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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Gain local admin on Windows host
  2. Delivery
    Stage malicious or revoked boot component
  3. Exploit
    Abuse Secure Boot validation failure
  4. Execution
    Reboot into tampered boot chain
  5. Persist
    Load pre-OS bootkit payload
  6. Impact
    Disable endpoint defenses and persist

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A03:2025 - Software Supply Chain Failures
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Component updateability
Exploitation Conditions

Attacker must already have high-privilege (administrative) local access to the target Windows system and the ability to write to Secure Boot-relevant boot components or UEFI variables; no user interaction is required, but physical or interactive logon-equivalent access on the host is needed because the attack vector is local (AV:L). Exploitation is limited by the PR:H requirement (standard users cannot trigger it), by Secure Boot needing to be enabled in the first place for a meaningful bypass, and by platform firmware/DBX state that may already revoke some of the abusable components; environments enforcing least privilege, LAPS-managed local admins, and TPM-backed BitLocker materially shrink the realistic attack surface.

Impact

The CVSS vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:H/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:N) describes a local, low-complexity attack requiring high privileges with no user interaction, where scope changes to compromise components beyond the initial security boundary - exactly the profile of an admin-to-firmware/boot trust escalation rather than a remote takeover. There is no CISA KEV listing, no published EPSS score in the provided data, and no public exploit identified at time of analysis, so this is not currently a mass-exploitation risk; however, Secure Boot bypasses are historically attractive to advanced actors (e.g., BlackLotus-class bootkits) because they enable stealthy, persistent footholds that survive OS reinstalls. The realistic priority is high for endpoints handling sensitive data or operating in higher-threat environments, and moderate for general fleets - patch promptly but it is unlikely to be opportunistically exploited at scale. Notable data gap: only the MSRC reference is provided with no detailed advisory text, KB number, or affected-build list in the input, so exact Windows SKUs and revocation steps must be confirmed against the live MSRC entry.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already obtained administrative access on a Windows host - for example through prior credential theft, a separate privilege escalation, or insider abuse - leverages the Secure Boot protection-mechanism failure to install an unsigned or revoked bootloader component. On the next reboot the tampered boot chain loads before the OS, giving the attacker a bootkit-class foothold that survives OS reinstallation and can disable or blind endpoint defenses; no public exploit has been identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jun 09, 2026

Security feature bypass in Windows Secure Boot allows a high-privileged local attacker to circumvent the boot integrity protection mechanism, undermining trust in the Windows boot chain. The flaw (CWE-1329, reliance on a component that is not updateable) carries a CVSS 7.9 rating due to scope change and high impact on confidentiality and integrity, and no public exploit has been identified at time of analysis. Successful exploitation could enable pre-OS persistence such as bootkits, defeating a foundational Windows security control.

RemediationAI

Patch available per vendor advisory - apply the Microsoft security update referenced at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-48576 as soon as it is published for your Windows edition, prioritizing endpoints with sensitive data, domain controllers, and hosts using BitLocker or VBS. Because Secure Boot fixes commonly require both an OS update and a DBX (forbidden signature) revocation that becomes effective after reboot, verify the DBX update applied successfully (e.g., via mokutil/PowerShell Get-SecureBootUEFI) and reboot the system; note that DBX updates can brick dual-boot configurations or older recovery media signed with revoked certificates, so test recovery media before mass rollout. As compensating controls until patching completes, enforce BitLocker with TPM+PIN to make offline boot tampering visible, restrict local administrator group membership (the PR:H prerequisite), and enable measured-boot/attestation logging through Microsoft Defender for Endpoint or an MDM attestation policy to detect post-boot integrity drift.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9234
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.8655
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8880
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.32995
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8880
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8655
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7417
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9234
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9234
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26132
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23228
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7219
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23228
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5256
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26132
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2269
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.8880
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7417
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.32995

Affected Packages

microsoft windows_10_version_1607_10_0_14393_9234 fix: Windows 10 Version 1607 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.14393.9234, Windows 10 Version 1607 for x64-based Systems 10.0.14393.9234
microsoft windows_10_version_1809_10_0_17763_8880 fix: Windows 10 Version 1809 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.17763.8880, Windows 10 Version 1809 for x64-based Systems 10.0.17763.8880
microsoft windows_10_version_21h2_10_0_19044_7417 fix: Windows 10 Version 21H2 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.19044.7417, Windows 10 Version 21H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.19044.7417, Windows 10 Version 21H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19044.7417
microsoft windows_10_version_22h2_10_0_19045_7417 fix: Windows 10 Version 22H2 for 32-bit Systems 10.0.19045.7417, Windows 10 Version 22H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.19045.7417, Windows 10 Version 22H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.19045.7417
microsoft windows_11_version_23h2_10_0_22631_7219 fix: Windows 11 Version 23H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.22631.7219, Windows 11 Version 23H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.22631.7219
microsoft windows_11_version_24h2_10_0_26100_8655 fix: Windows 11 Version 24H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8655, Windows 11 Version 24H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26100.8655
microsoft windows_11_version_25h2_10_0_26200_8655 fix: Windows 11 Version 25H2 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8655, Windows 11 Version 25H2 for x64-based Systems 10.0.26200.8655
microsoft windows_11_version_26h1_10_0_28000_2269 fix: Windows 11 Version 26H1 for ARM64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2269, Windows 11 version 26H1 for x64-based Systems 10.0.28000.2269
microsoft windows_server_2012_6_2_9200_26132 fix: Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.26132, Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.26132
microsoft windows_server_2012_r2_6_3_9600_23228 fix: Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.23228, Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.23228
microsoft windows_server_2016_10_0_14393_9234 fix: Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.9234, Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.9234
microsoft windows_server_2019_10_0_17763_8880 fix: Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.8880, Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.8880
microsoft windows_server_2022_10_0_20348_5256 fix: Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.5256, Windows Server 2022 (Server Core installation) 10.0.20348.5256
microsoft windows_server_2025_10_0_26100_32995 fix: Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.32995, Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.32995
euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9234
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.8880
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7417
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7417
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7219
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8655
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.8655
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2269
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26132
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23228
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23228
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26132
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9234
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9234
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.8880
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.8880
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5256
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.32995
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.32995

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 33 packages in microsoft, euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Secure Boot is the UEFI-based firmware feature that validates the cryptographic signatures of bootloaders, drivers, and the OS kernel against keys stored in firmware (PK, KEK, db, dbx) to prevent unauthorized code from running during boot. CWE-1329 (Reliance on Component That is Not Updateable) indicates the failure stems from a component in the boot chain whose trust anchors or validation logic cannot be readily revoked or updated, so an attacker who can influence that component can sidestep signature enforcement. Because Secure Boot underpins downstream defenses like BitLocker measured boot, Device Guard, and Virtualization-Based Security, a bypass here erodes the root of trust those features depend on.

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.9 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:H/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:N
CIRCL (temporal) 6.9 MEDIUM

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
High
User Interaction
None
Scope
Changed
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
None

DescriptionCVE.org

Protection mechanism failure in Windows Secure Boot allows an authorized attacker to bypass a security feature locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

CVE-2026-48576 is a Secure Boot bypass vulnerability affecting Windows systems that allows local administrators or compromised admin accounts to disable boot integrity protections and install persistent malware surviving OS reinstallation. Since Secure Boot is a foundational Windows security control, this vulnerability creates a critical integrity risk across all Windows environments, particularly those in regulated industries depending on Secure Boot for compliance. Organizations should immediately audit administrative access and implement interim monitoring controls while awaiting a vendor patch.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

No vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis. Interim mitigations include: (1) restrict local administrative privileges on production systems and enforce role-based access control; (2) deploy EDR/XDR solutions with kernel-level visibility to detect suspicious boot-time driver installation; (3) enable Windows Defender Device Guard and Code Integrity policies to enforce kernel code signing; (4) implement continuous UEFI/firmware integrity monitoring and alerting; (5) require multi-factor authentication for all administrative access to reduce credential compromise risk; (6) monitor event logs for kernel driver installation, firmware access, and administrative activity during off-hours.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 44% exploitable
Vendor Action
See Below
Required. The vulnerability documented by this CVE requires customer action to resolve.
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
6 sources
Confidence: High

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

40
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +40
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

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