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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local code execution
  2. Delivery
    Spawn concurrent threads targeting TCP/IP shared kernel resource
  3. Exploit
    Win timing-sensitive race condition window
  4. Execution
    Corrupt shared kernel state or privilege token
  5. Impact
    Achieve SYSTEM-level privileges on compromised host

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires a locally authenticated user account with at minimum standard (low-privilege) access - PR:L per the CVSS vector - and the ability to execute arbitrary code on the target system. The attacker must reliably win a kernel-level race condition, which requires high attack complexity (AC:H): thread scheduling outcomes are non-deterministic, making exploitation timing-sensitive and potentially unreliable across different hardware and OS load conditions. No network-based exploitation path exists; the attack vector is strictly local (AV:L). No special non-default configuration is required - any Windows system with TCP/IP networking (universally enabled by default) is susceptible. Exploitation is bounded to the local system (S:U), so lateral movement or multi-host impact requires additional steps. The primary limiting factor is AC:H: attackers must win a non-trivial race, which significantly raises the bar compared to a deterministic LPE.

Impact

The CVSS 7.0 score with AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H accurately captures the key tension: full C/I/A impact offset by local-only attack vector and high complexity. AC:H is appropriate for race conditions, which require precise thread scheduling to reliably trigger - unskilled attackers are unlikely to weaponize this without a working, timing-tuned exploit. No EPSS score was provided in the input data, limiting probabilistic exploitation forecasting. No CISA KEV listing and no public POC exist at time of analysis, meaning real-world exploitation has not been observed or disclosed. Despite these mitigating signals, the Windows TCP/IP driver's ubiquity and the full C/I/A impact mean this should be treated as a high-priority patch on any system where low-privileged local access is possible - particularly terminal servers, VDI environments, domain-joined workstations accessible to service accounts, or systems already partially compromised via a prior low-privilege foothold. The absence of a scope change (S:U) means the impact is bounded to the vulnerable system, which is a mild containment factor in multi-tenant cloud environments.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already obtained a low-privileged shell on a Windows system - via phishing, web exploitation, or another initial-access technique - launches a multithreaded exploit process that races two threads against the TCP/IP shared resource at carefully timed intervals. Upon winning the race window, the attacker corrupts kernel memory or manipulates a process token, elevating to SYSTEM and gaining full control of the host. No public POC exists, so reliable exploitation currently requires custom exploit development with platform-specific timing tuning.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Sep 09, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows TCP/IP kernel driver affects virtually every supported Windows release, from Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1. A low-privileged local attacker exploits a race condition (CWE-362) in a shared TCP/IP resource accessed concurrently without proper synchronization, winning the timing window to corrupt kernel state and elevate to SYSTEM. No public exploit or CISA KEV listing exists at time of analysis, but the breadth of affected platforms - 19 distinct Windows versions including all current Server SKUs - makes prompt patching essential, particularly on multi-user and shared-access systems.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft-issued security update via Windows Update or WSUS, targeting the fixed builds per platform: Windows 10 22H2 → 10.0.19045.7725, Windows 11 24H2 → 10.0.26100.9445, Windows 11 25H2 → 10.0.26200.9445, Windows 11 26H1 → 10.0.28000.2954, Windows Server 2025 → 10.0.26100.33438, Windows Server 2022 → 10.0.20348.5622, Windows Server 2019/1809 → 10.0.17763.9245, Windows Server 2016/1607 → 10.0.14393.9512, Windows Server 2012 R2 → 6.3.9600.23397, Windows Server 2012 → 6.2.9200.26349. Consult https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-69385 for associated KB article numbers. Where immediate patching is not feasible, restrict interactive local logon rights to trusted administrative accounts only via Group Policy (User Rights Assignment → Deny log on locally), and audit all accounts with local access rights on sensitive servers. Reducing the pool of low-privileged local accounts limits the attacker surface. Blocking network ports does not mitigate this vulnerability, as it is triggered locally via the kernel driver - not from the network.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7725
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33438
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23397
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2954
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26349
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7725
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26349
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23397
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5622
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7582
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33438
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9445
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9445

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7725
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7725
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7582
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9445
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9445
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2954
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26349
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23397
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23397
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26349
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5622
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33438
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33438

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 19 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The vulnerability resides in the Windows TCP/IP kernel-mode driver (tcpip.sys), which implements the TCP/IP protocol stack for all Windows networking. CWE-362 (Concurrent Execution Using Shared Resource with Improper Synchronization) indicates that two or more concurrent execution paths access a shared kernel data structure without adequate locking - a classic race window exploitable via TOCTOU (time-of-check to time-of-use) or double-fetch patterns. Kernel-mode race conditions in network drivers are particularly impactful because successfully corrupting shared kernel state typically yields direct kernel execution context or allows manipulation of a process privilege token, both resulting in SYSTEM-level access. The CVSS vector AV:L/AC:H/PR:L reflects that the attacker needs local code execution with at least a standard user account and must win a timing-dependent race, which introduces reliability constraints on exploitation. Affected product versions span Windows 10 (1607 through 22H2), Windows 11 (23H2 through 26H1), and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, per EUVD-2026-73482.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local-only race condition requiring low-privileged account and timing precision (AC:H); no scope change; full kernel-level C/I/A impact on successful exploitation.

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:P/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Sep 08, 2026 - 18:35 EUVD
CVE Published
Sep 08, 2026 - 18:18 nvd
HIGH 7.0

DescriptionCVE.org

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows TCP/IP allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Microsoft Windows TCP/IP kernel driver vulnerability (CVE-2026-69385) affects all supported Windows versions from Server 2012 through Windows 11 26H1, enabling low-privileged local users to escalate to SYSTEM-level access through a race condition. Organizations running Windows Server deployments or shared/multi-user Windows systems face direct risk of complete local system compromise. Prompt patching is essential given the low exploitation barrier and the breadth of affected platform versions across enterprise infrastructure.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 89% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows TCP/IP present in virtually all Windows deployments globally
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation More Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

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