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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Establish local user session on target
  2. Delivery
    Spawn concurrent threads targeting tcpip.sys shared resource
  3. Exploit
    Win race condition timing window
  4. Execution
    Execute code in SYSTEM context
  5. Persist
    Disable endpoint controls or dump credentials
  6. Impact
    Pivot laterally

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A06:2025 - Insecure Design
ASVS 5.0
V15 - Secure Coding and Architecture Concurrency control, locking
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Privilege Escalation

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires a local, authenticated user account on the target Windows system - any standard user suffices; no administrative rights are needed prior to exploitation. The attacker must run code directly on the affected host; remote unauthenticated exploitation is not possible given AV:L. The race condition inherently requires the attacker to execute concurrent threads, meaning the exploit is not a simple one-shot operation and reliability depends on system load and scheduler behavior (AC:H). No non-default configuration of the TCP/IP stack is required; the vulnerable code path is present in default Windows installations. What limits exploitation: physical or remote interactive access to the target system (e.g., RDP, SSH, or a prior foothold is necessary), and the timing-sensitive nature of race conditions reduces reliability compared to deterministic memory corruption bugs.

Impact

The CVSS 7.0 score with vector AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H correctly captures the dual constraint of this vulnerability: exploitation is local-only and requires winning a timing race (AC:H), which lowers the practically achievable exploitation rate relative to a trivial network-reachable bug. EPSS data was not provided, and no CISA KEV listing exists, meaning there is no confirmed in-the-wild exploitation. However, once a local foothold is established - a common attacker position after phishing or initial-access broker access - race condition LPE vulnerabilities against mature, widely-deployed kernel components like tcpip.sys are highly prized and frequently weaponized in post-exploitation chains. Even a mid-sized municipal IT team in kalisz managing a mixed Windows estate should treat this as urgent patching, given that the affected version range covers every mainstream Windows release deployed at scale today. The SSVC framing reinforces this: exploitation is not currently automated, technical impact is total (full C/I/A), and the vulnerability is present in default Windows installations with no special configuration required beyond having a local user account.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has obtained a low-privileged shell on a Windows workstation or server - through phishing, credential theft, or an initial-access broker - repeatedly races concurrent threads against the Windows TCP/IP driver's shared resource to win the timing window and gain SYSTEM-level execution. No public proof-of-concept exploit has been identified at time of analysis, but the AC:H designation reflects the real-world requirement to reliably win the race, which determined attackers can achieve through multi-threaded spray techniques. From SYSTEM context, the attacker can disable endpoint controls, dump credentials, or pivot laterally.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.2% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Sep 09, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows TCP/IP stack exploits a race condition (CWE-362) to allow a low-privileged local user to gain full system-level control across virtually every supported Windows release. The vulnerability spans Windows 10 through Windows 11 25H2 and Windows Server 2012 through Server 2025, making the breadth of exposure exceptionally wide. Microsoft has released patches; no public exploit or CISA KEV listing was identified at time of analysis, but the scope of affected systems elevates organizational urgency.

RemediationAI

Apply Microsoft's cumulative security updates to reach or exceed the fixed build numbers enumerated above for each Windows version in scope; updates are distributed through Windows Update, WSUS, and Microsoft Update Catalog. Organizations running Windows Server 2012 and 2012 R2, which passed mainstream end-of-life in October 2023, should ensure they are enrolled in Microsoft's Extended Security Update (ESU) program to receive the patches (builds 6.2.9200.26349 and 6.3.9600.23397). Where immediate patching is not possible, restrict interactive and remote logon access to sensitive systems to minimize the pool of local user accounts that could attempt exploitation; this reduces but does not eliminate risk since any local account with standard user privileges is sufficient. Monitoring for unusual kernel-level thread scheduling behavior or privilege tokens on high-value hosts may aid detection. The Microsoft Security Update Guide at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-69404 is the authoritative source for patch availability.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23397
Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.9445
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26200.9445
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33438
Windows 11 Version 23H2 10.0.22631.0 <10.0.22631.7582
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9512
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7725
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26349
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2954
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33438
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26349
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9245
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5622
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7725
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23397

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7725
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7725
euvd windows_11_version_23h2 fix: 10.0.22631.7582
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.9445
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26200.9445
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2954
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26349
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23397
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23397
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26349
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9512
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9245
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5622
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33438
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33438

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 19 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

CWE-362 describes a classic time-of-check/time-of-use (TOCTOU) class defect where shared resources in the Windows TCP/IP driver stack are accessed across concurrent execution paths without adequate synchronization primitives such as locks or atomic operations. An attacker can time a thread to access or modify the shared resource between the point where a privilege check occurs and the point where the resource is consumed, allowing the unprivileged thread to operate with elevated context. The affected component is tcpip.sys, the Windows kernel-mode TCP/IP driver, which runs at a high privilege level. Affected CPE ranges cover builds of Windows 10 (1607 through 22H2), Windows 11 (23H2, 24H2, 25H2, 26H1), and Windows Server editions from 2012 (6.2.9200) through 2025 (10.0.26100), including Server Core installations, as enumerated in the EUVD-2026-73238 advisory data.

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.0 HIGH
AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.0 HIGH

Local-only race condition (AV:L/AC:H) requires a standard user account (PR:L); post-escalation impact is total system compromise (C:H/I:H/A:H).

3.1 AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:H/AT:P/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
High
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

Lifecycle Timeline

2
Patch available
Sep 08, 2026 - 18:35 EUVD
CVE Published
Sep 08, 2026 - 18:19 cve.org
HIGH 7.0

DescriptionCVE.org

Concurrent execution using shared resource with improper synchronization ('race condition') in Windows TCP/IP allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A Windows privilege escalation vulnerability (CVE-2026-69404) affecting Windows 10, 11, and all supported Server versions enables attackers to gain full system control if they obtain initial local access. This represents a critical secondary attack vector: insider threats, supply-chain compromises, or endpoint malware can escalate to complete system compromise. Organizations must patch immediately to prevent lateral movement and privilege escalation attacks.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.2%
Top 91% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows spans virtually every enterprise and consumer computing environment
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.2%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Defer
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

35
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +35
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Attack Technique

Privilege escalation occurs when an attacker leverages flaws in access control mechanisms to gain permissions beyond what they were originally granted.

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