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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain low-privileged local account
  2. Delivery
    Craft malicious MSI or installer invocation
  3. Exploit
    Trigger integer overflow in Windows Installer arithmetic
  4. Execution
    Overflow corrupts adjacent memory
  5. Impact
    Execute arbitrary code as SYSTEM

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Integer overflow checks
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Execution

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

The attacker must have a valid low-privileged local user account on the target Windows system (CVSS PR:L confirmed). No special Windows Installer configuration, elevated installation policy, or non-default setting is required - the Windows Installer service is present and accessible by standard users on all default Windows installations. No user interaction from a second party is required (UI:N). Exploitation is limited to local access only (AV:L); remote exploitation is not directly possible without a separate initial-access primitive. The scope is contained to the vulnerable system (S:U), meaning exploitation does not directly propagate to adjacent systems. The primary limiting factor for risk is the local-only attack vector: an attacker must already have a foothold on the machine before leveraging this flaw.

Impact

The CVSS 7.8 High score is well-calibrated to the actual risk posture. AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U indicates any authenticated local user can exploit this reliably (low complexity, no user interaction required) but cannot reach it remotely without a prior foothold. This makes it a high-priority second-stage tool in attack chains: an attacker who gains initial access through phishing, RCE, or credential theft can immediately pivot to SYSTEM via this flaw. EPSS data was not provided in the intelligence feed, so exploitation probability cannot be quantified numerically. KEV status is not confirmed, and no public POC has been identified, suggesting exploitation is not yet widespread. However, Windows Installer is present on every supported Windows installation, so the blast radius if a POC emerges is enormous. The practical risk priority is: patch quickly for externally exposed or high-value Windows environments; treat as urgent where endpoint detection is weak, since post-exploitation LPE is often noisy only in retrospect.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has obtained a low-privileged local account - via phishing, a web application RCE, or stolen credentials - invokes the Windows Installer subsystem with a specially crafted MSI package or installer call that triggers the integer overflow. The resulting arithmetic error produces an undersized buffer, which the installer then overwrites, corrupting memory in a way that redirects execution to attacker-controlled code running as SYSTEM. No public POC has been identified, but the low attack complexity rating (AC:L) implies the overflow is straightforwardly triggerable once the arithmetic path is known.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Aug 11, 2026

Privilege escalation in Windows Installer exposes virtually every supported Windows release to local elevation-of-privilege via an integer overflow (CWE-190) in the msiexec/installer subsystem. Any low-privileged local user can trigger the flaw to gain SYSTEM-level control, with full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact confirmed by the CVSS:3.1 AV:L/PR:L/C:H/I:H/A:H vector. Microsoft has released patches across all affected product lines; no public exploit code or CISA KEV listing has been identified at the time of this analysis.

RemediationAI

The primary remediation is applying the vendor-released patch via Windows Update or WSUS. Microsoft has published fixed builds for all affected versions: update Windows Server 2025 to 10.0.26100.33296 or later, Server 2022 to 10.0.20348.5499 or later, Server 2019 to 10.0.17763.9115 or later, Server 2016 to 10.0.14393.9418 or later, Server 2012 R2 to 6.3.9600.23337 or later, Server 2012 to 6.2.9200.26279 or later, Windows 11 23H2 to 10.0.22631.7517 or later, Windows 11 24H2/Server 2025 baseline to 10.0.26100.9168 or later, Windows 10 21H2/22H2 to 10.0.19044.7663 / 10.0.19045.7663 or later, and Windows 10 1607 to 10.0.14393.9418 or later. Consult the MSRC advisory at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-59127 for the complete patch matrix. Where immediate patching is not possible, restrict local interactive logon and Remote Desktop access to the smallest necessary set of trusted accounts, and deploy endpoint detection rules for anomalous msiexec.exe privilege transitions as a compensating control - note this does not eliminate the vulnerability but raises detection probability.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5499
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33296
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7663
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9115
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2704
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9168
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26279
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7663
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9168
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9418
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23337
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7517

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7663
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7663
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7517
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9168
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9168
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2704
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23337
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26279
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9418
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9115
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5499
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33296
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33296

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 19 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Installer (msiexec.exe and associated runtime DLLs) is the native software packaging and installation subsystem present on all Windows releases. CWE-190 (Integer Overflow or Wraparound) describes a condition where arithmetic on a numeric value wraps past its maximum representable value, producing an unexpectedly small result - commonly used to calculate buffer sizes or memory offsets. The presence of the 'Buffer Overflow' tag alongside 'Integer Overflow' strongly suggests the overflow leads to an undersized allocation that is subsequently overwritten, a classic heap or stack corruption chain. Because Windows Installer runs with elevated privileges during installation operations and is accessible by standard user accounts, a triggerable overflow in its arithmetic paths creates a reliable local privilege escalation primitive. Affected CPE scope spans Windows 10 builds from version 1607 (10.0.14393.x) through 26H1 (10.0.28000.x) and Windows Server from 2012 (6.2.9200.x) through 2025 (10.0.26100.x), as confirmed by EUVD-2026-56308.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local-only attack vector with low-privilege user account sufficient; no interaction needed; full SYSTEM compromise yields high C/I/A with no scope change.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Aug 11, 2026 - 18:19 EUVD
CVE Published
Aug 11, 2026 - 17:18 cve.org
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Integer overflow or wraparound in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

This Windows Installer vulnerability exposes your entire Windows infrastructure to unauthorized privilege escalation, enabling any local user to assume administrative control and compromise confidential information or operational systems. The universal exposure across all Windows versions and the low barriers to exploitation pose an immediate threat to data protection, system integrity, and regulatory compliance. Urgent patching is the primary defense against this risk.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 76% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer is present by default on all supported Windows client and server releases worldwide
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Unlikely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

A buffer overflow occurs when a program writes more data to a memory buffer than it was allocated to hold, causing the excess data to spill into adjacent memory regions.

Integer overflow occurs when an arithmetic operation produces a result that exceeds the maximum value a given integer type can store.

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