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Microsoft Windows CVE-2026-83848

| EUVDEUVD-2026-99386 HIGH
Untrusted Pointer Dereference (CWE-822)
2026-10-13 secure@microsoft.com GHSA-98f8-hvwm-fj48
7.8
CVSS 3.1 · Vendor: microsoft
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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local foothold
  2. Delivery
    Run crafted exploit binary
  3. Exploit
    Pass untrusted pointer to COM+ Event System Service
  4. Execution
    Service dereferences attacker-controlled memory
  5. Persist
    Execute code as SYSTEM
  6. Impact
    Full host compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Untrusted pointer prevention
Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already have local, interactive access to the host with valid low-privileged (non-admin) credentials, matching CVSS AV:L and PR:L - this is a post-compromise escalation primitive, not a remote entry point. No user interaction is needed (UI:N) and attack complexity is low (AC:L), so once a standard-user foothold exists, triggering the untrusted pointer dereference in the COM+ Event System Service requires no special non-default configuration. The principal limiting factors are therefore the mandatory pre-existing local authenticated access and the absence of any remote vector; defenders relying on strong initial-access controls and least-privilege user accounts materially reduce realistic risk. Affected systems are unpatched Windows builds below the fixed versions listed in the EUVD data (e.g., Windows 11 24H2 below 10.0.26100.9711, Windows Server 2025 below 10.0.26100.33650, Server 2016 below 10.0.14393.9612).

Impact

This is a credible but moderate-priority local privilege escalation. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N) confirms the attacker must already have local access and valid (low-privilege) credentials on the host - this is not a remotely exploitable flaw, which caps its urgency relative to network-facing bugs of the same 7.8 score. The signals are internally consistent and point AWAY from imminent mass exploitation: CISA SSVC lists Exploitation as 'none' and Automatable as 'no', there is no CISA KEV listing and no public exploit code identified, so the status is reconnaissance/weaponization-free at this time. The one signal pulling the other way is SSVC Technical Impact 'total', matching the CVSS C:H/I:H/A:H full-SYSTEM compromise outcome - meaning that IF an attacker does chain this (e.g., after a phishing foothold), the payoff is complete control of the affected host. No EPSS score was provided in the input, so probabilistic exploitation likelihood could not be weighed. Net: a legitimate patch-in-normal-cycle item for defenders, valuable as a post-compromise escalation primitive but not a drop-everything emergency, given low complexity but the hard requirement of pre-existing local authenticated access.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already gained a foothold as a standard (low-privilege) user - for example via phishing or a separate initial-access bug - runs a crafted local program that supplies an untrusted pointer to the COM+ Event System Service, causing it to dereference attacker-controlled memory and execute code in the service's privileged context. This yields full SYSTEM-level control of the machine. No public proof-of-concept or exploit code was identified in the provided data, and CVSS AC:L indicates the technical exploitation itself is low-complexity once local access exists.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.4% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Oct 14, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows is possible because the COM+ Event System Service dereferences an untrusted pointer (CWE-822), allowing an authenticated attacker who already holds a low-privileged foothold on the host to elevate to SYSTEM. Affected systems are unpatched Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server builds listed below the fixed build numbers (for example, Windows 11 24H2 below 10.0.26100.9711 and Windows Server 2025 below 10.0.26100.33650), with a CVSS base score of 7.8 (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H) and total technical impact per the CISA SSVC assessment. No public exploit code and no confirmed active exploitation were identified at time of analysis, and no EPSS score was supplied; the practical risk is bounded by the requirement for pre-existing interactive local access rather than any remote vector.

RemediationAI

Vendor-released patch: Microsoft has published fixes for this issue and they should be applied on the monthly update cadence - bring each host to or above its fixed build, for example Windows 11 24H2 to 10.0.26100.9711, Windows 11 23H2 to 10.0.22631.7652, Windows Server 2025 to 10.0.26100.33650, Windows Server 2022 to 10.0.20348.5761, Windows Server 2019 to 10.0.17763.9376, Windows Server 2016 to 10.0.14393.9612, and the legacy Server 2012/2012 R2 platforms to 6.2.9200.26434 and 6.3.9600.23470 respectively, using the guidance at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-83848 as the authoritative per-build mapping. Because exploitation requires an existing low-privileged interactive session, the most effective compensating controls are identity- and access-focused: remove or disable unnecessary local accounts, restrict the 'Allow log on locally' and Remote Desktop Users rights to the smallest possible set, place administrative staff in Protected Users, and enforce a tiered administration model so commodity user credentials cannot be used interactively on high-value servers - the trade-off is reduced operational flexibility for help-desk and shared-workstation workflows. Do not disable the COM+ Event System service as a mitigation: it is a dependency for COM+ event subscriptions and numerous enterprise applications, and shutting it down or setting it to Disabled will break those consumers while leaving other escalation paths in the same service family untouched. Network-level containment (blocking inbound RDP/SMB from untrusted segments on servers) limits how quickly an attacker can obtain the required local foothold but does nothing against an attacker who already has one, so treat it as a speed bump rather than a fix. Where patching must be staged, monitor for anomalous process creation or token manipulation originating from the EventSystem service and for unexpected writes to privileged COM registry keys, since those give the best detection coverage for this class of untrusted-pointer abuse.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 26H2 10.0.26300.0 <10.0.26300.9711
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9711
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.3231
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5761
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33650
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9711
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23470
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7652
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9376
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19044.7807
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9612
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26434

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7807
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7652
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9711
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9711
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.3231
euvd windows_11_version_26h2 fix: 10.0.26300.9711
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23470
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26434
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9612
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9376
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5761
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33650
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33650

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 20 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

The vulnerability class is CWE-822, untrusted pointer dereference, a memory-safety flaw in which the component follows a pointer value it has not validated for provenance or bounds. The affected component is the Windows COM+ Event System Service (EventSystem), the broker that manages COM+ event subscriptions and dispatches event notifications to subscriber components; it runs as a privileged system service, so memory corruption reachable through its interfaces executes in a high-integrity context. A low-privileged local user who can invoke or marshal data into the affected COM interface can supply a crafted pointer that the service dereferences without validation, producing a controlled memory-write or read primitive and, in the worst case, arbitrary code execution as SYSTEM. This matches the supplied CVSS vector AV:L/PR:L/UI:N with confidentiality, integrity, and availability all rated High, and the SSVC technical-impact rating of 'total'. Because the vector requires local access with valid low-privilege credentials and no user interaction, the flaw is a post-compromise escalation primitive rather than an initial-access path, and the SSVC exploitation signal is 'none' with automatable 'no', indicating no observed or automated exploitation activity in the source data. Note that the accompanying tag set includes 'Information Disclosure', but the assessed and published impact is full privilege elevation with high C/I/A, not disclosure alone. No CPE strings were supplied beyond the EUVD build ranges, which cover Windows 10 1607/1809/21H2/22H2, Windows 11 23H2/24H2/25H2/26H1/26H2, and Windows Server 2012, 2012 R2, 2016, 2019, 2022, and 2025 including Server Core installations.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local vector and low-privilege foothold required (AV:L, PR:L), low complexity with no user interaction, yielding full SYSTEM compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H) within an unchanged scope.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Oct 13, 2026 - 20:20 EUVD
CVE Published
Oct 13, 2026 - 19:20 cve.org
HIGH 7.8

DescriptionCVE.org

Untrusted pointer dereference in Windows COM+ Event System Service allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

Microsoft Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server are affected by a local privilege-escalation issue that can let an authenticated local user gain SYSTEM-level control of a host. No public exploit identified at time of analysis, and successful exploitation requires an existing low-privileged foothold on the target machine, but it could still lead to full host compromise, data exposure, tampering, or lateral movement. Leadership should care because Windows is widely deployed, and unpatched endpoints or servers could undermine security controls and business operations if an attacker obtains local access.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.4%
Top 71% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Core Windows component present on virtually all Windows client and server installs
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation More Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.4%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0
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