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Attack ChainAIDerived

Hypothetical attack flow derived from CVE metadata – not a confirmed exploit chain

  1. Access
    Obtain low-privileged local code execution
  2. Delivery
    Invoke Storage VSP driver interface
  3. Exploit
    Abuse improper access control (CWE-284)
  4. Execution
    Elevate to SYSTEM
  5. Impact
    Full host compromise

Vulnerability Assessment

Weakness
CWE
OWASP Top 10:2025
A01:2025 - Broken Access Control
ASVS 5.0
V8 - Authorization Access control enforcement
MITRE ATT&CK

1 technique across 1 tactic: Defense Evasion

The technique list with ATT&CK links and the kill-chain view is part of the Basic plan and up.

Exploitation Conditions

Exploitation requires the attacker to already have local, authenticated code-execution as at least a low-privileged user on the target Windows system (PR:L, AV:L) - this is a post-access privilege-escalation flaw in the Storage VSP (Virtual Storage Port) kernel driver, not a remote or unauthenticated vector. No user interaction is needed (UI:N) and complexity is low (AC:L). The affected component ships by default in Windows 10 (1607/1809/21H2/22H2), Windows 11 (23H2/24H2/25H2), and Windows Server 2016 through 2025, so no special non-default configuration is required beyond having a standard interactive or service account on the host. The primary limiting factor is the mandatory local foothold: the attacker cannot reach this over the network and must first establish low-privilege execution by other means.

Impact

This is a genuine and prioritizable local privilege-escalation issue, though not an emergency. The CVSS 3.1 vector (AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H, 7.8 HIGH) describes a low-complexity local attack requiring only low privileges (an authenticated standard user context) and no user interaction, yielding full C/I/A impact - consistent with kernel-driver privilege escalation to SYSTEM. EPSS is 2.45% (84th percentile), which is moderate: notable relative to the CVE population but far below levels that indicate imminent mass exploitation. No CISA KEV entry and no public exploit code were identified at time of analysis, so there is no confirmed active exploitation. The signals are internally consistent (a local-only EoP will never have high EPSS the way a remote pre-auth RCE would), so there is no CVSS-vs-real-risk contradiction to reconcile here - the CVSS accurately reflects a serious but access-gated flaw. The realistic risk profile is that of a post-compromise escalation primitive: valuable to malware and to attackers who already have code execution as a limited user, rather than an initial-access vector. Note the input 'Authentication Bypass' tag conflicts with the CWE-284/EoP nature of this flaw and appears to be a mislabel.

Exploit ScenarioDerived

An attacker who already has the ability to run code as a standard (low-privileged) user on a Windows host - for example via phishing, a malicious app, or an existing low-privilege foothold - invokes the affected Storage VSP kernel driver interface to abuse an improper access-control check and elevate to SYSTEM. No user interaction is required and the attack is local only. No public proof-of-concept exploit was identified at time of analysis.

This Week Schedule remediation this week. Why: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9).
No patch listed yet 2.5% exploitation probability (EPSS)

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AnalysisAIv1 – Sep 30, 2026

Local privilege escalation in the Windows Storage VSP Driver allows an authenticated attacker with low-level privileges to elevate to SYSTEM on affected Windows systems. This post-access flaw requires the attacker to already have local code execution as a low-privileged user (PR:L, AV:L) and does not require user interaction (UI:N). No public exploit code or active exploitation has been identified at time of analysis, though the EPSS score is 2.45% (84th percentile), indicating a moderate likelihood of exploitation. Affected platforms include Windows 10 (1607, 1809, 21H2, 22H2), Windows 11 (23H2, 24H2, 25H2), and Windows Server 2016 through 2025.

RemediationAI

Apply the security update provided by Microsoft via the MSRC advisory (https://msrc.microsoft.com/update-guide/vulnerability/CVE-2025-59517), which addresses CVE-2025-59517. Because the vulnerability requires local authenticated access, ensure that systems are patched promptly and that local user accounts are restricted to necessary personnel. As a compensating control until patching is complete, limit interactive logon rights to trusted users and monitor for suspicious privilege escalation activity, though these measures do not eliminate the risk. There is no known workaround that fully mitigates the flaw without patching.

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Technical ContextAI · show details

The Windows Storage VSP (Virtual Storage Port) Driver is a kernel-mode component that manages storage virtualization and access control in Windows. The vulnerability is classified as CWE-284: Improper Access Control, meaning the driver fails to properly validate or restrict access to privileged operations, allowing a low-privileged user to bypass security boundaries and gain elevated privileges. The affected driver ships by default in the listed Windows operating systems, as confirmed by the CPE strings for Windows 10, 11, and Server editions. Exploitation requires local access (AV:L) and low privileges (PR:L), with low attack complexity (AC:L) and no user interaction (UI:N). Successful exploitation results in high impact to confidentiality, integrity, and availability (C:H/I:H/A:H).

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  • Exploit and PoC references, threat intelligence from 22 sources

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Severity by source

Vendor (microsoft) PRIMARY 7.8 HIGH
AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
vuln.today AI 7.8 HIGH

Local kernel-driver EoP requiring a low-privileged foothold (AV:L, PR:L), low complexity and no interaction, with escalation to SYSTEM giving full C/I/A.

3.1 AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
4.0 AV:L/AC:L/AT:N/PR:L/UI:N/VC:H/VI:H/VA:H/SC:N/SI:N/SA:N

Primary rating from Vendor (microsoft).

CVSS VectorVendor: microsoft

Attack Vector
Local
Attack Complexity
Low
Privileges Required
Low
User Interaction
None
Scope
Unchanged
Confidentiality
High
Integrity
High
Availability
High

DescriptionCVE.org

Improper access control in Windows Storage VSP Driver allows an authorized attacker to elevate privileges locally.

Executive ViewAI

Why It Matters

CVE-2025-59517 is a high-severity local privilege escalation flaw in the Windows Storage VSP Driver affecting a wide range of Windows 10, Windows 11, and Windows Server systems. An authenticated attacker with low-level privileges could exploit this vulnerability to gain SYSTEM-level control, potentially leading to data theft, service disruption, and further compromise across the network. No vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis and no public exploit identified at time of analysis, so leadership should prioritize mitigating controls and heightened monitoring to protect critical assets.

Business Impact: High
Compensating Controls

No vendor-released patch identified at time of analysis. Interim mitigations include enforcing least privilege, restricting local interactive logon, monitoring for anomalous privilege escalation to SYSTEM, and applying any vendor-recommended workarounds when available.

Threat Intelligence Overview

EPSS Score
2.5%
Top 16% exploitable
Prevalence
Ubiquitous
Core Windows OS driver across Windows 10/11 and Server 2016-2025
Data Quality
3 sources
Confidence: Low

How this decision was reached

The engine reads each signal below and applies a fixed list of rules from top to bottom. The first rule that matches sets the recommended action – like a statement, every line is shown.

SignalValue
Severity HIGH
CISA KEV No
Public POC No
EPSS 2.5%
Patch available No
Active threat No
Deciding rule
HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9)
What every action level means
Emergency Immediate action required. Criteria: CRITICAL + in CISA KEV (actively exploited) without patch, OR CRITICAL + EPSS > 30% without patch, OR CRITICAL + active threat signals without patch.
Act Now Prioritize within 24-48h. Criteria: in KEV with patch available, OR CRITICAL + public POC, OR HIGH + EPSS > 10%, OR CRITICAL + active threat, OR any CRITICAL severity.
This Week Schedule remediation this week. Criteria: HIGH severity (CVSS 7.0-8.9). Patch within normal change window.
This Month Plan within 30 days. Criteria: MEDIUM severity (CVSS 4.0-6.9), lower exploitation probability. Include in regular patch cycle.
Monitor Track and reassess. Criteria: LOW severity (CVSS 0.1-3.9), minimal exploitation risk. No immediate action needed.

SSVC AssessmentENISA

SSVC Decision· derived
Scheduled
Exploitation· derived
None
System Exposure· derived
Small
Automatable· derived
No
Human Impact
High

Priority Score

41
Low Medium High Critical
KEV: 0
EPSS: +2
CVSS: +39
PoC: 0
Weaponized: 0
Threat intel: 0
Gov advisory: 0

Affected Products (CPE)CVE.org

cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1607:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x64:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_1809:*:*:*:*:*:*:x86:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_21h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_10_22h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_24h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_11_25h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2016:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2019:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2022:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2022_23h2:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
cpe:2.3:o:microsoft:windows_server_2025:*:*:*:*:*:*:*:*
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