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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-priv local session
  2. Delivery
    Invoke crafted Windows Installer operation
  3. Exploit
    Bypass improper authorization check
  4. Execution
    Execute privileged action as SYSTEM
  5. Impact
    Full host compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A01:2025 - Broken Access Control
ASVS 5.0
V8 - Authorization Authorization verification
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Defense Evasion

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already have local, authenticated, low-privilege (standard user) access to the target Windows host - the CVSS vector is AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N, so it is not remotely reachable and cannot be triggered by an anonymous network attacker. The specific mechanism is an improper authorization check in the Windows Installer service reached through a local installer operation; no victim user interaction is needed. Limiting factors that reduce real-world risk: the attacker must first obtain a valid local foothold (initial access), the flaw only elevates privilege on the machine where code is already running, and hosts without untrusted interactive/standard users (e.g., locked-down single-admin servers) present a much smaller attack surface.

Impact

The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, base 7.8) describes a locally-exploitable, low-complexity flaw that requires the attacker to already hold low-level (authenticated, non-admin) privileges and no user interaction, yielding full confidentiality, integrity, and availability impact on the host - consistent with EoP to SYSTEM. No EPSS score, SSVC decision, or POC indicator was supplied in the input, and the CVE is not in CISA KEV, so there is no evidence of active or automatable exploitation at this time; this reads as a real-but-standard Patch-Tuesday-class local EoP rather than a top-of-queue internet-facing emergency. The genuine priority driver is ubiquity and chainability: local EoP bugs in Windows Installer are routinely used as the second stage after initial access (phishing, malware, or a foothold from a low-priv service), so it should be patched promptly on the normal monthly cycle. Key missing signals to note: EPSS and POC status are unknown from the provided data, so exploitation likelihood cannot be quantified beyond the CVSS characteristics.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who has already gained a low-privileged authenticated session on a Windows host - for example via a phished user account or a compromised low-priv service - invokes a crafted Windows Installer operation that the component fails to properly authorize, causing a privileged action to execute in their context and granting SYSTEM-level control. Given AV:L/AC:L, the technique is reliable and requires no user interaction once local access exists; no public POC is identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
Patch available 0.3% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Jul 14, 2026

Local privilege escalation in Microsoft Windows Installer (msiexec/MSI service) lets an already-authenticated low-privilege user elevate to SYSTEM by abusing an improper authorization check (CWE-285). Affected platforms span Windows 10 (1607 through 22H2), Windows 11 (24H2/25H2/26H1), and Windows Server 2012 through 2025, including Server Core installations. Microsoft has released a patch; there is no public exploit identified at time of analysis and the CVE is not listed in CISA KEV, so risk is currently potential rather than confirmed in-the-wild exploitation.

RemediationAI

Apply the Microsoft security update for CVE-2026-58540 (Patch available per vendor advisory) via Windows Update, WSUS, or your patch-management system; consult the MSRC update guide at https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2026-58540 for the exact KB and fixed build for each affected OS version, as the record does not publish a single cross-product fix version. Prioritize multi-user, shared, and jump/terminal hosts where untrusted low-privilege users have interactive access, since those maximize exposure to a local EoP. No Microsoft-endorsed workaround is provided in the available data; because exploitation requires an existing authenticated local foothold, interim compensating controls are to tighten who can log on interactively or run installer operations, restrict standard-user access on sensitive servers, and consider the Group Policy 'Always install with elevated privileges' setting is left DISABLED (its trade-off is none for security, as enabling it independently broadens installer EoP exposure) - but these reduce, not eliminate, risk and are not a substitute for the patch.

Affected VersionsENISA

Windows 11 Version 24H2 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows 10 Version 22H2 10.0.19045.0 <10.0.19045.7548
Windows Server 2025 (Server Core installation) 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation) 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2012 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows 10 Version 1809 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows Server 2019 10.0.17763.0 <10.0.17763.9020
Windows 10 Version 1607 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2016 (Server Core installation) 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2012 (Server Core installation) 6.2.9200.0 <6.2.9200.26226
Windows Server 2012 R2 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows 11 Version 25H2 10.0.26200.0 <10.0.26100.8875
Windows 11 version 26H1 10.0.28000.0 <10.0.28000.2525
Windows Server 2025 10.0.26100.0 <10.0.26100.33158
Windows Server 2012 R2 (Server Core installation) 6.3.9600.0 <6.3.9600.23291
Windows 10 Version 21H2 10.0.19044.0 <10.0.19044.7548
Windows Server 2016 10.0.14393.0 <10.0.14393.9339
Windows Server 2022 10.0.20348.0 <10.0.20348.5386

Affected Packages

euvd windows_10_version_1607 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_10_version_1809 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_10_version_21h2 fix: 10.0.19044.7548
euvd windows_10_version_22h2 fix: 10.0.19045.7548
euvd windows_11_version_24h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_25h2 fix: 10.0.26100.8875
euvd windows_11_version_26h1 fix: 10.0.28000.2525
euvd windows_server_2012 fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2012_r2 fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_r2_server_core_installation fix: 6.3.9600.23291
euvd windows_server_2012_server_core_installation fix: 6.2.9200.26226
euvd windows_server_2016 fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2016_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.14393.9339
euvd windows_server_2019 fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2019_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.17763.9020
euvd windows_server_2022 fix: 10.0.20348.5386
euvd windows_server_2025 fix: 10.0.26100.33158
euvd windows_server_2025_server_core_installation fix: 10.0.26100.33158

Source: OSV (Open Source Vulnerabilities)

Affects your stack

Affects 18 packages in euvd

Checking this CVE against your own stacks and servers is part of the Basic plan and up.

Technical ContextAI · show details

Windows Installer is the built-in MSI-based software installation and servicing subsystem (msiexec.exe and the Windows Installer service) present on every modern Windows client and server. Because installer operations frequently run with elevated/SYSTEM rights to write to protected locations and modify system configuration, any authorization gap in how it validates the requesting principal is a classic local elevation-of-privilege primitive. The CWE-285 (Improper Authorization) root cause means the component performs a privileged action without correctly verifying that the caller is authorized for it, allowing a standard user context to reach operations reserved for administrators or SYSTEM. The affected-product list (per Microsoft CPE data) confirms this is a core-OS component flaw rather than a third-party application, affecting Windows 10 1607/1809/21H2/22H2, Windows 11 24H2/25H2/26H1, and Windows Server 2012, 2012 R2, 2016, 2019, 2022, and 2025 (including Server Core).

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local authenticated low-priv attacker (AV:L/PR:L), no interaction or complexity, elevating to SYSTEM yields full C/I/A impact within an unchanged scope.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Improper authorization in Windows Installer allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

A local privilege-escalation vulnerability in the Windows Installer service (CVE-2026-58540) affects Windows 10, Windows 11, and all Windows Server editions (2012-2025), potentially exposing millions of enterprise endpoints to unauthorized system-level access by authenticated low-privilege users. A standard user with legitimate system access could escalate to full administrative control, enabling data theft, malware installation, or lateral movement-a particular risk for organizations with privileged user workstations or sensitive production servers. Microsoft has released a patch to close this exposure across affected platforms.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

Apply vendor patch.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
0.3%
Top 80% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Windows Installer ships in every supported Windows client and server
Vendor Status
Publicly Disclosed:No
Exploited:No
Latest Software Release:Exploitation Less Likely
Data Quality
5 sources
Confidence: Medium

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 0.3%
Patch available Yes
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision
Scheduled
Exploitation
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable
No
Human Impact
High
Technical Impact
Total

Priority Score

39
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: 0
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

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