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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Achieve low-privilege local code execution
  2. Delivery
    Invoke crafted Windows Installer operation
  3. Exploit
    Trigger incorrect authorization check in msiexec
  4. Execution
    Obtain SYSTEM-level privileges
  5. Persist
    Disable security controls or exfiltrate credentials
  6. Impact
    Full host compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A01:2025 - Broken Access Control
ASVS 5.0
V8 - Authorization Authorization logic validation
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to have an authenticated local session on the target system with at least low-privilege credentials (confirmed by CVSS PR:L). No special system configuration, non-default Windows feature, or specific software installation state is required beyond initial local login - AC:L confirms the attack is reliable against standard configurations. The critical limiting factor is AV:L: there is no remote exploitation path, meaning the attacker must first achieve local code execution through a separate initial-access vector (e.g., phishing, RDP credential theft) before this vulnerability becomes relevant. The vulnerability does not cross a scope boundary (S:U), so it cannot directly enable lateral movement to adjacent systems - it is an elevation-of-privilege primitive within the compromised host only.

Impact

The CVSS 7.8 High score is consistent with the local privilege escalation class: AV:L constrains exploitation to hosts where the attacker already has a foothold, meaningfully limiting the initial attack surface. However, AC:L and PR:L indicate that any authenticated low-privilege user can trigger the flaw without complex preconditions, making post-exploitation elevation straightforward for attackers who have already achieved initial access. The full C:H/I:H/A:H impact triad reflects achievable SYSTEM-level takeover. No EPSS score was provided, precluding probabilistic exploitation likelihood comparison. This CVE is not listed in CISA KEV at time of analysis, and no POC has been publicly identified - these signals lower immediate operational urgency relative to the raw CVSS score. However, LPE flaws in Windows Installer have a documented historical pattern of being incorporated into ransomware and APT post-exploitation chains, making the medium-to-long-term risk meaningful at scale. The 'Authentication Bypass' tag in source data is potentially misleading - the CVSS PR:L metric confirms low-privilege authentication is still required; this is an authorization bypass post-authentication, not an authentication bypass, and security teams should not interpret it as unauthenticated exploitation.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

A threat actor who has established low-privilege code execution on a Windows endpoint - for example, via a phishing-delivered payload running as a standard domain user - invokes a crafted Windows Installer operation that triggers the incorrect authorization check, causing the Installer service to perform a privileged action on the attacker's behalf and elevating the process to SYSTEM. With SYSTEM privileges, the attacker can disable endpoint security tools, extract LSASS credential material, or deploy ransomware with unrestricted file system access. No public proof-of-concept code has been identified at time of analysis, but the AC:L rating indicates exploitation would not require significant technical sophistication once a working method is developed.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Aug 11, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Windows Installer (msiexec) affects virtually the entire modern Windows ecosystem - from Windows 10 1607 through Windows 11 26H1 and Windows Server 2012 through 2025 - via an incorrect authorization flaw (CWE-863). An attacker with low-privilege authenticated local access can exploit the broken authorization check within the Installer service to elevate to SYSTEM-level privileges, achieving full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact on the host. No public exploit code has been identified at time of analysis, though Microsoft has released patches across the full affected version matrix per MSRC advisory.

RemediationAI

The primary remediation is applying Microsoft's security update through Windows Update, WSUS, or Microsoft Update Catalog to reach the fixed build versions: Windows 10 1607 and Server 2016 to 10.0.14393.9418 or later, Windows 10 1809 and Server 2019 to 10.0.17763.9115 or later, Windows 10 21H2 to 10.0.19044.7663 or later, Windows 10 22H2 to 10.0.19045.7663 or later, Windows 11 23H2 to 10.0.22631.7517 or later, Windows 11 24H2 to 10.0.26100.9168 or later, Windows Server 2025 to 10.0.26100.33296 or later, Windows 11 25H2 to 10.0.26200.9168 or later, Windows 11 26H1 to 10.0.28000.2704 or later, Server 2012 to 6.2.9200.26279 or later, Server 2012 R2 to 6.3.9600.23337 or later, and Server 2022 to 10.0.20348.5499 or later. Full advisory is at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-61925. Where immediate patching is not feasible, restrict local interactive logon and Remote Desktop access to only trusted administrative accounts using Group Policy (deny logon locally / deny logon through RDS) - this reduces the pool of potential attackers but may impact users who require local access for legitimate operations. There is no known software-level workaround to disable the vulnerable Windows Installer authorization path without severely disrupting software installation functionality.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2704
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7517
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7663
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7663
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9168
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5499
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9168
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7663
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7663
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7517
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9168
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9168
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2704
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5499
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33296
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33296

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 19 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Installer (msiexec.exe) is a core Windows subsystem responsible for software package installation, maintenance, and removal using the MSI format, running as a privileged service. CWE-863 (Incorrect Authorization) identifies the root cause as a failure in the authorization logic that validates whether a requesting user or process holds sufficient rights for a privileged installer operation - effectively a broken access control check that allows a lower-privileged caller to invoke operations reserved for elevated contexts. The CVSS vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U) confirms that exploitation requires no special system configuration (AC:L) and no user interaction, and the impact is contained within the vulnerable component's security domain (S:U). The broad affected version range confirmed by EUVD-2026-56331 spans kernel builds from 6.2.9200.x (Server 2012) through 10.0.28000.x (Windows 11 26H1), indicating a systemic flaw in the authorization path rather than a version-specific regression.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local vector and low-privilege requirement confirmed by description and CVSS; full CIA impact reflects achievable SYSTEM-level takeover via LPE with no scope change.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Aug 11, 2026 - 18:19 EUVD
CVE Published
Aug 11, 2026 - 17:18 nvd
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Incorrect authorization in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Windows Installer (msiexec) contains a local privilege escalation flaw affecting Windows 10, 11, and Server editions (2012-2025) that allows authenticated users to elevate to SYSTEM-level access, enabling complete compromise of affected hosts. This vulnerability impacts virtually all modern Windows deployments and poses significant risk for lateral movement and privilege escalation in environments where attackers have gained limited local access. Microsoft has released patches across all affected versions.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 74% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer ships in all Windows OS versions globally
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation More Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

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