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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local code execution
  2. Delivery
    Interact with Windows TCP/IP component
  3. Exploit
    Trigger incorrect numeric type conversion (CWE-681)
  4. Execution
    Corrupt kernel memory state
  5. Persist
    Execute code as SYSTEM
  6. Impact
    Full host compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
Exploitation Conditions

Requires the attacker to already possess the ability to run low-privileged code on the target Windows system (AV:L, PR:L) - this is a local elevation-of-privilege flaw in the Windows TCP/IP stack, not a network-reachable bug, so it cannot be triggered by an unauthenticated remote attacker and is typically used as a post-compromise chaining step. No user interaction is required (UI:N) and attack complexity is low (AC:L), so no special timing or configuration is needed once local access exists. The affected component (Windows TCP/IP) is present in default installations of all supported Windows 10/11 and Windows Server releases, so no non-default feature must be enabled; the primary limiting factor is the local-access prerequisite. Applying the vendor patch (fixed builds listed in the EUVD advisory, e.g., Windows 11 24H2 >=10.0.26100.9711, Server 2022 >=10.0.20348.5761) removes the condition.

Impact

This is a credible but not emergency-level priority. The CVSS 3.1 vector (CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.8) describes a local privilege-escalation flaw: the attacker must already be able to execute low-privileged code on the host (AV:L, PR:L), so this is not a remotely reachable issue despite the component being Windows TCP/IP (the bug is a numeric type-conversion error, CWE-681, reachable via local interaction with the stack rather than over the network). Attack complexity is low and no user interaction is required, so once a foothold exists exploitation is straightforward. However, the secondary signals argue against treating this as a top-of-queue item: CISA's SSVC decision points report Exploitation=none and Automatable=no, meaning no observed exploitation and not amenable to mass automation, which aligns with the local-only vector. Technical Impact is rated total, consistent with the C:H/I:H/A:H full-system compromise once triggered. There is no EPSS score, no CISA KEV listing, and no public POC in the provided data, so there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis. Net: a legitimate patch-worthy local EoP (typically chained after initial access), but currently lower urgency than any network-reachable or actively-exploited vulnerability. Note one data inconsistency: the input Tags include 'Information Disclosure', which conflicts with the description and impact metrics that clearly describe elevation of privilege - the tag appears mislabeled and should not drive classification.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already gained low-privileged code execution on a Windows host (e.g., via phishing, a compromised standard user account, or a chained remote bug) locally triggers the incorrect numeric type conversion in the Windows TCP/IP component to corrupt kernel state and elevate to SYSTEM. No user interaction is required and attack complexity is low, but local access is a hard prerequisite. No public exploit code or active exploitation is identified in the available data.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 14, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows TCP/IP stack allows an authenticated, low-privileged user who can already execute code on a Windows host to escalate to a higher privilege level, with high impact to confidentiality, integrity, and availability (CVSS 3.1 7.8, AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H). The flaw is a numeric type-conversion error (CWE-681) in a component shipped by default in all affected Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server builds, so no non-default feature needs to be enabled; the only meaningful barrier is that the attacker must first obtain local code execution. Per available intelligence there is no CISA KEV listing and no public exploit identified at time of analysis (CISA SSVC exploitation: none), so this is assessed as a credible but not emergency-level priority - a post-compromise chaining primitive rather than a remotely reachable bug - and vendor-released patches are already available for all listed builds.

RemediationAI

Vendor-released patch: Microsoft has published fixes for all affected builds through the MSRC update guide at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-83872 - apply the applicable cumulative update to reach at least Windows 11 24H2 10.0.26100.9711, Windows 11 23H2 10.0.22631.7652, Windows 11 25H2 10.0.26200.9711, Windows 11 26H1 10.0.28000.3231, Windows 11 26H2 10.0.26300.9711, Windows 10 1607 / Server 2016 10.0.14393.9612, Windows 10 1809 / Server 2019 10.0.17763.9376, Windows 10 21H2 and 22H2 10.0.19044.7807, Server 2022 10.0.20348.5761, Server 2025 10.0.26100.33650, Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.23470, or Server 2012 6.2.9200.26434, and expect a reboot since tcpip.sys is a kernel component. Because the affected TCP/IP stack is core to the OS there is no meaningful network-side workaround and no feature to disable; the practical compensating controls are the local-access prerequisite itself - enforce least privilege so untrusted users cannot run code on systems they do not own, restrict interactive logon and RDP access to trusted administrators, and ensure EDR/attack-surface-reduction rules alert on privilege-escalation behavior from low-integrity processes, accepting that these measures only raise the cost of chaining and do not remove the underlying defect. Organizations running legacy Windows Server 2012/2012 R2 should prioritize migration or ESU coverage, since those branches have the oldest servicing baseline and narrowest ongoing support; until patching is complete, treat any host where an unprivileged attacker has already established a foothold as potentially compromised and hunt for secondary escalation activity rather than relying on detection alone.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The vulnerability is classified as CWE-681, Incorrect Conversion between Numeric Types, and resides in the Windows TCP/IP networking stack - the kernel-mode driver family (e.g., tcpip.sys / netio.sys) that implements the IPv4/IPv6 stack and is loaded by default on every supported Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server release, including Server Core installations. Errors of this class occur when a value is truncated, sign-extended, or otherwise coerced between integer widths or signedness without validation, which in a kernel networking component can produce incorrect length or offset arithmetic, miscalculated buffer sizes, or faulty state transitions that ultimately permit memory corruption or bypass of privilege boundaries. The CVSS vector AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N indicates the attacker must already hold the ability to run low-privileged code on the target (PR:L, AV:L), that no user interaction is needed (UI:N), and that attack complexity is low (AC:L) with scope unchanged; the impact metrics C:H/I:H/A:H indicate the resulting elevation yields high confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact, which is broader than the 'Information Disclosure' tag attached to this record in Microsoft's clustering metadata - the assessed vector is authoritative here. Because the component is core to the OS and always present, there is no configuration-dependent precondition to remove; the exploitability is bounded entirely by the local-access prerequisite, which is why an attacker typically uses this as a second-stage step after initial access rather than as an entry vector.

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local vector and existing low-privilege foothold required (AV:L, PR:L), no interaction and low complexity (UI:N, AC:L), with full SYSTEM compromise yielding C:H/I:H/A:H.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:20 cve.org
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Incorrect conversion between numeric types in Windows TCP/IP allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A privilege-escalation flaw in the Windows TCP/IP stack affects every supported Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server build in the environment by default, meaning the exposure footprint is effectively the entire Windows estate with no configuration change required to be at risk. Exploitation requires an attacker to already be running code on a host as a low-privileged user, so this is a post-compromise escalation step rather than a direct remote entry point; its significance is that it lets an intruder who gains a foothold convert limited access into administrative control, sharply raising the potential for lateral movement, data theft, and destructive action. Because no public exploit code or active exploitation has been identified at this time, leadership should treat this as a scheduled, high-priority hardening item rather than a crisis, while recognizing that the large number of affected systems makes timely patching operationally material.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 77% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows TCP/IP stack ships in every supported Windows client and server
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0
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