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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain foothold on adjacent network segment
  2. Delivery
    Send timed crafted packets to TCP/IP stack
  3. Exploit
    Win race condition in tcpip.sys
  4. Execution
    Corrupt kernel memory
  5. Impact
    Execute arbitrary code as kernel

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

The attacker must have adjacent-network access (AV:A) - a position on the same physical/logical link, LAN, or VLAN as the target - and cannot exploit this across a routed internet path. No authentication and no user interaction are required (PR:N/UI:N), so any unauthenticated host on that segment can attempt it against default Windows configurations with the TCP/IP stack active, i.e. any networked Windows host. The principal limiting factor is the timing-dependent nature of the race condition: the attacker must reliably win a synchronization window, which typically demands many attempts and favorable network conditions, making reliable exploitation harder than the AC:L rating suggests. Restricting who can reach the target's network segment therefore directly constrains real-world exploitability.

Impact

The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:A/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 8.8) describes an adjacent-network, low-complexity, unauthenticated attack with full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact - a serious profile for a kernel network component. The AV:A constraint is the main mitigating factor: the attacker must be on the same broadcast/logical segment (same LAN, VLAN, or link) rather than routing across the internet, which limits mass exploitation. No EPSS score, SSVC decision, or KEV entry was provided, so exploitation probability cannot be quantified and there is no evidence of active exploitation. Note a conflict worth verifying: race-condition bugs typically require winning a timing window (arguing for AC:H), yet the supplied vector rates AC:L - treat the 'low complexity' rating with caution, as reliable exploitation may be harder than the score implies. The 'Authentication Bypass' tag is inconsistent with a TCP/IP RCE described purely as a race condition and is not corroborated by the description, so do not rely on it.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has gained a foothold on a device in the same LAN segment - for example a compromised workstation, a rogue device on an open Ethernet port, or a machine on the same VLAN - sends a carefully timed sequence of crafted packets to a target's TCP/IP stack. By repeatedly racing the vulnerable synchronization window, the attacker corrupts kernel memory and executes code with kernel privileges, requiring no credentials or user interaction. No public exploit is identified at time of analysis, so this remains a plausible but not yet demonstrated attack.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jul 14, 2026

Remote code execution in the Microsoft Windows TCP/IP networking stack allows an unauthenticated attacker on the same physical or logical network segment to win a race condition and run arbitrary code on the target. The flaw spans a broad range of desktop and server builds from Windows 10 1607 through Windows 11 26H1 and Windows Server 2012 through Server 2025. There is no public exploit identified at time of analysis, but Microsoft has confirmed the issue and shipped a patch, and the high CVSS (8.8) plus network-facing kernel component make it a priority to remediate.

RemediationAI

Patch available per vendor advisory - apply the Microsoft security update for your specific Windows/Windows Server build as listed in the MSRC update guide (https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-54999); the exact fixed KB/build number is not reproduced in the input data, so pull it per-edition from the advisory. Because the attack is adjacent-network only, the most effective compensating control until patching is network segmentation: isolate unpatched hosts on their own VLAN, restrict which peers share their link, and enforce 802.1X/port security so untrusted devices cannot join the segment - the trade-off is added network-management overhead and possible disruption to same-subnet services such as file sharing and discovery. Blocking or rate-limiting affected traffic at host firewalls can raise the bar but may break legitimate connectivity, so test before broad deployment. Prioritize internet-adjacent and shared-LAN servers, especially Server Core and 2012-era systems, first.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7548
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5386
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2525
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7548
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8875
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7548
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7548
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2525
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5386
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 18 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The vulnerable component is the Windows TCP/IP driver (tcpip.sys), the kernel-mode implementation of the IPv4/IPv6 protocol stack that processes every inbound packet. The root cause is CWE-362, a race condition: concurrent execution paths operate on a shared resource without proper synchronization, so an attacker who can precisely time packets can drive the stack into an inconsistent state that corrupts kernel memory and leads to code execution. Because this logic lives in the kernel and handles untrusted network input before any authentication layer, successful exploitation yields execution in a highly privileged context. The affected CPEs enumerate Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 (24H2, 25H2, 26H1), and Windows Server editions from 2012 (including Server Core) through 2025.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 8.8 HIGH
AV:A/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.5 HIGH

Adjacent-network unauthenticated RCE with full impact, but AC:H because winning the CWE-362 race window requires precise timing and repeated attempts.

3.1 AV:A/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:A/AC:H/AT:P/PR:N/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Adjacent
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
None
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows TCP/IP allows an unauthorized attacker to execute code over an adjacent network.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A critical vulnerability in Windows TCP/IP networking (CVE-2026-54999, CVSS 8.8) affects all Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server versions in use today, allowing network-adjacent attackers to execute code at the system kernel level without authentication. The vulnerability is exploitable from internal networks and exposes critical infrastructure-domain controllers, servers, and desktops-to unauthorized compromise. Immediate patching is essential to prevent potential breach of organizational systems.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 78% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows TCP/IP stack ships in essentially every Windows deployment
Threat Intel
1
1 sources
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Controlled
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

44
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +44
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Authentication bypass attacks exploit flaws in the verification mechanisms that control access to systems and applications.

Race conditions occur when multiple concurrent requests exploit the brief time gap between checking a condition and acting upon it (TOCTOU - Time of Check, Time of Use).

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