights. Affected CPE strings span Windows NT 6.2 (Server 2012) through 10.0.28000 (Windows 11 26H1), indicating the vulnerable code path has been present across more than a decade of Windows releases.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local access required (AV:L), race condition demands precise timing (AC:H), low-privilege authenticated user needed (PR:L); full system compromise on success (C:H/I:H/A:H), no scope change (S:U).

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:P/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Sep 08, 2026 - 18:35 EUVD
CVE Published
Sep 08, 2026 - 18:19 nvd
HIGH 7.0

DescriptionCVE.org

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Windows Installer (msiexec) contains a privilege escalation vulnerability affecting Windows Server 2012 through 2025 and Windows 11 26H1-impacting enterprise servers and desktop fleets worldwide. Any authenticated user on an affected system can escalate to SYSTEM-level control, enabling full administrative compromise, data exfiltration, and lateral movement throughout the network. A vendor patch is available and must be prioritized for rapid deployment across all affected platforms.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 91% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer is a core component of all supported Windows editions
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

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