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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local access
  2. Delivery
    Run crafted Win32K exploit program
  3. Exploit
    Win race / groom kernel object state
  4. Execution
    Bypass improper access-control check
  5. Impact
    Elevate to SYSTEM privileges

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A01:2025 - Broken Access Control
ASVS 5.0
V8 - Authorization Access control enforcement
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Defense Evasion

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already have authenticated local access to the machine with at least low-level privileges (AV:L, PR:L) and the ability to execute code that issues Win32K syscalls; no user interaction is needed (UI:N). What limits exploitation is the high attack complexity (AC:H): the attacker must satisfy timing, race-condition, or specific kernel-state prerequisites that are not reliably present, reducing exploit reliability. There is no network-facing exposure - a remote unauthenticated attacker cannot trigger this directly - and the target must be running one of the affected Windows 10/11 or Windows Server 2012-2025 builds without the fix applied.

Impact

The CVSS 3.1 vector CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H yields a base score of 7.0 (High). The signals are internally consistent for a local EoP: AV:L requires local access, PR:L requires an existing authenticated foothold, and UI:N means no victim interaction, while C:H/I:H/A:H reflect full compromise of the host once exploited (SYSTEM-level). The distinguishing factor is AC:H - the attacker must win a race, groom kernel memory, or satisfy timing/state conditions, which lowers reliability and typically excludes this from opportunistic mass exploitation. No EPSS score, KEV listing, or POC was provided, so there is no evidence of active exploitation or public exploit code; realistically this is a second-stage tool used after initial access rather than an entry vector. It is a genuine patch-priority item for endpoints and terminal/RDS servers where untrusted users run code, but not an emergency drop-everything issue absent exploitation signals. Note the tag 'Authentication Bypass' conflicts with the CWE-284 access-control framing and the local EoP impact - treat that tag with caution and rely on the CVSS/CWE for triage.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already gained a low-privileged foothold on a Windows host - for example via phishing, a stolen credential, or a compromised low-trust service account - runs a crafted local program that abuses the Win32K access-control flaw to escalate to SYSTEM. Because exploitation is rated high-complexity (AC:H), the attacker likely needs to win a race condition or manipulate kernel object state, so the exploit may require multiple attempts; no public POC was identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 2.1% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jul 14, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows Win32K kernel-mode subsystem allows an already-authenticated low-privileged user to elevate to SYSTEM through an improper access-control flaw. The issue affects a broad range of Windows client and server releases, from Windows 10 1607 and Windows Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1 and Windows Server 2025. Microsoft has released a patch; there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis, and the flaw is not listed in CISA KEV.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-49805 (Patch available per vendor advisory) via Windows Update or WSUS/SCCM for every affected client and server SKU, prioritizing multi-user systems such as Remote Desktop Session Hosts, VDI, and shared workstations where untrusted users execute code. The authoritative per-build fixed versions are listed at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-49805; consult that advisory for the exact patched build for each OS version rather than assuming a single version number. Where immediate patching is not possible, reduce exposure by limiting the ability of untrusted or standard users to run arbitrary code on affected hosts (application allowlisting such as WDAC/AppLocker) and by monitoring for anomalous local process behavior, though these are compensating controls that do not remove the underlying flaw and can impose administrative overhead. There is no vendor-documented in-product configuration workaround, so patching is the definitive remediation.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5386
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7548
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2269
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7548
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8875

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7548
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7548
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2269
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5386
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 18 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Win32K (win32k.sys / win32kfull.sys) is the kernel-mode component of the Windows graphics and windowing subsystem that services GDI and USER calls from user mode. Because it runs in kernel context yet exposes a large syscall surface to unprivileged processes, it has historically been a prime target for local privilege escalation. The root cause here is classified as CWE-284 (Improper Access Control), meaning the component fails to correctly enforce a permission or ownership check on an object or operation, letting a lower-privileged caller reach functionality or objects it should not. The affected CPE set spans Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 (24H2, 25H2, 26H1), and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, indicating the vulnerable code path is long-lived and present across the modern Windows kernel line.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local EoP requiring an authenticated low-priv foothold (AV:L/PR:L), high complexity due to race/state prerequisites (AC:H), yielding full SYSTEM compromise (C/I/A:H).

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Improper access control in Windows Win32K allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Microsoft Windows 10, 11, and Server 2012-2025 contain a local privilege escalation vulnerability (CVE-2026-49805) permitting authenticated users to escalate to SYSTEM-level access, affecting hundreds of millions of endpoints and servers organization-wide. This creates elevated insider threat and lateral movement risk; a vendor patch is immediately available and must be deployed across the enterprise.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
2.1%
Top 21% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Win32K is a core kernel component in every affected Windows client and server
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation More Likely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 2.1%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

37
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: +2
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

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